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Is the decline of the US economy affecting EFL in China?
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bluetortilla



Joined: 18 Apr 2006
Posts: 815
Location: Henan

PostPosted: Wed Nov 23, 2011 6:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Don't know about y'all, but I see a economic decline just about everywhere these days. Asian economies like China and Indonesia are booming, but a huge part of that is based on manufacturing of consumer goods that, one would think, developed countries are finding it harder to buy. You can't have 50 cakes and eat em all by yourself too. Not in one evening of sitting in front of the TV at any rate.

Who knows though- predicting economics is necromancy. Figures NOW for the US, Europe, and Japan are not good. Indonesia has recently imposed a tough set of regulations for foreign English teachers. Whether it has anything to do with economics or not is anybody's guess. It could actually be an attempt at quality control. It could be nationalist reaction or an attempt to get more English teaching jobs to Indonesians. Or a combination.

While there might be more Americans around in China now 'working' (doing what- teaching? cite figures please) it doesn't necessarily mean they're simply fleeing the economics horrors of the USA. Most people aren't so bold to dash to a country as distant and different as China just to make maybe $10-15 K USD a year at the expense of saying goodbye to family and friends.

China is attractive now for the young and curious, just like Japan used to be. If your credentials and experience are good and you find your job still being chipped away at, then you have some decisions to make perhaps.

China's policy toward FT's is up to them and always will be. And if the market mean longer hours, etc., because of a flood of new FT's, my advice would be to go somewhere else where you find conditions more to your liking.

Just my one yuan.
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Old Surrender



Joined: 01 Jun 2009
Posts: 393
Location: The World's Largest Tobacco Factory

PostPosted: Thu Nov 24, 2011 7:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Great Wall of Whiner wrote:
I recently found my job threatened (but not in jeopardy) because a young American 'college grad' came to my school promising to work for a very low salary and willing to work long hours.


GRRRR!!!!!!! Evil or Very Mad

I wish we would stop undercutting each other for wages. UGH.
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Non Sequitur



Joined: 23 May 2010
Posts: 4724
Location: China

PostPosted: Thu Nov 24, 2011 7:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Slightly off the track but connected, is this thought:
In the future much English will be 'non native to non native' communication.
A Chinese supplier emailing a Korean customer IN ENGLISH. It will be low level in vocab and grammar and poosibly incorporate a lot of txt spk.
If native speaking FTs want to stay in the game we should should be aware of the shift and participate in it.
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bluetortilla



Joined: 18 Apr 2006
Posts: 815
Location: Henan

PostPosted: Fri Nov 25, 2011 12:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Non Sequitur wrote:
Slightly off the track but connected, is this thought:
In the future much English will be 'non native to non native' communication.
A Chinese supplier emailing a Korean customer IN ENGLISH. It will be low level in vocab and grammar and poosibly incorporate a lot of txt spk.
If native speaking FTs want to stay in the game we should should be aware of the shift and participate in it.


When markets shrink, so will the demand for casual English teaching. But there will always be a need for professionals, native speakers or not. I remember my first Spanish professor at my university was not a native speaker but held a PhD in Spanish and lived for many years in both Mexico and Spain. My second professor was a native speaker and held the same qualifications (his English was perfect as well).
I think that as long as English remains the major medium for international communication there will be a need for accuracy and native English speakers will have opportunities. However, the demands for qualifications and professionalism are bound to grow as the industry tightens. After all, EFL IS an academic field. Predicting is shooting dice but I'd say more and more English jobs will be in the public schools K-12 and the colleges, and there will be far fewer private schools, and the remaining ones may be more devoted to test training and the like. Just showing up with a BA and as a native speaker probably won't cut it in the future. And really, why should it?
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DosEquisX



Joined: 09 Dec 2010
Posts: 361

PostPosted: Fri Nov 25, 2011 4:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think China is seeing their supply of teachers increasing as I have noticed that salaries are going down dramatically while hours are going up.

Then again, I am applying directly to universities on my own which could explain the horrible offers I have been receiving.
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jaydizzle



Joined: 25 Nov 2011
Posts: 57

PostPosted: Sat Nov 26, 2011 4:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Based on the Americans that I have contact, I would say that yes, there are a fair bit who come here because jobs are hard to find in America. I don't know that it's a significant figure though, since it does take a fairly steep (for me, anyway) investment of money and time up front to get to China to begin a job. I can say that losing a job in America did help me make the decision to come here though, and there are certainly economic benefits for being here.

That said, though, you may as well ask if tax benefits are responsible for the rush on ESL jobs here too. There's simply no way to tell.
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zanerguy



Joined: 19 Oct 2004
Posts: 21
Location: shanghai

PostPosted: Mon Nov 28, 2011 9:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The school I started at in 2004 had great difficulty filling all their positions. The one I am at now was desperately looking for more people in 2007 when I first started, and still is now. I think they have about 30 FT's total. As far as I know, 3 or 4 of them are American.
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bluetortilla



Joined: 18 Apr 2006
Posts: 815
Location: Henan

PostPosted: Mon Nov 28, 2011 9:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It still seems to me that China is on a boom when it comes to vacancies for FT's. Just try to get a job in Japan now! I found the job seeking process in China to be very welcoming.
It takes a lot of gumption to get up and move to a place as unfamiliar as China for an English job (with low pay), though obviously some do. I really doubt there will be any mass migration though. Most people tend to stay put near where they were born.
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zootown



Joined: 27 Nov 2009
Posts: 310

PostPosted: Tue Nov 29, 2011 11:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Miles Smiles wrote:
There are three Americans in my li'l outpost of progress. The rest are Australians (about 12 or so). Australia has its share of employment problems, and it's cheaper to fly them here.


Australia has an unemployment rate of 5.2%.It is not hard to get a job in Australia.Might not be what you are looking for when first starting out but you can work your way up no problem.If you really want a job you can go and work in the mining industry.Pays well.Lifestyle is crap though.

Australians love to travel and work overseas.They do tend to stick together in groups though.

Look at Whistler, Canada money is crap but there are more Australians working there than Canadians or so it seems.
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Miajiayou



Joined: 30 Apr 2011
Posts: 283
Location: Nanjing

PostPosted: Thu Dec 01, 2011 4:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Chinese will be the international language when aliens land and wipe all knowledge of any concept of an "alphabet" from everyone's brains.
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Cyberkada



Joined: 04 Dec 2011
Posts: 306
Location: Xi'an, China

PostPosted: Thu Dec 08, 2011 12:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

FIREFLY.... I always thought it was *interesting* that Chinese and English would dominate language-wise...

No seriously, Cebu is booming as an English training center for (Koreans and to a lesser extent, Japanese). The Global Call Center Industry is being centered in the Philippines. Ayala Mall there is packed with Koreans on most days...
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Cyberkada



Joined: 04 Dec 2011
Posts: 306
Location: Xi'an, China

PostPosted: Thu Dec 08, 2011 12:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

One of the big issues is the airfare and initial costs for Americans coming here. Younger teachers will balk at having to come up with airfare and initial living expense money to get wages lower than unemployment would pay in most cases. Many American FT hires are probably in Asia already it seems...
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Opiate



Joined: 10 Aug 2011
Posts: 630
Location: Qingdao

PostPosted: Thu Dec 08, 2011 1:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Cyberkada wrote:
FIREFLY.... I always thought it was *interesting* that Chinese and English would dominate language-wise...


Damn I miss that show.......
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Beyond1984



Joined: 13 Dec 2007
Posts: 462

PostPosted: Sun Dec 11, 2011 3:31 am    Post subject: Working cheap... Reply with quote

"I wish we would stop undercutting each other for wages." Twisted Evil - Old Surrender

""I'm a two-bit man. You take my job for twenty cents. And then I'll get hungry and take my job back for fifteen....I can't starve so's you can get two bits ..." Confused -John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath, Penguin edition, p. 436.

-HDT

"How does it become a man to behave toward this American government today? I answer that he cannot without disgrace be associated with it."
-Henry David Thoreau, "On the Duty of Civil Disobedience," 1849
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