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ESL and the failing global economy
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william wallace



Joined: 14 May 2003
Posts: 2869
Location: in between

PostPosted: Wed Jan 07, 2009 9:20 am    Post subject: ESL and the failing global economy Reply with quote

Do you think that their will be an unprecedented flood of people coming into ESL/EFL due to the collapsing global economy ?
Will global ESL shrink marginally or as dramatic as other sectors of the economy ? A hiring freeze in major ESL markets ?
Cheers,
William Wallace
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Lhenderson



Joined: 15 Dec 2008
Posts: 135
Location: Shanghai JuLu Road

PostPosted: Wed Jan 07, 2009 3:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I expect it and hope so.

It will allow people in hiring positions such as myself to have a greatter pool of applicants to choose from for open positions. This will improve the whole profesion of ESL and make it more profesional then now.
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Guy Courchesne



Joined: 10 Mar 2003
Posts: 9650
Location: Mexico City

PostPosted: Wed Jan 07, 2009 3:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I expect we'll see an increase of recent graduates from the US and Canada getting in EFL abroad, as it becomes more difficult to find work back home. While the economy wasn't as bad off, I think we saw this happen in 2001.
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BenE



Joined: 11 Oct 2008
Posts: 321

PostPosted: Wed Jan 07, 2009 7:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think there's a delay before these things happen though but I think you are all right. People need to plan these things before they go abroad and teach. I personally am doing my CELTA in Vietnam and it has taken quite a while to plan and prepare and find the cash to go.

This plan first started to come to light in early October. I leave in February.
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Marcoregano



Joined: 19 May 2003
Posts: 872
Location: Hong Kong

PostPosted: Thu Jan 08, 2009 4:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

BenE wrote:
This plan first started to come to light in early October. I leave in February.


Actually Ben, this demonstrates how quickly things happen in the world of TESOL, and how soon the TESOL industry might witness an explosion in the number of aspring teachers - a period of less than five months takes you from conception to action. So many entry-level newbies in TESOL are able to get up to steam so quickly because so little baggage is needed or possessed. The majority of TESOL positions require little or no experience and the majority of those interested in these positions are single, with no kids or property. Have suitcase, will travel (and become a TEFLer!).
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Lhenderson



Joined: 15 Dec 2008
Posts: 135
Location: Shanghai JuLu Road

PostPosted: Thu Jan 08, 2009 4:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Marcoregano wrote:
BenE wrote:
This plan first started to come to light in early October. I leave in February.


Actually Ben, this demonstrates how quickly things happen in the world of TESOL, and how soon the TESOL industry might witness an explosion in the number of aspring teachers - a period of less than five months takes you from conception to action. So many entry-level newbies in TESOL are able to get up to steam so quickly because so little baggage is needed or possessed. The majority of TESOL positions require little or no experience and the majority of those interested in these positions are single, with no kids or property. Have suitcase, will travel (and become a TEFLer!).

Mr. Regano, I feel you are stereotyping TESOL positioners in your posting. Some positions (I'm in a HIRING POSITION NOW!) do, in fact, require experience for a high salary scale.
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Marcoregano



Joined: 19 May 2003
Posts: 872
Location: Hong Kong

PostPosted: Thu Jan 08, 2009 6:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Lhenderson wrote:
I'm in a HIRING POSITION NOW!


Noted! Wink
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Glenski



Joined: 15 Jan 2003
Posts: 12844
Location: Hokkaido, JAPAN

PostPosted: Thu Jan 08, 2009 8:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

People have already come into TEFL in droves from other careers. In the last few years, I've seen more prospective teachers from the IT world than ever before. And, this is an age of IT!!!!!

People are going to get fed up with their jobs and change, as usual, and come into TEFL, as usual.

Others are going to lose their jobs (not just quit them), and wonder if they can afford to go overseas just to make ends meet and start a new career or get things going just for a few short years, etc. These are the ones who may increase in number, but it all depends..

on the individual and his awareness that TEFL exists,
on whether they have enough money to do it,
on what stories they hear from those of us abroad living in equal squalor (recession is everywhere, y'know),
and on what stories they have heard from others who DON'T keep up with what is happening.

On that last note, I still see posts from people who hear that the streets of Japan are paved with gold and lucrative long-term positions are everywhere, etc. Sorry, that was 10 years ago or more.

BenE wrote:
Quote:
People need to plan these things before they go abroad and teach.
True, but what they need and what they actually do are usually quite different, opposite things.
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william wallace



Joined: 14 May 2003
Posts: 2869
Location: in between

PostPosted: Thu Jan 08, 2009 10:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

...so obviously the media alluding to the Great Depression is a mere illusion. Wink
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jpvanderwerf2001



Joined: 02 Oct 2003
Posts: 1117
Location: New York

PostPosted: Thu Jan 08, 2009 11:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

One theory I have is that the ESL industry won't be adversely affected by the crisis. Workers who are concerned about keeping their present positions--or looking for new ones, attempt to separate themselves from their colleagues/competition by upping their skills. Therefore, since English is valuable for many job-seekers, more and more people will take English lessons (viewing it as a necessary expenditure for future career success). Also, as the economies in non-English speaking countries dwindle, professionals will be looking towards other countries to live, work or study in--and need English to do so. (For instance, as an indirect result of the crisis, I have three executive-level private students who want to go to Canada or Australia for an MBA and need IELTS.) This is not to say, of course, that English-speaking countries haven't been affected, but I surmise that many are much more bullish longer-term on the US and the Commonwealth countries to weather this.

Whaddya think? Wishful thinking? Laughing
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william wallace



Joined: 14 May 2003
Posts: 2869
Location: in between

PostPosted: Thu Jan 08, 2009 12:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks! I hope that ESL stays viable,but there seems to be a separation from what is going on(hence reported in the media,NOT created by the media!) and an attitude of seeming ambivalence on these forums.

I was quite effected by the 1980-83 recession,and almost all sources are leaning towards the 1930s;the 1980 recession is being considered mild to this present downturn.
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Madame J



Joined: 15 Feb 2007
Posts: 239
Location: Oxford, United Kingdom

PostPosted: Thu Jan 08, 2009 3:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

BenE wrote:
I think there's a delay before these things happen though but I think you are all right. People need to plan these things before they go abroad and teach. I personally am doing my CELTA in Vietnam and it has taken quite a while to plan and prepare and find the cash to go.

This plan first started to come to light in early October. I leave in February.


I agree with Marcoregano-five months is nothing. However, your circumstances are possibly quite unusual. I took my CELTA in October, having wanted to take one for a year and a half previously; it had taken me that long simply to get the money together. Not just for the CELTA itself, but for living whilst on the course, post course unemployment and then potential airfare/set up costs for first period of time abroad.

Other people I met on my course reported a similar lead-up to finally taking the course-1. Decide to study CELTA, 2. Try and fail to save in typical post uni temp jobs, 3. Realise saving on that sort of wage is impossible and move back with parents, 4. Spend a couple of months in different area looking for work all over again, 5. Finally start saving!

In conclusion, I probably do agree with BenE on the time thing, but simply with our ideas of "a long time" differing slightly. Wink
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william wallace



Joined: 14 May 2003
Posts: 2869
Location: in between

PostPosted: Tue Jan 13, 2009 6:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

If scientists reported that a large comet was six months away from crashing into the Pacific Ocean extinguishing 80% of life on this planet; would posters still be asking mundane ESL questions for 5 months and 20 days ? Surprised
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johnslat



Joined: 21 Jan 2003
Posts: 13859
Location: Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

PostPosted: Tue Jan 13, 2009 2:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dear william wallace,

"If scientists reported that a large comet was six months away from crashing into the Pacific Ocean extinguishing 80% of life on this planet; would posters still be asking mundane ESL questions for 5 months and 20 days?"

Of course not - we'd only ask them for 5 months and 15 days. I figure I'd need at least two weeks to make it to the highest elevation as far away from the Pacific as possible.

Regards,
John
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anospi



Joined: 03 Dec 2004
Posts: 152
Location: Perth, Western Australia

PostPosted: Sun Jan 18, 2009 9:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I dare say wishful thinking jpvanderwerf2001. I was supposed to return to my old school in Poland in three weeks, but was recently informed I no longer have a job thanks to the financial crisis. My school had a lot of contracts with big companies, which counted for more than 50% of the students. A lot of these companies are having to make cutbacks, and the first thing to go are the employee English lessons. As such, my old school has lost a LOT of business, not to mention their best teacher. I was assured for months my job was secure, but apparently not.
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