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Eikaiwa schools 10-20 years from now?

 
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kennycrft



Joined: 17 Jul 2007
Posts: 1

PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2007 5:10 am    Post subject: Eikaiwa schools 10-20 years from now? Reply with quote

Hi guys,

Im thinking of staying in japan for long term (10 years or more) and most likely will be teaching english. I know eikaiwa schools are popular now, but do you think it will still be popular 10 or 20 years from now? Do you think eikaiwa schools will still be popular in Japan? I would like to know from teachers who have been teaching at eikaiwa schools in Japan for a long time.
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Rooster_2006



Joined: 24 Sep 2007
Posts: 984

PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2007 8:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Why does it matter? If you're planning on coming over and teaching now, I'm sure you'll still be employed 10 years from now unless you really screw up. Even if the eikawa market shrinks to 1/10th of its current size, if you'd stuck it out for 10 years, you'd be close to the top and could probably still grab one of those jobs. That's my opinion on the issue, anyway.

I mean, first of all, most of the teachers only teach for one year. Therefore, just by sticking it out for two (let alone 10) years, you are already considered to be at a higher rank than most other teachers. Then consider that 10 years is the normal time necessary to get permanent residency -- meaning that in 10 years (or maybe 11 or so) you would no longer need visa sponsorship, which would make you a lot more employable by folks not willing to sponsor visas.

I'm sure eikawa will dwindle with a rising China, but no matter how powerful China becomes, there are still almost 400 million native English speakers in this world, and around 1.8 billion speakers counting L2 speakers -- a number that no one can ignore. There will still be SOME eikawa in Japan.
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Hoser



Joined: 19 Mar 2005
Posts: 694
Location: Toronto, Canada

PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2007 12:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

what will they call it then? "chukaiwa"?
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seanmcginty



Joined: 27 Sep 2005
Posts: 203

PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2007 6:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Eikaiwa market is definitely going down. Even without NOVA's collapse, it had already contracted by 5% in 2006 and will probably continue to decline in the years to come. There are quite a few reasons for this, not the least of which is the declining size of Japan's population.

Wages have been dropping like a stone for years too and there isn't any reason to expect that to stop anytime soon (especially with recent events). This is exacerbated by the weakening yen, though that situation could improve.

By way of example:

When I started working in Japan in 1999 with GEOS, my starting salary including bonuses when converted into Canadian dollars was over $45,000. Today, a mere 8 years later a person in the exact same job (starting with GEOS) could expect to make something closer to $23,000 Canadian. So the salary there declined by about half over that period, and that is pretty typical. A lot of that is due to the decline of the yen and rise of the Canadian dollar (when converted into US dollars the decline isn't anywhere near as sharp), but even in yen the salary and benefits have been steadily declining.

Basically, Eikaiwa is not a viable long term career option. Its not a bad way of getting into Japan if you want to live there long term, but you should have a plan on how to get out of Eikaiwa and move on to other lines of work (ie maybe doing a Master's and tyring to work at a university or something).
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RingofFire



Joined: 22 Jul 2007
Posts: 43

PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

seanmcginty wrote:
The Eikaiwa market is definitely going down. Even without NOVA's collapse, it had already contracted by 5% in 2006 and will probably continue to decline in the years to come. There are quite a few reasons for this, not the least of which is the declining size of Japan's population.

I don't understand, are you predicting some sort of "Children of Men" scenario for Japan? The population is supposed to decline to zero or something?

You're talking about the past and present, how does that manifest itself in the future? What in the future can you base your prediction that it's "going down"?

Eikaiwa may very well not exist in a generation or two, but there have been only a very few industries in the world that have been phased out of the mainstream, and in 10-20 years as the OP has specified. Of those industries I can think of the pocket pager and the floppy disk, but both of those survive in some form today, and most of the people who used to make those now make the things that have replaced them. And of those industries, their demise was not foreseen unless something in its place already exists. That something is not there yet, nor is there any indication that it will be.

I don't foresee eikaiwa disappearing in the life of my career, and if it does, I'll probably be doing something better anyways, but if it does, some other form of English teaching for the entry-level instructor will take its place.
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Alberta605



Joined: 23 Dec 2006
Posts: 94
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 11:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

conversation schools in 10 years? Hopefully all gone. The...'conversators'..'conversationalists'...whatever they like to call themselves (surely not 'teachers'!!?) will not be missed in a country that really needs to weed out this anomalous tumor of poorest quality in a nation otherwise over-loaded with quality concepts and services.
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womblingfree



Joined: 04 Mar 2006
Posts: 826

PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Alberta605 wrote:
conversation schools in 10 years? Hopefully all gone. The...'conversators'..'conversationalists'...whatever they like to call themselves (surely not 'teachers'!!?) will not be missed in a country that really needs to weed out this anomalous tumor of poorest quality in a nation otherwise over-loaded with quality concepts and services.


That's very harsh. Eikaiwa do what they say they'll do, provide access to foreigners for conversation, and many of the students are fully aware of the set-up of transient foreigners and the business model.

It's the poor 'conversators' Laughing that are usually in the dark about the whole thing.


Last edited by womblingfree on Sat Dec 01, 2007 1:55 am; edited 1 time in total
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Berzerker



Joined: 03 May 2007
Posts: 28

PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 7:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Alberta605 wrote:
conversation schools in 10 years? Hopefully all gone. The...'conversators'..'conversationalists'...whatever they like to call themselves (surely not 'teachers'!!?) will not be missed in a country that really needs to weed out this anomalous tumor of poorest quality in a nation otherwise over-loaded with quality concepts and services.


Excuse us your majesty.
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