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Brexit begins
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jonniboy



Joined: 18 Jun 2006
Posts: 751
Location: Panama City, Panama

PostPosted: Fri Feb 26, 2016 9:18 pm    Post subject: Re: Brexit begins Reply with quote

Hod wrote:
In an English Home Counties pub this weekend, I overheard a woman of voting age discussing the upcoming referendum. She recalled a time she went to a café in Paris only for the waiter to apologise as he didn’t speak English. “Yes, you effing well do”, was her reply. I got the impression this one event would help make her a “No” voter.


There was a time when I´d have voted exit, but the story above illustrates the problem. A lot of the people that want to leave are a ragtag bunch of nutters and extremists with random gripes that they blame on the EU and an irrational fear of foreigners. They cling to variants of the lump of labour theory. (A million unemployed, kick out a million foreigners, all will be hunk dory. Nope.)

Recently, I saw stories about fears of the mosquito-borne Zika virus entering the UK and that lot were out in force calling for the border to the EU to be closed. Quite how that stops mosquitoes from the Carribbean entering is anyone´s guess, but that seems to be their kneejerk response to everything.

In terms of exit, unless the UK negotiated a Norway style deal, which would mean them still contributing the EU budget anyway, the EU would most likely respond to any Brexit by making an example of the UK to discourage other countries doing the same. Expect less favourable trade conditions and so on in response to any curtailing of free movement. A lot of economic decisions which affect the UK would still be made in Brussels anyway. The only diff is that the UK wouldn´t be there at the table to discuss them. Quite a lot of businesses currently in the UK would probably do their own "Brexit."
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sheikh radlinrol



Joined: 30 Jan 2007
Posts: 1222
Location: Spain

PostPosted: Fri Feb 26, 2016 9:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

jonniboy,
If you allow the anecdote of the Home Counties lady´s disdain for the the French to influence your views then that is your problem.
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Hod



Joined: 28 Apr 2003
Posts: 1613
Location: Home

PostPosted: Fri Feb 26, 2016 10:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sheikh radlinrol wrote:
jonniboy,
If you allow the anecdote of the Home Counties lady´s disdain for the the French to influence your views then that is your problem.


Phenomenal.

Ordinarily, a person who bases their opinion of an entire nation on one waiter in a cafe would be seen as narrow minded and pig ignorant. But for this referendum, their vote counts just as much as us educated folks, right sheikh radlinrol? Maybe that's what's influenced jonniboy and not that daft woman?
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johnslat



Joined: 21 Jan 2003
Posts: 13859
Location: Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 12:06 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Anecdotes, like analogies, can't prove anything by themselves; they only illustrate, However, when a anecdote is deliberately used by a writer as an illustration of what the writer sees to be representative of a widespread mind-set, as this does:

"A lot of the people that want to leave are a ragtag bunch of nutters and extremists with random gripes that they blame on the EU and an irrational fear of foreigners."

then the discerning reader should realize that the anecdote is not merely an isolated example but has been linked to a more general attitude.

Regards,
John
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wangdaning



Joined: 22 Jan 2008
Posts: 3154

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 12:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

johnslat wrote:

Anecdotes, like analogies, can't prove anything by themselves; they only illustrate, However, when a anecdote is deliberately used by a writer as an illustration of what the writer sees to be representative of a widespread mind-set, as this does:

"A lot of the people that want to leave are a ragtag bunch of nutters and extremists with random gripes that they blame on the EU and an irrational fear of foreigners."

then the discerning reader should realize that the anecdote is not merely an isolated example but has been linked to a more general attitude.


Would that not apply to the statement, "A lot of the people that want to leave are not a ragtag bunch of nutters and extremists with random gripes that they blame on the EU and an irrational fear of foreigners."

What is a lot of people? What is a nutter or extremist? What are the random gripes? This turns out to be a very non-specific statement from Jonniboy. A lot of people supporting a decision meet his disapproval so he flip-flops on it.

It is a poor generalization.
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johnslat



Joined: 21 Jan 2003
Posts: 13859
Location: Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 1:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think you've misread the post. His opinion that a lot of people who are supporting the leaving are " a ragtag bunch of nutters and extremists with random gripes that they blame on the EU and an irrational fear of foreigners."
is not, I think, the REASON he is against it.

But he does mention his reasons: "In terms of exit, unless the UK negotiated a Norway style deal, which would mean them still contributing the EU budget anyway, the EU would most likely respond to any Brexit by making an example of the UK to discourage other countries doing the same. Expect less favourable trade conditions and so on in response to any curtailing of free movement. A lot of economic decisions which affect the UK would still be made in Brussels anyway. The only diff is that the UK wouldn´t be there at the table to discuss them. Quite a lot of businesses currently in the UK would probably do their own "Brexit."

You're right that it's a generalization, not to mention ad hominem, but it's not, as you stated:

"A lot of people supporting a decision meet his disapproval so he flip-flops on it."

WHY he "flip-flopped" (which is a negative way of saying that he's changed his mind.)

Regards,
John
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Knedliki



Joined: 08 May 2015
Posts: 160

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 10:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

While everyone is getting whipped up about this referendum it shouldn't be used as a smokescreen by the government so they can introduce some awful policies under the radar.
Never trust a tory.
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Phil_K



Joined: 25 Jan 2007
Posts: 2041
Location: A World of my Own

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 2:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Never trust a tory


Oh dear, just when I was enjoying intelligent debate, out comes the Guardian/Mirror reader.
I'm a Tory, and I'm extremely trustworthy. Care to step outside to discuss it?
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Hod



Joined: 28 Apr 2003
Posts: 1613
Location: Home

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 2:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I never understand how anyone can go through life supporting only one political party. As for suggesting any party would use a high-profile event as a smokescreen, we've seen that before.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1358985/Sept-11-a-good-day-to-bury-bad-news.html
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Knedliki



Joined: 08 May 2015
Posts: 160

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 3:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Phil_K wrote:
Quote:
Never trust a tory


Oh dear, just when I was enjoying intelligent debate, out comes the Guardian/Mirror reader.
I'm a Tory, and I'm extremely trustworthy. Care to step outside to discuss it?


Not really, I'm not 14 year old.

The tory record is there for anyone with a conscience to draw their own conclusions from
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Phil_K



Joined: 25 Jan 2007
Posts: 2041
Location: A World of my Own

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 3:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

But without specific examples, the argument is worth nothing.
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Knedliki



Joined: 08 May 2015
Posts: 160

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 3:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Record levels of homeless people, this week charities such as shelter said around 40% of homeless are mentally ill.
Highest ever suicide rate.
Teachers leaving the UK in unprecedented numbers.
Junior doctors forced into striking for the first time ever.
More food banks than ever before.

There's a few points for you.This is Tory Britain, but on the plus side, with all these public sector cuts we will build up a surplus, so we'll be able to bail out the banks again in the future if we need to.
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gregory999



Joined: 29 Jul 2015
Posts: 372
Location: 999

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 3:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hod, still undecided?
Are you IN or OUT? Laughing


I guess the outers, like scotty, are those with age over 65, they still living in the past!

The history of the Scots vote for independence will repeat itself in the EU referendum, just watch the political space of the EU.

The UK is stronger within the EU than outside.
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Hod



Joined: 28 Apr 2003
Posts: 1613
Location: Home

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 3:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't know yet.

I heard a good point yesterday. If the UK leaves, we can always go back to the EU cap in hand. Would they really say no? I doubt it.
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gregory999



Joined: 29 Jul 2015
Posts: 372
Location: 999

PostPosted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 3:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Knedliki wrote:
Highest ever suicide rate.

Why? What is the cause?
Life without spiritual faith?
Do you think the suicide rate will diminish if the UK is outside the EU?
I doubt it.


Quote:
Teachers leaving the UK in unprecedented numbers.

Why? Salary is not good? Teaching hours too long? Ofsted 'police' regime?
Do you think these problems will be solved if the UK is outside the EU?
I doubt it.

Quote:
Junior doctors forced into striking for the first time ever.

Replace them with Eastern European doctors with half salary! Laughing
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