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What consequences will the coup have?

 
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Will the coup create a greater demand for English teachers in Thailand?
Yes! There will be a greater demand!
0%
 0%  [ 0 ]
No! The coup will have no effect on the demand for English teachers!
78%
 78%  [ 11 ]
The coup will decrease the demand for English teachers!
21%
 21%  [ 3 ]
Total Votes : 14

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Big John Stud



Joined: 07 Oct 2004
Posts: 513

PostPosted: Thu Sep 21, 2006 5:16 am    Post subject: What consequences will the coup have? Reply with quote

What consequences will the coup have on the demand for English teachers in Thailand?
Do you think this Coup will make a greater demand for English teachers in Thaland? Will schools offer more money to experience English teachers?
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englishgibson



Joined: 09 Mar 2005
Posts: 4345

PostPosted: Thu Sep 21, 2006 10:05 am    Post subject: What consequences will the coup have? Reply with quote

I believe it will decrease the number of teachers and the demand for English and I've voted so. I know you guys there've been enjoying your lives as well as those sexy Thai babes (tough to look elsewhere Smile ), but remember that this time this military interference's going to put the country into uncertainty. Further more, the obvious manipulation with its system (this time) is going to send "signals" to not only other countries' politicians but also business communities around the world.
Militaries of countries are for defence of those countries and defence means an action against an attack Wink
Peace to world
and
cheers and beers to Thai babes and the hard working FTs with'em Smile

_____________________________________________________________
I didn't succeed killing him, so I overthrew him
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adamsmith



Joined: 27 Jan 2006
Posts: 259
Location: wuhan

PostPosted: Thu Sep 21, 2006 11:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

as EG said, it will decrease the number of teachers and the demand for english. But to answer the poll as it reads. it would all depend on whether the number of teachers leaving outweighs the decrease in demand for English. If many teachers leave and the demand for english only decreases a little - then this would lead to an increase in demand for english teachers (and vice versa).

But in my opinion (based solely on what I have heard and read in the news) things are pretty peaceful at this time and I cannot see there being much change in the attitudes of the current teachers there. It sounds like most are content to let t go on and keep their own daily life style the same (or just holing up in their apartment with a keg o'beer and a babe or two until things setle down
as well, unless the military powers decide that they like being in power it will probably have little effect on the political risk situation facing int'l businesses - even the military have economists and they know where their paychecks come from.
Tourism will still boom so there will still be a demand for the english language to serve all of those tourists coming in. I would still travel there on a holiday although I would probably still want to wait for a couple of more weeks until things relax a little more.
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Kent F. Kruhoeffer



Joined: 22 Jan 2003
Posts: 2129
Location: 中国

PostPosted: Thu Sep 21, 2006 12:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

^ Greetings Good People


The coup will have no effect whatsoever on the demand for

English teachers in Thailand. Just my opinion, of course.

For the record, I voted 'no effect' in the OP's poll.


The proposed immigration crackdown scheduled to begin on October 1st

on the other hand, could have potentially HUGE implications on the market.

If they go ahead with it, thousands of teachers working without a proper visa

might consider leaving the country, creating a vacuum of immense proportions.


Details of the proposed restrictions on 30 day border-runs are available here.

In a nutshell, people coming in on a 30 day on-entry visa would be allowed a total of

90 days in Thailand, after which they would have to leave Thailand for 90 days,

unless they've converted to a Non-B and/or applied for a work permit.

This might affect as many as 50% of all EFL teachers in Thailand,

depending on who you believe and which forum you read.


If it happens ...


schools would have to 'up' their salary offers

and guarantee work permits to attract anyone;

two things they haven't done in a long long time.


We'll have to wait for a few weeks to see if this coup

has a knock-on effect on those proposed changes.

i.e., will the coup negate the immi crackdown?


That's the 10 million dollar question, imho.







Thailand teaching and travel resources available here :::: The Master Index Thailand ::::
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Big John Stud



Joined: 07 Oct 2004
Posts: 513

PostPosted: Wed Sep 27, 2006 1:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks everyone for your honest answers.
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Miyazaki



Joined: 12 Jul 2005
Posts: 635
Location: My Father's Yacht

PostPosted: Sun Oct 01, 2006 8:55 pm    Post subject: Re: What consequences will the coup have? Reply with quote

englishgibson wrote:
I believe it will decrease the number of teachers and the demand for English and I've voted so.


Nice try, but you're out to lunch on that one.

the military take over won't impact the demand for English tuition in Thailand and teachers will continue to flock to Thailand for EFL gigs.

It's business as usual; however, I'm receiving reports that since the military junta has taken over, the 2:30am curfew is no longer in effect. Is this correct?
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Kent F. Kruhoeffer



Joined: 22 Jan 2003
Posts: 2129
Location: 中国

PostPosted: Mon Oct 02, 2006 5:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I'm receiving reports that since the military junta has taken over,
the 2:30am curfew is no longer in effect. Is this correct?




On Friday night, I'm making it a point

to check into the matter fully.



Cheers!



PS:


To be totally honest, I never knew there was a 2:30AM curfew;

by that unGodly hour of the morning, I'm usually unconscious.







Thailand teaching and travel resources available here :::: The Master Index Thailand ::::
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gypsywoman



Joined: 19 Aug 2006
Posts: 63
Location: bangkok

PostPosted: Mon Oct 02, 2006 4:50 pm    Post subject: effect of coup Reply with quote

I've been doing business in Thailand for many years now, around 15 and I have seen it go through many tough times, corrupt pollies, tsunami, stock market crash etc etc. They always bounce back and things somehow work out, so I have no doubt that they will bounce back from this. As Kent said, the Visa restrictions will have a big impact as there are many people there on tourist visas and a lot of companies that prefer to pay their staff to do a visa run, rather than get a work permit for them.
I'm sure though, the government is aware how much money these people spend in the local economy, so will find a way to make the visa system more streamlined and still make it look like they are clamping down on unwanted elements.
Things will turn out ok I'm sure!
Cheers
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Sgt Killjoy



Joined: 26 Jun 2004
Posts: 438

PostPosted: Tue Oct 03, 2006 1:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It will not have any effect on demand for teachers, it might have an effect on supply, especially for those schools that tend to hire teachers straight from their home countries.
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