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Which School's gonna give?

 
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Which school will be the first to go?
NOVA
60%
 60%  [ 9 ]
GEOS
26%
 26%  [ 4 ]
ECC
6%
 6%  [ 1 ]
AEON
6%
 6%  [ 1 ]
Total Votes : 15

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angrysoba



Joined: 20 Jan 2006
Posts: 446
Location: Kansai, Japan

PostPosted: Tue May 16, 2006 1:51 pm    Post subject: Which School's gonna give? Reply with quote

It seems that all of the Big Four are currently expanding beyond their means in a desperate scramble for hegemony.

NOVA are being talked about as the sinking ship now on another thread but GEOS also seem to be having troubles of their own right now, their student numbers are dwindling and schools are cutting back on staff. ECC went through a period of expansion a few years back but can they maintain their postition?

Has anyone also noticed that none of the Big Four use famous actors and Western celebrities in their advertising anymore? Can't AEON afford the likes of Cameron Diaz and Ewan McGregor anymore?

Are they all fighting some kind of war of attrition in which they are hoping to bankrupt the others?

If so one of them has to give at some point, who is it going to be?
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guest of Japan



Joined: 28 Feb 2003
Posts: 1601
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Tue May 16, 2006 11:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ewan McGregor was a complete failure for advertising for AEON. Most Japanese had no idea who he was. The two Japanese actors they are using now are a complete success, which is why they've been using them for years.

Still, the whole industry is having a harder time now. AEON used to make most of its money on government refunded student contracts. That system in no longer in use, so AEON is having to merge a lot of the kids schools with the adult schools. Since AEON never went nuts with school openings, they aren't really having a big problem. They made huge profits form 2000 to 2004 and pretty much consider the current environment as a stabalization.
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JimDunlop2



Joined: 31 Jan 2003
Posts: 2286
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Wed May 17, 2006 4:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Instead of a "death poll" you should create a "death pool" where everyone throws in 5000yen and their wager who will bite it first -- winner gets the kitty... Smile
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markle



Joined: 17 Jan 2003
Posts: 1316
Location: Out of Japan

PostPosted: Wed May 17, 2006 11:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yeah Jim, that'll come in handy if people pick thier own school and become unemployed.
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Like a Rolling Stone



Joined: 27 Mar 2006
Posts: 872

PostPosted: Thu May 18, 2006 4:20 am    Post subject: ! Reply with quote

Yoiks! Shocked What do the teachers do if their company goes belly up? Can you get paid? Confused If you can't get paid and you have no money do you get deproted? Mad
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angrysoba



Joined: 20 Jan 2006
Posts: 446
Location: Kansai, Japan

PostPosted: Thu May 18, 2006 6:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

That's a nice idea Jim except for the fact that I don't want to win any money in a bet that involves mass unemployment. I am only asking if people will agree that there will be a casualty in this saturated market. My own belief is that GEOS will go. I know alot of people there who see a massive iceberg on the horizon and the wisdom of the company seems to be to charge at it as fast as possible.
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PAULH



Joined: 28 Jan 2003
Posts: 4672
Location: Western Japan

PostPosted: Thu May 18, 2006 8:19 pm    Post subject: Re: ! Reply with quote

Like a Rolling Stone wrote:
Yoiks! Shocked What do the teachers do if their company goes belly up? Can you get paid? Confused If you can't get paid and you have no money do you get deproted? Mad


You cant get deported as you have a valid visa and havent broken any laws. You will need a new sponsor when you renew your visa though.
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wangtesol



Joined: 24 May 2005
Posts: 280

PostPosted: Fri May 19, 2006 6:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
government refunded student contracts.


You mean kyufu?
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guest of Japan



Joined: 28 Feb 2003
Posts: 1601
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Fri May 19, 2006 10:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't remember what they were called in Japanese. I haven't worked there in a couple years. Basically the governemt gave one year refunds to citizens who took up English study at AEON. They had to have about 70% attendance and at the end of the year the students would get back the cost of the lessons. Because of this, AEON's bread and butter was very expensive, small class, grammar focused lessons. These lessons are usually way out of most people's budgets, but they were actually effective in impoving student English ability.
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angrysoba



Joined: 20 Jan 2006
Posts: 446
Location: Kansai, Japan

PostPosted: Fri May 19, 2006 1:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kyufukin was the name of the system you were talking about. The problem with it was that the vast majority of students that took advantage of this system chose not to renew contracts. They couldn't afford the high prices of most of the Big Four's contracts and so quit at the end of their kyufukin contracts. In fact, very few students could actually afford such contracts without taking out loans. Recently, there have been a number of scandals involving loan providers, notoriously the one that uses a dog in it's advertising so I wouldn't be surprised if this results in a drop off in student numbers.

Here's an article about Aiful in today's Guardian:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/elsewhere/journalist/story/0,,1778980,00.html

Quote:
The companies insist they need to charge higher interest than banks because they offer high-risk loans and that reducing rates would simply encourage even more people to take out loans they can't - or won't - pay back.

That may be some truth in that. After all, there is no use denying that people can be irrational - stupid even - when offered an apparent quick fix to their money troubles. But as Japan's experience shows, those normal human weaknesses have created havoc because "respectable" loans firms were only too happy to exploit them.



Given that Big Four eikaiwa companies are also happy to exploit their student's "dreams", I wonder how long it will be before the NOVA usagi is similarly villified.
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wangtesol



Joined: 24 May 2005
Posts: 280

PostPosted: Fri May 19, 2006 11:25 pm    Post subject: corporate welfare kyufukin Reply with quote

Thanks for that, soba. Smile

Kyufukin, government subsidized tuition for private companies, is a clear example of how the private language school industry does not work on free market principles; it relies on corporate welfare (kyufukin) and scofflaw tactics such as not enrolling teachers in mandatory National Health Insurace (shakai hoken) and illegal outsourcing contracts (gyomu itaku).


Last edited by wangtesol on Sun May 21, 2006 8:31 pm; edited 1 time in total
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ironopolis



Joined: 01 Apr 2004
Posts: 379

PostPosted: Sat May 20, 2006 5:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Was it just me or did anyone else think the way they sang the name of the company in Aiful's adverts sounded uncannily like "I fool you"?!
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alexrocks



Joined: 13 Feb 2006
Posts: 75
Location: Kyoto, Japan

PostPosted: Sun May 21, 2006 11:23 am    Post subject: Re: ! Reply with quote

Like a Rolling Stone wrote:
Yoiks! Shocked What do the teachers do if their company goes belly up? Can you get paid? Confused If you can't get paid and you have no money do you get deproted? Mad


If you lose your job without being paid a portion of your income, there is a government insurance program which will pay 80% of it back within six months. There's some paperwork (in Japanese) involved, so hopefully your company will help you out with it. Or maybe a Japanese friend/aquaintance or something. They started this program like four years ago I heard. I should be getting backpay from my previous company (NCB) pretty soon, actually.
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