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JaredW · Posted: Wed Jul 26, 2006 6:42 pm Post subject: Japanese Population Decline

Did anyone read the MDN-Mainichi article about the rapid decline of the Japanese population. By 2200 AD, the population will be 35 million or Pre-Meiji Jidai population.

What is this going to do for salaries. I just can't imagine with the current decline in college numbers and the bleak outlook that salaraies are going to rise anytime soon.

http://mdn.mainichi-msn.co.jp/waiwai/archive/news/2004/06/20040630p2g00m0dm999000c.html

Glenski · Joined: 15 Jan 2003 Posts: 12844 Location: Hokkaido, JAPAN

Entry level salaries started to fall a couple of years ago. Desperate teacher wannabes take the jobs anyway and perpetuate the problem. That much has nothing to do with population decline.

Speed · Joined: 04 Jul 2003 Posts: 152 Location: Shikoku Land

Chris21 · Joined: 30 Apr 2006 Posts: 366 Location: Japan

Keep in mind that the above link is from the same newspaper that reported that male Junior High School students were having sex with their mothers to relieve exam stress... it's trash.

From what I've seen of UN population projections, even they won't go beyond 2050, let alone 2200. And even in the UN population projections, they present four possible scenarios that might happen, including a scenario in which the population dramatically increases because of a loosening of immigration restrictions.

The decline in teacher salaries is because old myths die hard. The 1980s myth that the streets in Japan are paved with gold, still encourages anyone desperate for a job to come over. The result is a huge pool of poorly qualified teachers. Law of supply and demand says that salaries will be driven down (and they have been).