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mistael
Joined: 25 Sep 2006 Posts: 16
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Posted: Mon Dec 25, 2006 10:21 pm Post subject: What's the outlook in the next 2-3 years? |
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I was wondering what the job market for teaching English in Japan or other places will be in the next 2-3 years? Better? Worse? The same? Is this a question that one can not really answer. I am just wondering because you guys would know better than I do. I researched that it is good now. |
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Gordon

Joined: 28 Jan 2003 Posts: 5309 Location: Japan
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Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2006 12:39 am Post subject: |
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I'd say the same. The market is huge here, nothing will change much in a few years.
10-20 years? Would be hard to say. The Japanese have voracious appetite for English language learning as a hobby.
The university teaching market is definitely on the decline, jobs are outsourced to dispatch companies and unis are closing. The Japanese are not having enough babies, but that is another subject altogether. |
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sidjameson
Joined: 11 Jan 2004 Posts: 629 Location: osaka
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Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2006 1:21 am Post subject: |
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The yen seems to be in a long term decline. The starting salary here now is about the same as a shop assistant in the UK. This I would assume will result in fewer teachers willing to come here. Also the potential for savings, if thats what you"re after are now getting severely squeezed. |
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bluefrog
Joined: 28 Feb 2005 Posts: 87 Location: Osaka
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Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2006 2:08 am Post subject: |
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Elementary schools will start requiring 5th and 6th graders to study English next year so that area should grow. Although those jobs will probably go to dispatch companies and not direct BOE hires. Dispatch companies of course pay less than most other full time jobs. |
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fat_chris
Joined: 10 Sep 2003 Posts: 3198 Location: Beijing
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Posted: Tue Dec 26, 2006 4:26 pm Post subject: I just wanna be in Asia |
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Gordon,
Thanks for the link to that website. Had some good tidbits on it.
I am envious of all of you Japan old-timers. I am in the States finishing a Master's degree in TESOL and in the middle of my third year as an ESL teacher in a public school. All I want to do is return to "the field". I am very eager to go back into EFL somewhere in Asia. We'll see where I end up this fall. The prospect of teaching in Japan is exciting for me.
Regards,
fat_c |
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Sweetsee

Joined: 11 Jun 2004 Posts: 2302 Location: ) is everything
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Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 6:17 am Post subject: |
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Howdy Chris,
All Japan old-timers, even ones looking for jobs? That and I am curious about entry-level jobs for MA holders here. What do you see yourself doing here next year at this time? Thanks in advance.
Enjoy,
s |
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seanmcginty
Joined: 27 Sep 2005 Posts: 203
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Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 8:58 pm Post subject: |
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I've been out of Japan for almost 2 years now, but during my time there (from 1999 to 2005) it seemed like things were in a very very slow decline.
One recent problem for Canadians (doesn't apply so much for Americans) is that the value of the yen has gone down significantly in relation to our currency in that time frame. When I started my salary in Yen worked out to nearly $50,000 Canadian, which was exceptionally good for a 23 year old just out of university. When I left that salary would work out to only a little over $30,000, which is a massive reduction and hardly makes it worth travelling all the way across the world on your own dime for.
There are a lot of problems with the Eikaiwa Gakko market that will have long term effects but probably won't affect things much in the next 2-3 years. One is the demographics. Japan's population just peaked and the number of young people is declining. When the big schools like NOVA and GEOS/AEON opened in the early 70s there were lots of baby-boomers in the high school/college age frame who wanted/needed to learn English. Now there aren't so many student aged people looking for lessons and a lot who are will be taking Chinese instead of English. The number of housewives and salarymen willing to fork over huge money to study a language they don't really need is pretty finite, so there is no room for the schools to expand or even maintain their current student base over the long term. So without a doubt the big four will have to start closing smaller schools and hiring fewer teachers in the future if they want to stay in business.
This stuff also applies to public school teachers/ ALTs. Fewer kids equals fewer students equals fewer teachers.
In addition you have other variables like the performance of the Japanese economy and cultural influenes that might make studying English less or more attractive. |
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Alberta605
Joined: 23 Dec 2006 Posts: 94 Location: Japan
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Posted: Sun Dec 31, 2006 2:39 am Post subject: Change in Japan?? |
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The next two or three years probably won't see much change, i mean what does change that quickly anywhere? The next 20+ will have seen dramatic change of course as the population moves into old age and numbers of remaining numbers of youngers students become more and more interested in Chinese as a second language. However, this I think will be more than counterbalanced by the need for every Japanese who wants to work in a large organisation to learn English as millions of foreigners flood the vacuum left in the job market. I would hope that the chain schools, AEON , NOVA etc will be left behind in this as the Japanese Government passes laws to ensure better educational provision in state schools (including teachers who can actually speak the language in an advanced way, as well as merely teach it to high school level). Private companies and public organisations will also need to face this increasing long term need for English. Of course, this is a pretty stark reality for a presently anti-change Japan and will not be addressed until it is nearly too late or even past the point of no return by some. I am sure the Governemnt will at some point take the lead but such central encouragement is often a very small ripple in a largely stagnant pool. |
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Mark
Joined: 23 Jan 2003 Posts: 500 Location: Tokyo, Japan
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Posted: Sun Dec 31, 2006 8:42 am Post subject: |
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I wouldn't expect to see much change in the next few years except that wages will probably continue to drop.
In the long-term, I think things will continue to get worse. Schools will continue to rely on temps from agencies and this trend is spreading to universities. Even if you get a full-time position with a university, you'll probably only teach the university version of "oral communication" and students will spend most of their time studying English with Japanese teachers entirely in Japanese.
My experience in Japanese high schools does not give me confidence that anything is going to change. Mombusho actually says all the right things, but they don't enforce anything and teachers don't listen to them.
Hopefully, at some point, they'll replace the university entrance exam with a much more communicative exam. But I tend to think that Japanese teachers would probably just continue teaching the same way. Many of them seem convinced that the present system really is the best way for Japanese to learn foreign languages. |
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Glenski

Joined: 15 Jan 2003 Posts: 12844 Location: Hokkaido, JAPAN
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Posted: Tue Jan 02, 2007 11:13 pm Post subject: |
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Elementary schools will start requiring 5th and 6th graders to study English next year so that area should grow. |
I don't know about that. The Koizumi administration was going to install a stronger English education system in the elementary school grades, but the new Abe administration seems to think it shouldn't be there at all. |
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User N. Ame
Joined: 11 Dec 2006 Posts: 222 Location: Kanto
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Posted: Wed Jan 03, 2007 12:29 am Post subject: |
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seanmcginty wrote: |
I've been out of Japan for almost 2 years now, but during my time there (from 1999 to 2005) it seemed like things were in a very very slow decline.
One recent problem for Canadians (doesn't apply so much for Americans) is that the value of the yen has gone down significantly in relation to our currency in that time frame. When I started my salary in Yen worked out to nearly $50,000 Canadian, which was exceptionally good for a 23 year old just out of university. When I left that salary would work out to only a little over $30,000, which is a massive reduction and hardly makes it worth travelling all the way across the world on your own dime for. |
Seanmcginty, you've summed up the economic issue well, and it's unfortunately going to be a deciding factor in my decision to leave. Your above quote ($50,000 ---> $30,000) is exactly what I've seen happen to my salary in a span of only a few years in Japan. This might not be as big a deal if I were a lifer in Japan and were paying for bills and family only in Japan, but I continue to pay off debts back home, send cash home regularly, and always planned to eventually return. So watching my salary shrink by almost 45% due to global market forces... not a happy camper. Japan's ESL industry seems unwilling to address this issue (and there are creative ways of addressing the issue without paying a higher salary), and so you will continue to see a drop in the quality of teacher coming to Japan. I think this issue is not so important for kids fresh out of college in search of a fun gap year. Hell, you could pay most of them the equiv of $20,000CND and they'd still come thinking they were getting a free holiday. But the laws of market economics do dictate decisions by prospective employees. Ten, even five years ago, it was somewhat attractive to come to Japan for financial reasons. If I were making that same decision today, I'd surely hesitate, and search for other options before going with Japan. For example (and I'm no economics/currency watcher at all), friends tell me that other Asian currencies offer a much better bang for the buck at the moment, especially when you factor in cost of living. I'm personally taking a much closer look at Korea right now. For me, I have no special attachment to Japan. I look forward to expanding my Asian horizons and learning about other Asian cultures, so I won't hesitate to go where I can get a better deal as an employee.
As for the future of elementary school English in Japan, unfortunately, Glenski is right. The Abe regime seems much more conservative in its education outlook, so I doubt that all the wonderful Koizumi talk about the need for expanding the ALT system into lower schools will be followed through on. |
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Dipso
Joined: 28 Apr 2004 Posts: 194 Location: England
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Posted: Wed Jan 03, 2007 3:47 am Post subject: |
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I too am considering jumping to Korea for economic reasons. I earn the same now as I did on my first trip to Japan in 1998. Back in 1998 the exchange rate was 180 yen to the British pound, now it's 235 and rising almost daily - an enormous difference to someone with financial commitments in their home country.
Although the cost of living in Japan would appear to have risen little in that same period, it would seem that the poor exhange rate is affecting teacher recruitment. When I was first here in 1998, all teachers at my company were required to have a Celta or equivalent and most of my colleagues had prior overseas teaching experience too. When I returned to Japan in 2006, I discovered that I was one of very few certified EFL teachers in my entire region and that most of my colleagues are fresh from university with no teaching experience.
Last edited by Dipso on Wed Jan 03, 2007 9:19 am; edited 1 time in total |
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Alberta605
Joined: 23 Dec 2006 Posts: 94 Location: Japan
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Posted: Wed Jan 03, 2007 4:05 am Post subject: |
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I wonder if the changes in the economics of an English lesson can be compared to those of a Prada handbag? That would seem to be the existing equation in the minds of many Japanese language 'learners'. |
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fat_chris
Joined: 10 Sep 2003 Posts: 3198 Location: Beijing
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Posted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 10:55 pm Post subject: |
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Sweetsee wrote: |
Howdy Chris,
All Japan old-timers, even ones looking for jobs? That and I am curious about entry-level jobs for MA holders here. What do you see yourself doing here next year at this time? Thanks in advance.
Enjoy,
s |
I have applied to the JET program and would just use an ALT position in JET as a nice springboard into Japanese culture, language, and professional opportunities down the road. We'll see...
Regards,
fat_c |
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Glenski

Joined: 15 Jan 2003 Posts: 12844 Location: Hokkaido, JAPAN
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Posted: Fri Jan 05, 2007 3:09 am Post subject: |
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watching my salary shrink by almost 45% due to global market forces... not a happy camper. Japan's ESL industry seems unwilling to address this issue (and there are creative ways of addressing the issue without paying a higher salary), |
I have not heard of any employer in any field who addresses the matter of exchange rate. You get paid in Japanese yen based on the economics here, not in your home country and not based on any exchange rate.
What, User N. Ame, are these creative ways of addressing the issue without paying someone a higher salary? |
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