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Another Korean War?: Previews/Updates ...
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The Lemon



Joined: 11 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Sat Apr 13, 2013 9:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

rollo wrote:
There have been reports that Kim is losing control of the military. I think he stays as the figurehead but with little power. The Chinese were very very upset with the latest antics and I dont think they were lying. So it looks like nothing is going to happen ,except a subtle shift in power. Of course he could have an "accident".


Obviously, no one knows what's going on in the minds of the Norks, or even the Chinese.

While we're playing "maybe" games - I fantasize that the stability-loving Chinese could at some point decide this regime is no longer worth the trouble and pull a Hungary 1956/Czechoslovakia 1968, invading Pyongyang to install more obedient clients. As the North has most of its military deployed toward the DMZ, China could pull this off.

China invaded Vietnam in 1979 for much less.
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rollo



Joined: 10 May 2006
Location: China

PostPosted: Sat Apr 13, 2013 2:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Chinese have been massing troops on the border and are building five new bridges in to the DPRK. Invasion is a possibility. But more likely is sending advisors to direct the Nork goverment and shifting its support to other leaders. Things are changing up there. Who really knows.
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Sun Apr 14, 2013 3:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Some analysis of China's stance ... http://news.yahoo.com/analysis-beijing-us-north-korea-talk-090502853.html
In the article, one Chinese professor suggests that direct US-Nork talks might be the best approach to a peaceful outcome.

Maybe Dennis Rodman can talk it over with Yao Ming ...
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Sun Apr 14, 2013 2:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This article highlights how seemingly difficult it is to make diplomatic progress: http://news.yahoo.com/us-talks-diplomacy-nkorea-takes-hard-line-160454630--politics.htm

Republican Senator John McCain suggested (on CNN) that the U.S. make a counter-threat to use missile-interceptors to hit any North Korean missile that is test-fired. (You should probably consider that McCain finished 894th - out of 899 - in his Naval Academy graduating class at Annapolis...)

Adding to the difficulty of making diplomatic progress at this time... http://news.yahoo.com/defiant-north-korea-readies-mass-parade-founder-235038564.html
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Mon Apr 15, 2013 9:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

How U.S. intelligence could assess NK's nuclear capability: http://news.yahoo.com/north-korea-tipped-hand-084500657--politics.html

Hackers bring down North Korean websites again ...
http://news.yahoo.com/anonymous-hackers-bring-down-north-korean-websites-second-224016100.html
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Tue Apr 16, 2013 2:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

After their festivities, North Korea resumes threats against the South... http://news.yahoo.com/nkorea-marks-founders-birthday-issues-more-ire-050359173.html It seems to be mainly a reaction to protests in Seoul where effigies of Kim Il Sung and Kim Jong Il were burned ...

Also, an article analyzing whether John Kerry has "softened conditions" for talking with NK leaders or not ... http://news.yahoo.com/north-korea-nuclear-talks-did-john-kerry-soften-190435069.html
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Wed Apr 17, 2013 4:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

South Korea buying $1.6 billion worth of attack helicopters from Boeing ... http://news.yahoo.com/south-korea-buy-1-6-100942270.html
(but deal was initiated before the current crisis...)
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Thu Apr 18, 2013 6:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Norks at least talk about returning to negotiating table - albeit demanding unreasonable conditions to do so ... http://news.yahoo.com/point-talking-north-korea-110500100.html

U.S. wants to see "clear signals" that NK is serious about real negotiations ... http://news.yahoo.com/u-needs-clear-signals-north-korea-serious-talks-142540928.html

Expert says North Korea needs at least one more missile test to develop a nuclear missile ...
http://news.yahoo.com/north-korea-needs-more-tests-nuclear-missile-u-153017269.html
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javis



Joined: 28 Feb 2013

PostPosted: Sat Apr 20, 2013 9:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rteacher wrote:
South Korea buying $1.6 billion worth of attack helicopters from Boeing ... http://news.yahoo.com/south-korea-buy-1-6-100942270.html
(but deal was initiated before the current crisis...)
interesting. I wonder if South Korea could actually man enough combat air units with their current force structure to replace US assets in the theater. The conscripts don't have a useful purpose in peace time because it's not worth the time to train them, and I don't think the benefits are good enough to get enough volunteer NCOs.
Quote:
South Korea is also seeking 60 fighter jets this year.

For that deal, the Lockheed Martin Corp F-35 stealth fighter and Boeing's F-15 Silent Eagle fighter are in competition with the Eurofighter Typhoon, developed by a consortium of EADS , Finmeccanica SpA and BAE Systems .
I hope they're not paying for the F-35s this year! Laughing
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Sat Apr 20, 2013 7:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

North Korea says that it won't give up its nuclear weapons as a precondition for talks ... but would be willing to discuss disarmament ... Confused http://news.yahoo.com/north-korea-reiterates-not-nuclear-arms-083235804.html
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Sun Apr 21, 2013 4:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

North Korea moves two more (short-range Scud) missile launchers ... http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/21/us-korea-north-idUSBRE93K01Z20130421
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12ax7



Joined: 07 Nov 2009

PostPosted: Sun Apr 21, 2013 5:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rteacher wrote:
North Korea moves two more (short-range Scud) missile launchers ... http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/21/us-korea-north-idUSBRE93K01Z20130421


They don't have much confidence in their newer missile, and so they are opting for the surest face-saving option at their disposal: a cheaper and more reliable missile.
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young_clinton



Joined: 09 Sep 2009

PostPosted: Sun Apr 21, 2013 7:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

12ax7 wrote:
Rteacher wrote:
North Korea moves two more (short-range Scud) missile launchers ... http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/21/us-korea-north-idUSBRE93K01Z20130421


They don't have much confidence in their newer missile, and so they are opting for the surest face-saving option at their disposal: a cheaper and more reliable missile.


Anybody remember the predicted holocaust the Iraqi army was going to reap on the Allies? Fourth largest army in the world, battle hardened, huge number of tanks, scud missiles. Oh No! Laughing Laughing
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Tue Apr 23, 2013 6:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

North Korea demands to be recognized as a nuclear state - U.S. says no... http://news.yahoo.com/north-korea-demands-recognition-nuclear-arms-state-043513000.html
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Thu Apr 25, 2013 2:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

An assessment of North Korea's military capabilities...http://news.yahoo.com/look-north-koreas-military-capabilities-083923209.html
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