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Slightly OT: The Future in English
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uilleannpiper



Joined: 18 Nov 2005
Posts: 107

PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2006 9:27 pm    Post subject: Slightly OT: The Future in English Reply with quote

When visiting Indonesia I returned to my old haunt - EF - to pay them a visit. Upon leaving the girls at the front desk gave me a freebie package of an EF backpack and a coffee mug...yeehaaaa. So I'm here back in OZ drinking my coffee from my EF coffee mug while my 11 month old daughter, intrigued by the cartoon people on the side, learns the practical way that touching said cartoon people while mug still contains coffee spells one burnt finger tip.

On the other side of the mug is written - 'How good is your English?' to which I silently reply 'Damn good, trims'. Underneath however is the sentence 'The future will be spoken in English'. Wow! For a split second I actually found myself agreeing. It didn't last long though, my agreeing that is. Instead I thought 'that's not true', at least I hope it's not true.

Having said that....Indonesia, Jakarta, Semarang, Nasi Goreng, Wayang Kulit, going to the beach in leather jacket and jeans....there....just thought I'd better bring the topic back to Indonesia.
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sidjameson



Joined: 11 Jan 2004
Posts: 629
Location: osaka

PostPosted: Sun May 07, 2006 1:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

10 years ago when I worked there, I remember schools and even more so teachers angling for private classes were pushing the "Oh of course everybody will need English in the future. Globalization will mean those that do will become rich. No English means no future" I sprouted it too for a while I believe. Then realised that it was such an exaggeration. 10 years on I can imagine its the same. People in Japan have realised that just having English means nothing. Plenty of good speakers here in crap jobs. English speaking accountants, CEO"s etc, yes they have an advantage, but it's only that, an advantage.
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Zorobabel



Joined: 13 Feb 2006
Posts: 82

PostPosted: Sun May 07, 2006 2:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's an industry and, dare I say, a very good one. 400 million native speakers and yet for the one who is looking for a job teaching English it's not a difficult task. People say English won't mean a lot in the future and that Chinese is coming in force, but when you go to China you can see they're crazy about learning English. Still, I don't think anyone should plan on becoming a career English teacher. It's an easy way to make quick money, but for your own good you should probably make connections while your teaching in order to move on to something else (NGOs, business groups, etc.).
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sidjameson



Joined: 11 Jan 2004
Posts: 629
Location: osaka

PostPosted: Sun May 07, 2006 3:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Maybe not in Indonesia Zorobabel, but in Japan university teachers earn around $60,000 to $70,000 and more as you get older. A career is doable but you have to plan it.
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Zorobabel



Joined: 13 Feb 2006
Posts: 82

PostPosted: Sun May 07, 2006 3:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

sidjameson wrote:
Maybe not in Indonesia Zorobabel, but in Japan university teachers earn around $60,000 to $70,000 and more as you get older. A career is doable but you have to plan it.

Yes, I'm talking about Indonesia. Japan, Korea, Taiwan, etc. are obviously very different with much greater opportunities. In Indonesia university professors are still making very poor money. Someone can correct me, but I'm thinking $300-400 a month at UI and UGM (the two best universities in Indonesia). But as Indonesia developers further, that's certainly going to be a burgeoning market, and I should probably look into getting my master's. Smile I'm just trying to say that I don't see any collapse of the English teaching industry for at least 20 years internationally.
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gugelhupf



Joined: 24 Jan 2004
Posts: 575
Location: Jabotabek

PostPosted: Mon May 08, 2006 1:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I really can't see any decline in the desire to learn English in Indonesia as a whole. I believe - and hope - that the 'industry' will mature and that learners will realise that just because someone is a native of an English speaking country doesn't mean they can teach English.

Around 25 years ago the then PM of Malaysia, Mahathir, tried his level best to malay-ise education at all levels in that country. Up until his tenure the standard of English in peninsular Malaysia was generally high. Special committees were even set up to invent new scientific vocabulary in Malay to replace the English words in general use. If any nation in SE Asia could have found a way around learning English it was Malaysia under Mahathir.

He failed, however, and even before he left office the education ministry was buying in foreign expertise in a mad panic to make good the damage already done.
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guruengerish



Joined: 28 Mar 2004
Posts: 424
Location: Australia

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 9:35 am    Post subject: English in Asia etc Reply with quote

I also read a good article about English and Malaysia, but I suspect the reason for introducing Malay at the expense of English was much more subtle than that. The better-educated were often the Chinese, and they had a big advantage in being English speakers in matters of trade etc. It also started coming unstuck when the Malaysians were finding it increasingly difficult to communicate outside their own country, much as Indonesia does.

Dutch is a good example. Very few speak that language outside the Netherlands and Belgium. So, all the kids have to learn other languages, if they wish to trade with the world.

A good reason for a lot of young folk studying English in Asia also has a lot to do with where they want to further their studies. It's almost always an English-speaking country, and most of my older students were studying English for that very reason.

Some of my Business English students had lost some very good trade, as they didn't understand English well enough to reply to a fax or email within 24hrs, and would bring it to class a few days later for an explanation. Singaporeans in particular, will not wait that long.

So, there are some very good reasons for studying English in Asia; true, not many native-speakers will make their fortune, but we all learn a thing or two along the way.
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TEAM_PAPUA



Joined: 24 May 2004
Posts: 1679
Location: HOLE

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 10:51 am    Post subject: * Reply with quote

Quote:
I really can't see any decline in the desire to learn English in Indonesia as a whole. I believe - and hope - that the 'industry' will mature and that learners will realise that just because someone is a native of an English speaking country doesn't mean they can teach English.


China needs many teachers; therefore, quality is overlooked as the need to get a native speaker into the classroom to pull the $$ in comes first and foremost. Indonesia needs teachers to continue bringing in the $$ for the language mills. A the moment there is an imbalance between supply and demand.

Indonesia needs teachers but has problems attracting teachers because school owners don't want to pay for qualified and experienced teachers and also that Indonesia's current political climate is not the best in the world. China, well it's simple math: they can't fill the classrooms fast enough as everyone gets on the ESL money making train as China plans its World Domination program 'learn everything, master everything, take over the world!'

I predict once the supply/demand imbalance becomes more 'balanced' governments will follow the policy of other countries' governments and introduce more requirements for 'teachers' with regard to visas i.e: Korea & Japan, and now Thailand.

Will English be the international Lingua Franca? Does the world need this? Being unable to speak English hasn't stopped Chinese companies from flooding the markets with SHlT.
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Zorobabel



Joined: 13 Feb 2006
Posts: 82

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 11:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Another aspect of Indonesia's English market is that the urban population is growing 4-5% annually according to UNICEF. From my own experiences, when people move to urban areas they come into contact with modernity and Westernization, and one of the common results is that they want to learn English. You've got urban areas on Java with populations of up to 500,000 people that have almost no modern services, especially not quality English education, and these are cities that are constantly growing. So in Indonesia it's going to take many years to tap even the existing markets, much less their future potential.
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gugelhupf



Joined: 24 Jan 2004
Posts: 575
Location: Jabotabek

PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2006 2:39 am    Post subject: Re: * Reply with quote

TEAM_PAPUA wrote:

I predict once the supply/demand imbalance becomes more 'balanced' governments will follow the policy of other countries' governments and introduce more requirements for 'teachers' with regard to visas i.e: Korea & Japan, and now Thailand.

.


I'm sure you will agree that a certain other government not too far from where I'm sitting will also introduce more such requirements - but rather as a way of extracting yet more uang rokok to facilitate a telex.
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sidjameson



Joined: 11 Jan 2004
Posts: 629
Location: osaka

PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2006 4:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Zorobabel......that urban centre with a population of 500000 with no modern services is not a market. If a town can't afford a Starbucks then it can't afford one native speaker, let alone a school. Potential?...well everything has potential, but I don't see there being a dramtic change in things for a good few years to come. Although saying that, anybody familiar with Thailand would know that these piss poor towns outside of Bankkok are finally getting a bit of the wealth coming there way. Engliah schools are popping up in the most unlikely of places.
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TEAM_PAPUA



Joined: 24 May 2004
Posts: 1679
Location: HOLE

PostPosted: Fri May 12, 2006 6:52 am    Post subject: * Reply with quote

Quote:
You've got urban areas on Java with populations of up to 500,000 people that have almost no modern services, especially not quality English education


Quality English Education in Indonesia? You've got more chance of getting a bacon sandwich Cool

_____________

The future of English is secure in Asia whether people need it or not - as long as the wealthy continue to buy franchises and crafty centre managers continue to get away with false advertising. Even in National Plus & University the standards are poor because teachers are over-worked & underpaid and everything is done on a shoe-string budget while course fees increase to ridiculous levels.
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Zorobabel



Joined: 13 Feb 2006
Posts: 82

PostPosted: Sat May 13, 2006 1:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Did you people not realize I am not talking about right now? I'm saying when the current Indonesian markets are saturated (20 years?) new markets will be opened up as the purchasing power spreads in the towns.
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uilleannpiper



Joined: 18 Nov 2005
Posts: 107

PostPosted: Sun May 14, 2006 10:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well, anyway, that a Swedish compay, from a non-English-speaking country (Sweden, where they should be speaking Swedish and should be proud to do so) sells itself on the basis that the future, according to their Swedish-speaking (hopefully) marketing executives, will be spoken in English, appears to me to be a real sell-out.

As for the future of English in Indonesia, the only people who need English really are the business community and even then, much trade occurs within the region where 'Malay' is just as useful if not moreso than English.
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happy_me



Joined: 01 Feb 2006
Posts: 174
Location: In the neighborhood of nirvana

PostPosted: Mon May 15, 2006 9:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think the whole thing will come down within the next 2-7 years. Why you ask? Question
Just look around you prices are up 50% over the last year, housing complexes are every where (next to failed ones too) Rolling Eyes , to little power, poor water and more people with no new jobs, imports from China every where. So think about it
Idea
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