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Romney the next President?
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johnslat



Joined: 21 Jan 2003
Posts: 12862
Location: Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

PostPosted: Wed Mar 07, 2012 4:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

If Romney gets elected (bite my tongue), you'll see the difference.

Regards,
John
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EFLeducator



Joined: 16 Dec 2011
Posts: 595
Location: NONE OF YOUR BUSINESS

PostPosted: Wed Mar 07, 2012 6:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

johnslat wrote:
If Romney gets elected (bite my tongue), you'll see the difference.
Regards,
John


Right you will. America will be put on the right track once again. Hopefully we'll be saved from the liberal currently in the White House.
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EFLeducator



Joined: 16 Dec 2011
Posts: 595
Location: NONE OF YOUR BUSINESS

PostPosted: Wed Mar 07, 2012 6:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

choudoufu wrote:
geaaronson wrote:
1) Bush was a businessman ....


yes, but a FAILED businessman.


Just as Obama is a FAILED President. The U.S. is in worse conditions now than when he took office. Can't blame Bush for that. Like VP Biden said in an interview...we can't blame the previous administration, we are the ones in control now.

Viva Romney!!!!! Conservative values will prevail!!
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johnslat



Joined: 21 Jan 2003
Posts: 12862
Location: Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

PostPosted: Wed Mar 07, 2012 1:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dear EFLeducator,

"The U.S. is in worse conditions now than when he took office."

Baloney!!!!!

"March 5, 2012

Verily, this week celebrates the third year of the Bull Run, which began on March 9, 2009 and we were bullish. With the S&P 500 (SPX/1369.63) up more than 100% since the March 2009 “lows” it makes this one of the longest bull markets ever. As the invaluable Bespoke Investment Group writes:

“Going all the way back to 1928, the current bull market ranks as the ninth longest ever. Even more impressive is the fact that of the nine bull markets that lasted longer, none saw a gain of 100% during their first three years. Based on the history of prior bulls that have hit the three-year mark, year four has also been positive.”

Now, recall those negative nabobs that told us late last year the first half of 2012 would be really bad? W-R-O-N-G, for the SPX is off to its ninth best start of the year, while the NASDAQ (COMPQ/2976.19) is off to its best start ever! In seven out of the past ten “best starts,” the SPX was higher at year-end, which is why I keep chanting, “You can be cautious, but don’t get bearish.” Accompanying the rally has been improving economic statistics and last week was no exception. Indeed, of the 20 economic reports released last week, 15 were better than estimated. Meanwhile, earnings reports for 4Q11 have come in better than expected, causing the ratio of net earnings revisions for the S&P 1500 to improve. Then too, the employment situation reports continued to improve. Of course, such an environment has led to increased consumer confidence punctuated by the February’s Consumer Confidence report that was reported ahead of estimates at 70.8, versus 63.0, for its best reading in a year."

http://www.raymondjames.com/inv_strat.htm

Regards,
John
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spiral78



Joined: 05 Apr 2004
Posts: 9602
Location: On a Short Leash

PostPosted: Wed Mar 07, 2012 2:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

That's a scare tactic the Republicans are using. Just like the assertation that Obama's a leftie. He's been among the most moderate Democratic presidents in history, given that one actually looks at the record and tries to be above knee-jerk reactions based on his skin colour and name.


Quote:
As Republicans gear up to run against President Obama's record for creating private-sector jobs, they may encounter an unexpected glitch: It looks a lot like Ronald Reagan's.

Obama has presided over a loss of 1.6 million of the nation's 111 million private-company jobs since taking office, according to official statistics. But since employment hit post-recession lows in February 2010, companies have added 2.6 million jobs, beating the 2.4 million created between the bottom of the 1982 recession and this point in Reagan's first term. Joblessness then was 9.2%.

The trouble for Obama is that next year's outlook seems nothing like 1984. The U.S. economy added 3.9 million jobs in the last 12 months before Reagan romped to re-election. Moody's Analytics expects the U.S. to add 1.6 million jobs next year, barely enough to move unemployment lower. That makes the president's prospects a toss-up, analysts say.

"When I plug in the data, it comes out exactly 50-50 for the Democrats," said Ray Fair, a Yale economist whose political-prediction model uses economic forecasts to set election odds. When last calculated in July, Fair's model predicted Obama would win 53% of 2012's vote. "It's exactly a tie."

Private employers added 110,000 new jobs in October, the payroll-processing company ADP reported Wednesday. The outlook is for about 120,000 new jobs a month for the next year, said Joel Prakken, chairman of Macroeconomic Advisers, the consulting firm that runs ADP's survey.

GOP candidates have said Obama's policies have frightened businesses out of hiring. On that score, Obama's record so far is better than his predecessor, Republican George W. Bush. By September 2003, Bush had presided over the loss of 3.2 million private-sector jobs.

Obama's persistently high unemployment rate stems from 1 million government-worker cuts since May 2010, including 220,000 education employees. If government employment had remained steady since 2009, unemployment would be 8.7%.

"Obama looks better if you only look at private-sector jobs," said Kevin Hassett, director of economic policy studies at the conservative-leaning American Enterprise Institute. Overall, he said Obama's on pace for the worst jobs record since Herbert Hoover.

That will stay true only if the economy stalls. Obama begins the 12-month run-up to the presidential election 1.9 million jobs behind the 348,000 total jobs (including government workers) lost between Bush's inauguration and the 2004 election, slightly more than economists expect the economy to gain by next fall. Even that understates the business sector job losses under Bush. His performance benefited from big gains in government employment: the economy added 821,000 government jobs during his first term, while recouping 2 million of its January 2001-September 2003 private-sector-job losses before the election.

The comparison to Reagan is more eye-catching, Prakken said. Reagan's 2.4 million new jobs from the bottom of the 1982 recession were achieved in a smaller economy.

On the other hand, Obama inherited an economy halfway through shedding 8.8 million jobs when he took office. It was burdened with much more public and private debt, hamstrung by budget deficits, chaos in a housing sector that led the 1984 recovery and the fact that interest rates are already at historic lows, Prakken added.




http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/story/2011-11-03/jobs-and-the-presidential-election/51065798/1

And just imagine how the right-wingers would be incessantly crowing if it had been a Republican president who acted decisively to take out Somali pirates and who 'got' bin Laden.
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choudoufu



Joined: 25 May 2010
Posts: 3325
Location: Mao-berry, PRC

PostPosted: Wed Mar 07, 2012 2:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

no worries, a president romney will soon commence bombing iran.

haha, take that, obama-economy!!
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Prof.Gringo



Joined: 07 Nov 2006
Posts: 2080
Location: Dang Cong San Viet Nam Quang Vinh Muon Nam!

PostPosted: Wed Mar 07, 2012 3:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

choudoufu wrote:
no worries, a president romney will soon commence bombing iran.

haha, take that, obama-economy!!


USA 1, Iran -10
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johnslat



Joined: 21 Jan 2003
Posts: 12862
Location: Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

PostPosted: Wed Mar 07, 2012 3:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dear Prof. Gringo,

Nice scoreboard - now can we have one for the deaths/causalities (including the inevitable "collateral damage / friendly fire) on both sides?

Regards,
John
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EFLeducator



Joined: 16 Dec 2011
Posts: 595
Location: NONE OF YOUR BUSINESS

PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 11:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

A good day for Santorum! I still think Romney will get the nomination though and then hopefully the White House.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/03/10/santorum-aims-for-strong-showing-in-kansas-but-delegate-game-could-favor-romney/
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EFLeducator



Joined: 16 Dec 2011
Posts: 595
Location: NONE OF YOUR BUSINESS

PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 11:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Presidential Approval Rating:

Approve 45%

Disapprove 47%

Undecided 8% See Details.

Going to be a close race come November.
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EFLeducator



Joined: 16 Dec 2011
Posts: 595
Location: NONE OF YOUR BUSINESS

PostPosted: Sun Mar 11, 2012 12:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Romney rips Obama campaign 'infomercial'

http://www.cnn.com/2012/03/09/politics/campaign-wrap/index.html?hpt=hp_bn3
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Guy Courchesne



Joined: 10 Mar 2003
Posts: 9403
Location: Mexico City

PostPosted: Sun Mar 11, 2012 6:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Watching the GOP race is like...

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1617289/plotsummary

I think the best part here has been watching a confused Fox try to figure out where their money man is, tripping over themselves to love/hate Romney while hoping for Santorum to find a way out of the cornfield.
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Captain_Fil



Joined: 06 Jan 2011
Posts: 604
Location: California - the land of fruits and nuts

PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Romney. Obama.

Tweedledee. Tweedledum.

Ho-hum.

Confused
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johnslat



Joined: 21 Jan 2003
Posts: 12862
Location: Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dear Captain_Fil,

Can it be assumed, then, that you won't be voting?

Regards,
John
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johnslat



Joined: 21 Jan 2003
Posts: 12862
Location: Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

PostPosted: Wed Mar 14, 2012 8:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

"A national survey taken March 7-11 showed Obama leading Romney by 12 percentage points (54-42) and even further ahead of Santorum with 57 percent of support to Santorum's 29 percent. Those numbers are likely to shift as Republicans rally around a single candidate in the coming months, but as a snapshot, the data suggest a brighter scenario for Obama than in previous polls.

Here are more nuggets from the wide-ranging study:

Obama's approval rating rises to 50 percent
For the first time since shortly after Osama bin Laden was killed, half of all Americans (50 percent) say they approve of Barack Obama's job performance, while just 41 percent disapprove.
Romney's national lead widening among Republican primary voters
Mitt Romney has regained the lead in the support for his party's presidential nomination, as conservative backing for Rick Santorum has declined. Romney currently holds a 33-24 lead over Santorum among registered Republican and Republican-leaning independent voters, with 20 percent backing Newt Gingrich and 14 percent favoring Ron Paul. The poll was conducted before Santorum's twin victories in Alabama and Mississippi Tuesday night.

Americans think Obama will win a second term
By a 59-32 margin, most Americans think Barack Obama will win the election if Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee. That margin is far wider if Rick Santorum is the GOP nominee: 68 percent think Obama would win, while just 24 percent predict a Santorum presidency.
A majority of Americans have an unfavorable view of the Republican candidates after a long primary
Confirming fears among Republicans that the protracted primary is weakening all the candidates, the survey found that the contentious Republican primary has taken a toll on the image of the leading GOP candidates. In the current survey, just 29 percent of Americans say they have a favorable view of Romney, while 51 percent say they have an unfavorable impression.

Voters don't know that Santorum is Catholic

Only about three-in-ten voters (29 percent) can identify Rick Santorum as a Catholic. This includes 32 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning voters and 27 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaners. Another 15 percent identify Santorum as either Protestant (10 percent) or volunteer that he is Christian (5 percent). About half (53 percent) of voters say they don't know his religion.

In a follow-up question, about a third of those who identify Santorum as a Christian—16 percent of voters overall—say they believe he is an evangelical or born-again Christian.

Republicans struggling with women and minorities
Barack Obama's lead over Romney is attributable in large part to his wide advantage among women, younger voters, and nonwhites. Women favor Obama over Romney by 20 points—virtually unchanged from a month ago.
Nation split over federal health care overhaul

[T]wo years after the passage of comprehensive health care legislation, the public is evenly divided over the law. Overall, 47 percent approve of the law, while 45 percent disapprove."

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/poll-obama-leads-gop-candidates-head-head-contests-151032764.html

Regards,
John
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