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dixie



Joined: 23 Apr 2006
Posts: 644
Location: D.F

PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2008 6:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Guy Courchesne wrote:
Prof.Gringo wrote:
Go out and buy TODAYS copy of The News. It has a very interesting article about kidnapping. It says there are about 900 kidnappings per day. That's from NOTIMEX.


That sounds ridiculously high. They used to throw around the number 3000 per year. At 900 a day, that's 330,000 per year. Half the country would be effectively kidnapping the other half of the country every week or so. Somebody's numbers are coming from a pipe laden with really good crack.


High the numbers are (not sure about the individual calculating them!), but that is what the paper says, and as we all know, the news is always true!
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john_n_carolina



Joined: 26 Feb 2006
Posts: 700
Location: n. carolina

PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2008 8:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

doesn't Mexico have 30 states / provinces? that would be 30 people per province per day...maybe more in the North...might be possible, Mexico does have 120 million people
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john_n_carolina



Joined: 26 Feb 2006
Posts: 700
Location: n. carolina

PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2008 11:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

...one theory, i was just thinking about...maybe, some of the people kidnapped were faking their own disappearance? in other words, they weren't actually even kidnapped....maybe, their cousin reported them kidnapped, but they were actually on their way North?
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gypsygirl1475



Joined: 03 Dec 2007
Posts: 78

PostPosted: Thu Jan 24, 2008 12:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I've heard that alot of the kidknappings in Mexico were for body organs. My hubby said that people kidknap other people to take there organs and sell them. He said that it has been an ongoing issue for the government for some years now and that the organ knappings make just as much if not more money than most large drug deals. Who knows... Confused
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Guy Courchesne



Joined: 10 Mar 2003
Posts: 9650
Location: Mexico City

PostPosted: Thu Jan 24, 2008 12:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

One way the numbers get high is due to the way they count cases. Most 'kidnappings' aren't kidnappings at all, but armed robberies, often in taxis. Fairly common in the state of Mexico, neighbouring DF. The Feds wanted t clamp down on such crime, so they started to prosecute on kidnap charges, which carry a higher maximum sentence than simply armed robbery.

Quote:
I've heard that alot of the kidknappings in Mexico were for body organs.


There are theories that this is the reason behind the string of unsolved murders of women in Ciudad Juarez and surrounding area. Some say organs are taken and shipped north to the states for sale. I don't think they've ever found evidence of it though.
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gypsygirl1475



Joined: 03 Dec 2007
Posts: 78

PostPosted: Thu Jan 24, 2008 1:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Last year here in the states, my roommate needed a kidney transplant. He was not aproved do to his lifestyle and was put on a long waiting list, by the time his name would have come up he would have been dead. But his very, very rich brother made a big fuss, and a huge donation to the hospital, then, poof, the kidney showed up. Confused The kidney was shipped in from somewhere, but when I inquired they clammed up. There was a big ordeal at the hospital and when several other patients families found out it crazy. I don't know what happened after that. Who knows... Confused

Know one knows but the ones that do the crimes and the government officials covering it up for some reason or another. Rolling Eyes

Crime is everywhere and I still say that it is safer in Mexico than in the States.
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notamiss



Joined: 20 Jun 2007
Posts: 908
Location: El 5o pino del la CDMX

PostPosted: Thu Jan 24, 2008 3:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Guy Courchesne wrote:
Prof.Gringo wrote:
Go out and buy TODAYS copy of The News. It has a very interesting article about kidnapping. It says there are about 900 kidnappings per day. That's from NOTIMEX.


That sounds ridiculously high. They used to throw around the number 3000 per year. At 900 a day, that's 330,000 per year. Half the country would be effectively kidnapping the other half of the country every week or so. Somebody's numbers are coming from a pipe laden with really good crack.


johninmaine wrote:
doesn't Mexico have 30 states / provinces? that would be 30 people per province per day...maybe more in the North...might be possible, Mexico does have 120 million people


Well, that would be a really rough approximation that glosses over the differences in population between states. Another way to look at it�still a generalization, but perhaps somewhat closer to reality�is to make the simplifying assumption that every person has an equal chance of being kidnapped, whatever state they are in. Under this assumption, you calculate figures that are proportional to the state population. Using the [somewhat out of date - 2000] population figures from this page: http://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anexo:Lista_de_estados_de_M%C3%A9xico_por_poblaci%C3%B3n, 900 "kidnappings" or whatever-they-are per day would break down to 121 per day in Edomex, 79 per day in DF, 64 in Veracruz, and so on, all the way down to 4 per day in Baja California Sur, the state with the smallest population.
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MixtecaMike



Joined: 19 Nov 2003
Posts: 643
Location: Guatebad

PostPosted: Thu Jan 24, 2008 7:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Be Afraid. Be VERY afraid!
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veroax



Joined: 31 Jan 2007
Posts: 57
Location: Bogot�, Colombia

PostPosted: Thu Jan 24, 2008 9:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

First off, I apologize for any unseemly generalizations�..

It seems to me that expats in Latin America tend to fall into two different camps on the safety issue. The first camp holds that Latin America isn�t really more dangerous than elsewhere, and that what dangers exist can be easily avoided by not smoking crack and avoiding pirate taxis in Mexico City�the big no-brainers. They essentially feel that it is a non-issue, and they get cranky when someone suggests that Latin America is dangerous. Characterizing Mexico as dangerous is the result of ignorance and bad journalism.

The second group says that Latin America does indeed have a high crime rate, beyond that of the States, Canada, etc. They feel that there is more danger in Latin America, but that they can mitigate those risks to the point that they can live here comfortably. They don�t look over their shoulders every other minute. I doubt many would stay if they did. But they do feel that crime in this part of the world is an issue that merits special attention.

Both groups acknowledge that much of your safety depends on your own behavior and decision-making. But they differ on how to characterize crime in Latin America. It might not be popular on this board, but I find myself in the second category. Although I realize that crime has been escalating in the States, I just don�t see that things are better off south of the border.

Am I worried about turning up dead by the train tracks? Clearly, no I�m not. I would have moved to Japan by now if I did. But the fact that most foreign English teachers can live comfortably without constant fear, doesn�t really mean all that much about the state of crime in Mexico. My feeling safe and the existence of a widespread problem are not mutually exclusive. I think that saying crime isn�t much of a problem in Mexico does a disservice to people who live in more precarious situations that some foreign English teachers.
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MELEE



Joined: 22 Jan 2003
Posts: 2583
Location: The Mexican Hinterland

PostPosted: Thu Jan 24, 2008 10:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

You forgot the ones who are paranoid and in constant fear, certain that they are living on borrowed time--but stay here anyways.
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Samantha



Joined: 25 Oct 2003
Posts: 2038
Location: Mexican Riviera

PostPosted: Thu Jan 24, 2008 11:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don�t know any like that. I find just the opposite, with some exhibiting a false sense of security, doing things and going places they wouldn't do up north because "it feels so safe here".
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veroax



Joined: 31 Jan 2007
Posts: 57
Location: Bogot�, Colombia

PostPosted: Fri Jan 25, 2008 2:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I haven�t happened across many of the paranoid types either. But I do imagine that there are some out there.
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