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Doom and gloom.
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markle



Joined: 17 Jan 2003
Posts: 1316
Location: Out of Japan

PostPosted: Wed Dec 17, 2008 12:09 pm    Post subject: Doom and gloom. Reply with quote

How bad do some of the long-timers think things are going to get here? I mean I'm sure there is some lag time but the economic crisis is going to start to bite soon, if it hasn't already.

Also anyone looking to come here might want to reappraise the idea.
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Glenski



Joined: 15 Jan 2003
Posts: 12844
Location: Hokkaido, JAPAN

PostPosted: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Back in 1995 when it hit this low, it took about 4 years to come back up over 100. Shrug. Who can say?

Bigger question should be, how many PMs are we going to get before that happens (and who is the next one)? Smile
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AgentMulderUK



Joined: 22 Sep 2003
Posts: 360
Location: Concrete jungle (Tokyo)

PostPosted: Wed Dec 17, 2008 5:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I was always amazed that young graduates came to Japan to save money anyway.

But now , the exchange rate surely has buggered up any notion of saving totally.

136Yen=1 GBP

I cannot think of any one word to describe that. The closest would be "comedy"
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markle



Joined: 17 Jan 2003
Posts: 1316
Location: Out of Japan

PostPosted: Wed Dec 17, 2008 6:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

AgentMulderUK wrote:
I was always amazed that young graduates came to Japan to save money anyway.

But now , the exchange rate surely has buggered up any notion of saving totally.

136Yen=1 GBP

I cannot think of any one word to describe that. The closest would be "comedy"


Um if the yen is stronger that means people are getting more GBP for their yen which means that it makes more sense to come here and earn yen.

Actually I talking more about actual job opportunities. I mean locals have less disposable income and are more inclined to save what they have. Companies are cutting back 'unnecessary' expenditure. Could we see another big chain go under?
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AgentMulderUK



Joined: 22 Sep 2003
Posts: 360
Location: Concrete jungle (Tokyo)

PostPosted: Wed Dec 17, 2008 9:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The exchange rate cuts both ways. Think it through.

Just think how much a 22 year old will now need to come to set up in Japan. Much harder now and people might not want to bother.

What would be the point of setting out on a savings exercise given the price of the airfaire, key money, deposits, future rent and cost of living before first pay cheque. It was pretty bad already before all this economic destruction.

As for jobs, unemployment rates in Japan were rising ominiously last time I checked.
Less pocket money= less hobbey money = less English, one would imagine.
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Apsara



Joined: 20 Sep 2005
Posts: 2142
Location: Tokyo, Japan

PostPosted: Wed Dec 17, 2008 11:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Edited because I didn't read the whole thread properly...

Last edited by Apsara on Thu Dec 18, 2008 1:26 am; edited 1 time in total
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GambateBingBangBOOM



Joined: 04 Nov 2003
Posts: 2021
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Thu Dec 18, 2008 12:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The number of 'part-time' postions is increasing (although what it actually means is just that the number of contat hours is reduced by maybe two a week but the job pays only about a third of what it did the year before- so it's well below the level needed to actually live in this country, and it's actually pretty close to what you'd get someplace like Thailand or China for about the same job).

Eventually, I think what will probably happen is that long timers will become more and more bitter and/or leave the country, and that a lot of young people will show up (and then leave either before or after the end of thier one year contract) after being told that 180,000Y a month is a great salary in Japan. After a while only people who do basically no research at all before packing up to move to Japan will show up. Then the salaries will start creeping up ever so slowly as the demand for native English speakers outpaces the number of people willing to come.
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markle



Joined: 17 Jan 2003
Posts: 1316
Location: Out of Japan

PostPosted: Thu Dec 18, 2008 1:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

AgentMulderUK wrote:

What would be the point of setting out on a savings exercise given the price of the airfaire, key money, deposits, future rent and cost of living before first pay cheque. It was pretty bad already before all this economic destruction.

As for jobs, unemployment rates in Japan were rising ominiously last time I checked.
Less pocket money= less hobbey money = less English, one would imagine.


I agree it would be pointless for the gap year contingency but if someone was well prepared (there are ways of limiting start up costs) and thinking long term (at least 2 years) then Japan is the most attractive ESL option in Asia.
My question is if there are going to be the jobs?
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Brooks



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Posts: 1369
Location: Sagamihara

PostPosted: Thu Dec 18, 2008 1:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

two teachers I work with are bailing. They will leave in January.
One will move to Hawaii and another will move to Australia to get certified.
Really, there are some people with good jobs but it seems that teachers are being divided into haves and have-nots.
I will lose my job. I am 38 but it is like I am considered too old. In other words schools just want teachers to be as young as possible so they can pay them less.
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phoenixstorm



Joined: 05 Dec 2007
Posts: 24

PostPosted: Thu Dec 18, 2008 1:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

So are you guys saying that showing up in march fresh faced and eager to job hunt will most likely result in doors slamming in faces?
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Brooks



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Posts: 1369
Location: Sagamihara

PostPosted: Thu Dec 18, 2008 2:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

March is late.
What kind of work are you looking for?
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flyer



Joined: 16 May 2003
Posts: 539
Location: Sapporo Japan

PostPosted: Thu Dec 18, 2008 7:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Brooks wrote:
two teachers I work with are bailing. They will leave in January.
One will move to Hawaii and another will move to Australia to get certified.
Really, there are some people with good jobs but it seems that teachers are being divided into haves and have-nots.
I will lose my job. I am 38 but it is like I am considered too old. In other words schools just want teachers to be as young as possible so they can pay them less.


I have never heard of any teacher getting paid less for being younger!?
where did you get that info from?
And while I take your point about age, its not black and white. I am in my mid 40's and have a good job (with only a degree)
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Brooks



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Posts: 1369
Location: Sagamihara

PostPosted: Thu Dec 18, 2008 7:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

it is true at my school.
My school says that they want to save money.
When people are hired, pay is determined by the experience they have, when they got their degree, and their age.
The longer one stays at the school, the higher the pay is.

You are up in Hokkaido, but down in Tokyo it is getting grim.
Teachers at my school can stay for 5 years then they will be cut.
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Hoser



Joined: 19 Mar 2005
Posts: 694
Location: Toronto, Canada

PostPosted: Thu Dec 18, 2008 9:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

flyer wrote:
Brooks wrote:
two teachers I work with are bailing. They will leave in January.
One will move to Hawaii and another will move to Australia to get certified.
Really, there are some people with good jobs but it seems that teachers are being divided into haves and have-nots.
I will lose my job. I am 38 but it is like I am considered too old. In other words schools just want teachers to be as young as possible so they can pay them less.


I have never heard of any teacher getting paid less for being younger!?
where did you get that info from?
And while I take your point about age, its not black and white. I am in my mid 40's and have a good job (with only a degree)


I think he means that new teachers tend to be young, whereas older teachers tend to have been in the system for a long time so their salaries are a little bloated due to pay raises. Can't say I blame them. Japanese people want to talk with foreign english speakers. Someone just out of university can do that job just as well as someone who has been working in the industry for 20 years.
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JL



Joined: 26 Oct 2008
Posts: 241
Location: Las Vegas, NV USA

PostPosted: Thu Dec 18, 2008 11:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Brooks,
May I ask what school you work for? I notice you're located in the Machida / Yokohama area, which is about where I had last lived when in Japan. I had been considering Yokohama for when I return. I'm 43, myself. Can't do anything about my age. I dunno, maybe I should start thinking about playing down my prior experience?? (Only half joking...)
Thanks. Any info. would be appreciated.
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