Korean Job Discussion Forums

[sirius black]

[northway]

Yes, it looks somewhat positive for Obama right now, but I don't think you can rely on tho polls and say he's got it in the bag:

1) GOTV matters, and the GOP electorate is a lot more engaged in this election than the Democratic one is, just as we saw in 2010.

2) Many of those polls include all voters rather than likely voters; things tighten up once you weed out the non-voters.

3) Voter ID requirements could be a serious problem this time around. 9% of Pennsylvania's registered voters lack a valid photo ID, and most of those individuals are generally in demographic groups that support Democrats.

4) While Obama is consistently leading in most of the swing states, his consistent lead is generally within the margin of error, and thus not to be taken for granted.

5) The money (dis)advantage. Romney can bury Obama in spending. He has such a huge money advantage that he can basically air whatever he wants without fear of response from the Obama camp. This is shaping up to be a very negative campaign, and Romney has the money to overwhelm Obama on the money side. As he can't spend that money until after the convention, the polls you see now are basically the result of Obama having unfettered access to the airwaves with little possible response from Romney, as he's broke until he gets access to his post-convention money pile.

Anyone that is calling this already is getting way ahead of themselves.

[comm]

That is an awesome analysis, northway. We haven't even really seen the Republican platform yet, so current polls are going entirely on name recognition and personal sentiment.

Once Obama and Romney start slinging mud and making promises... then the electorate will definitley start to skew one way or the other. Personally, I think Obama has it unless Rmoney does something crazy. Obama can promise to buy the world for the taxpayers and his base wont worry about the budget deficit. Rmoney can't do that without alienating the conservatives who realize how f*cked America is because of its debt and obligations.

[northway]

[northway]

Update on Pennsylvania's voter ID law:

[Ya-ta Boy]

Mr. Romney Goes to London

'Worse than Palin'

Yep. That's one of the headlines from Mitt's trip abroad. After a couple of devastating weeks of Bain Capital and income tax return stories, along comes a great opportunity to change the story...and what does Rmoney do? He humiliates himself and embarrasses the rest of us (Harry Reid), even getting himself mocked by the mayor of London in front of 60,000 people and slammed by the Prime Minister himself: �Of course, it's easier if you hold an Olympic Games in the middle of nowhere�.

Just how bad is this debut on the international stage? So bad that the right wing media is staying totally silent. I can only guess that they are huddling in horror trying to figure out a way to make this Obama's fault. Have we heard the last of that mystifying Obama 'apologizing tour' now that Mitt is having to apologize every time he opens his mouth?

My personal favorite, so far, is that he denies knowing when the dressage competition will be held and will not attend. Really? Your wife's $77,000 tax write-off hobby makes it to the Olympics and you pretend you don't know anything about it and won't attend? Can you say 'family values'?

This man is not ready for prime time.

Can a nominee be deposed before he's nominated? You just know that at Bilderberg Central or wherever the vast rightwing conspiracy holds its cabals, plots are being laid...I can just see the headlines: Romney's plane on its way to Poland shot down over Sovi...Russia. Newly painted Moslem Brotherhood logo found on the tail section of the Chinese attack plane...Obama's handprint identified in the still-wet paint. Film at 7.

There were notable conservatives who openly refused to vote for McCain because Palin was on the ticket. How many of them will refuse to support Romney when he heads the ticket? 'Worse than Palin', indeed.

[comm]

[Ya-ta Boy]

[Ya-ta Boy]

Part II

[comm]

[Ya-ta Boy]

[Ya-ta Boy]

A little butter on the toast that is Romney...

It's just been announced that Bill Clinton will give the keynote address at the convention and nominate Obama.

I could be a little old-fashioned, but I am a firm believer in the power of the spoken (and written) word and when Bill is 'on', there are few alive today who can match him. He gave a dreadful, mind-numbing keynote back in...was it '88 (?), but this may be his last chance to talk to his party on a national stage, remind people that Hillary has served well (and should be kept in mind for '16), and that his mere appearance contrasts sharply with the absence of Bush.

[His opposite number is Gov. Chub...risty of New Jersey, who is at his attack-dog best when someone asks him a question and then surrenders the mic. Big mistake.]

Is the opposite of 'guilt by association' 'grace by association'? If Bill is 'the best politician of his generation', as many say, and he is up to the job--and you KNOW he will do his best to be up to his job--he will try to cast his cape of peace, prosperity, and surpluses over the Dems generally, Obama in particular, and the country as a whole. [And don't forget Hillary in '16!] (Wanna bet she doesn't come out at the end to share the accolades of the crowd?)

[rollo]

Mittens newest strategy is to not speak to the press!! Wonder how that will work out???? Obama right now is looking to get 330 electoral votes.

[Captain Corea]

[kimchipig]

The real issue is not the presidency, that is a done deal: Obama will win because the GOP selected about the worst candidate they could out of a field of complete wing-nuts. Romney was the only one why was not a total tinfoil hat type; he is a fat cat carpet bagger who wants to take from the poor and give to the rich. Talk about flip-flopping, he takes the cake.

The real issue is the congress and senate. The GOP and the Imagined Community types have never gotten over the "Sheriff is a Ni**** thing and they will do anything to get rid of him. Were I American, I would be pretty mad at the GOP now because 2010, the GOP has done nary a thing for working Americans except tell them they are greedy for taking Food Stamps and how America will be great if billionaires don't pay taxes.

Strange world.