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Should America take out Iran?
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Wed Jul 04, 2007 8:05 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I think we've reached a dead-end in this debate. The efficacy of strikes on Iran is highly doubtful, but the fact that the strikes would inspire; not prevent; terrorism is a near certainty.



Strikes with B-52 bombers might not work, but we are talking about some thing compeltetly different . . 20 ton rods falling to earth at 3200 meters a second would destroy anything they hit. There is no counter measure, this isn't a bunker buster. It is the the force of a comet hitting the earth. Better luck defending against a nuclear bomb.




Quote:
If Iran withdrew their support from Hezbollah, Hezbollah would find someone else to support it
.

Who ? and of course then the US could threaten there next sponser if the US had the right weapons too.

Anyway who would be Hizzbollah's next sponser? Saudi Arabia? Saudi Arabia ' top cleric calls Hizzbollah not the party of god but the party of the devil.


Quote:
Even if Nasrallah, the guy who's supposed to be the spokesmen for Hezbollah, said that the group should lay down its arms, the impact of that would be minimal.




Really and you take him at his word.

Quote:
It reminds me of a scene in "The Grapes of Wrath", only in reverse. In the book, someone comes to claim the farmer's land and the farmer wants to shoot him. But the repo man explains that the chain of command is too complex for there to be anyone worth shooting (http://www.marxists.org/reference/archive/steinbeck-john/1939/grapes-wrath/abstracts.htm). With Hezbollah, the chain of command is too short and spread out for there to be any one person or source of funding whose elimination would have much of an impact.
[/quote]



Without State support where would Hizzbolah get its money and weapons?

But anyway lets just see how powerful they would be without state support. And then keep in mind that Iran has incredible influence on Hizzbollah how much so? Its founder - the founder of Hizzbollah now says the group has become a pawn of Iran .

Hows that?

Anyway the right weapons will take Iran out of the equation.
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contrarian



Joined: 20 Jan 2007
Location: Nearly in NK

PostPosted: Wed Jul 04, 2007 12:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Do thye have the right weapons where they can use them now? No! How long will it be? until they do.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Wed Jul 04, 2007 5:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

contrarian wrote:
Do thye have the right weapons where they can use them now? No! How long will it be? until they do.


Yes and no.

But waiting till the US does it not such a bad thing. It gives a chance for Iran's supreme leader to die.

Iran's supereme leader is just as hardline as Iran's president when he leaves the scene things could get a lot better. On the other hand if they don't then Iran has a clear idea of where this conflict is going to lead the eventually.
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mack4289



Joined: 06 Dec 2006

PostPosted: Wed Jul 04, 2007 8:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Saudi Arabia probably wouldn't support Hezbollah, since the former is primarily Sunni and the latter is primarily Shiite. But they already share a common benefactor in Hamas, so who knows?

http://www.israel-mfa.gov.il/MFA/Terrorism-+Obstacle+to+Peace/Terror+Groups/Funding%20terrorism%2015-mar-2007

"Historically, much of Hamas' funding has come from Palestinian expatriates around the world and from private donors in Saudi Arabia and other oil-rich Persian Gulf states. Iran also provides significant support. In addition, some Muslim charities in the United States, Canada, and Western Europe funnel money into Hamas-backed social service groups."



So if Hamas gets much of their funding from private sources, why can't Hezbollah?
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Wed Jul 04, 2007 9:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mack4289 wrote:
Saudi Arabia probably wouldn't support Hezbollah, since the former is primarily Sunni and the latter is primarily Shiite. But they already share a common benefactor in Hamas, so who knows?

http://www.israel-mfa.gov.il/MFA/Terrorism-+Obstacle+to+Peace/Terror+Groups/Funding%20terrorism%2015-mar-2007

"Historically, much of Hamas' funding has come from Palestinian expatriates around the world and from private donors in Saudi Arabia and other oil-rich Persian Gulf states. Iran also provides significant support. In addition, some Muslim charities in the United States, Canada, and Western Europe funnel money into Hamas-backed social service groups."



So if Hamas gets much of their funding from private sources, why can't Hezbollah?


1. private sources don't have as much to give as governments

2. middle east regimes are police states. If they want to get rid of the private sources or rather if they are forced to - then the private sources will all be dead.

Mideast regimes control almost everything within their nations. In the mideast most of the clerics paid by the governments, the governments know who gets funded and what the elites within their nations do. Mideast states control the media and they have excellent security services.

So this is how to defeat Hizzbollah or Al Qaeda. Just get mideast regimes to take those that support Hizzbollah or Al Qaeda out of their homes in the middle of the night and cut their throats or lop off their heads or bury them alive. Mideast regimes are pretty skilled at the kind of thing.
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mack4289



Joined: 06 Dec 2006

PostPosted: Wed Jul 04, 2007 10:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Now we're really into speculation. My opinion is you're overestimating the control Middle Eastern regimes have over their populations. The other important thing is that terrorism, by its nature, is so decentralized that its hard to even say how relevant Hezbollah, or Hamas, or Al Qaeda is. Anyone who wants to be a terrorist can be one. Look at the guys who wanted to explode that bomb in London. As far as we know, none of them was affiliated with any of those organizations. They don't have to be.

Also, if you cut off the government funding, why wouldn't the private funding just increase to make up for it?

Just as an example of how Middle Eastern regimes don't have as much control as you might think, read this article about being gay in Saudi Arabia. I know being gay isn't considered nearly as much of a threat (it's not a threat at all) as terrorist activities so the government is bound to be more lenient with it. But still, it is punishable by death in Saudi Arabia. This article can give you an idea of how, when people are determined to do something, the government often doesn't have that much power to prevent it. To read the entire thing, you have to be a subscriber to the Atlantic. Here are some highlights:

http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200705/gay-saudi-arabia

"Yasser, a 26-year-old artist, was taking me on an impromptu tour of his hometown of Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, on a sweltering September afternoon.

.... �It�s a lot easier to be gay than straight here,� he had said. �If you go out with a girl, people will start to ask her questions. But if I have a date upstairs and my family is downstairs, they won�t even come up.�

Notorious for its adherence to Wahhabism, a puritanical strain of Islam, and as the birthplace of most of the 9/11 hijackers, Saudi Arabia is the only Arab country that claims sharia, or Islamic law, as its sole legal code.

.... The kingdom is dominated by mosques and malls, which the mutawwa'in patrol in leather sandals and shortened versions of the thawb, the traditional ankle-length white robe that many Saudis wear.

.... In Saudi Arabia, sodomy is punishable by death. Though that penalty is seldom applied, just this February a man in the Mecca region was executed for having sex with a boy, among other crimes.

... This legal and public condemnation notwithstanding, the kingdom leaves considerable space for homosexual behavior. As long as gays and lesbians maintain a public front of obeisance to Wahhabist norms, they are left to do what they want in private. Vibrant communities of men who enjoy sex with other men can be found in cosmopolitan cities like Jeddah and Riyadh. They meet in schools, in caf�s, in the streets, and on the Internet. �You can be cruised anywhere in Saudi Arabia, any time of the day,� said Radwan, a 42-year-old gay Saudi American who grew up in various Western cities and now lives in Jeddah. �They�re quite shameless about it.� Talal, a Syrian who moved to Riyadh in 2000, calls the Saudi capital a �gay heaven.�
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Thu Jul 05, 2007 12:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:

Also, if you cut off the government funding, why wouldn't the private funding just increase to make up for it?


well they won't get good weapons that way. Also the mid east regimes unlike the US can find who funds the terrorists.

Mideast regimes stay in power just fine. Any dissidents walking around ?

Anyway your article is very interesting and worth reading.
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mack4289



Joined: 06 Dec 2006

PostPosted: Thu Jul 05, 2007 6:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

But if the Middle Eastern regimes start really cracking down on the terrorist cells in their country, couldn't be they be upsetting the delicate balance that allows these governments to be in power? As I understand it, the ME govts basically have a deal with both the US and the terrorists: we'll try not to pis* either of you off so much that you cut off our aid (the US) or openly rebel against us (the terrorists).

The prime example of this is Pakistan. The US reimburses Musharraff for whatever he claims he spends fighting terrorism. In return, Musharraff claims he's better than whoever the Pakistanis would elect if they had democracy.

But Pakistanis and the rest of the ME need a chance to elect their leaders, even if that means they elect leaders openly hostile to the US. Either they elect them or they eventually force their way into power. The former has a much better chance of being peaceful than the latter.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Sat Jul 07, 2007 12:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

mack4289 wrote:
But if the Middle Eastern regimes start really cracking down on the terrorist cells in their country, couldn't be they be upsetting the delicate balance that allows these governments to be in power? As I understand it, the ME govts basically have a deal with both the US and the terrorists: we'll try not to pis* either of you off so much that you cut off our aid (the US) or openly rebel against us (the terrorists).

The prime example of this is Pakistan. The US reimburses Musharraff for whatever he claims he spends fighting terrorism. In return, Musharraff claims he's better than whoever the Pakistanis would elect if they had democracy.

But Pakistanis and the rest of the ME need a chance to elect their leaders, even if that means they elect leaders openly hostile to the US. Either they elect them or they eventually force their way into power. The former has a much better chance of being peaceful than the latter.


You think that is an ok status quo? it is what led the US to 9-11.
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mack4289



Joined: 06 Dec 2006

PostPosted: Sat Jul 07, 2007 12:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

No I don't think it's an ok status quo. That's why I support ME countries that want a chance to elect their leaders, even if it means electing groups like Hamas.

At the same time, I support the West pulling funding from countries that elect groups like Hamas. Any aid we give should have strings attached.

If the US wants to enhance its credibility, it should do everything it can to encourage democracy in countries all over the world. At the same time, drop this illogical policy of not talking to certain countries.

The US and the rest of the world's secular democracies have the best ideas of any country about how to provide opportunities, freedom and stability for their people. We should be showing the rest of the world how strongly we hold our convictions by being willing to talk to any group and explain why our ideas are better.
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SuperFly



Joined: 09 Jul 2003
Location: In the doghouse

PostPosted: Tue Jul 10, 2007 4:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
U.S. Navy sends third carrier to 5th fleet region

Reuters - 2 hours 7 minutes agoMANAMA (Reuters) -

The U.S. navy has sent a third aircraft carrier to its Fifth Fleet area of operations, which includes Gulf waters close to Iran, the navy said on Tuesday.


"Enterprise (aircraft carrier) provides navy power to counter the assertive, disruptive and coercive behaviour of some countries, as well as support our soldiers and marines in Iraq and Afghanistan," a U.S. Navy statement said.

The move comes weeks after a flotilla of U.S. warships sailed through the narrowest point in the Gulf to hold exercises off Iran's coast in a major show of force.

Tension over Tehran's nuclear ambitions has raised regional fears of a military confrontation. Recent U.S. naval presence in the Gulf has been the largest since the 2003 Iraq war.

The Fifth Fleet area of operations includes the Arabian Gulf, Arabian Sea, Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, Gulf of Oman and parts of the Indian Ocean.



I believe there are two lanterns hanging in the Motahari Mosque Tower in Tehran...
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