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Bin Laden Fights to Stay Relevant
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 4:55 am    Post subject: Bin Laden Fights to Stay Relevant Reply with quote

One conclusion to draw from the new Osama bin Laden video tape is that the mastermind of 9/11 apparently is worrying about his relevance these days.

And judging by the transcript, he has good reason to worry about it. Among other things, bin Laden maunders about corporations causing global warming and the Democrats failing to get the U.S. out of Iraq. Speculation is already rife that he is wearing a fake beard, since his grey of a few years ago has mysteriously disappeared. It seems he's either lost his mind, or is the victim of a covert action campaign.

The new tape aside, it's hard to imagine that bin Laden is happy about what he's wrought in the last six years since 9/11. How can he not see that he is accountable for the death of tens of thousands of Muslims, nearly all of them believers, innocent of any crimes against Islam? Whether he intended it or not, bin Laden is largely responsible for destroying Iraq. And displacing two million Iraqi Muslims.

Bin Laden has lost in the Kingdom. The Saudi royal family is still standing, having rooted out bin Laden's networks. Saudi Arabia is no closer now to the Islamic caliphate bin Laden envisaged than it was before 9/11. And Iraq has shown his vision of a supranational radical Islam to be more of a pipe dream than a reality.

The same is true for the rest of the Middle East. Without exception, regimes across the Middle East, from Pakistan to Morocco, are more repressive than they were before 9/11. It's arguable they are more stable and better prepared to crush bin Laden's extremist interpretation of Islam.

September 11 has not forced the United States to lessen its support to Israel. In fact, it has been increased � and with fewer questions. Likewise the United States is less inclined to protest human rights violations in the Middle East.

I have no doubt that bin Laden can and will mount a terrorist operation, anything from bombing the London tube to an attack on New York's subway. Thanks to the Internet, a suicide bomber under bin Laden's sway can buy all the chemicals he needs from his local pharmacy to fabricate a bomb. He also can find the religious guidance, as specious as it might be, to justify the act.

Bin Laden should know by now that if he does manage a terrorist attack, the only thing he should count on is a hardening of America and its allies' positions. Especially in Europe. An attack there, such as the foiled plot in Germany, would sweep away European unhappiness about secret prisons and Guantanamo, once again lining Europe behind the U.S. in its war against Al-Qaeda.

Islamic history will remember Osama bin Laden as a bad Muslim. Islamic canon is formal: a Muslim leader must do everything he can within his power to prevent fitna � civil war between Muslims. And that is exactly what Bin Laden has done in Iraq, drawing us into a war and creating the circumstances for Shia and Sunni to kill each other. Whether or not al-Qaeda is responsible for every market truck bomb in Iraq or not, it will be laid at bin Laden's feet.

With this kind of carnage tied to his name, bin Laden would be better off staying put in his cave and keeping his mouth shut.

Robert Baer, a former CIA field officer assigned to the Middle East, is TIME.com's intelligence columnist and the author of See No Evil and, most recently, the novel Blow the House Down

http://www.time.com/time/printout/0,8816,1660197,00.html
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atomic42



Joined: 06 Jul 2007
Location: Gimhae

PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 5:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Right, really neat post.
Bin Laden died in 2002, but even if he survived the kidney disease, bombings of Tora Bora and intense manhunt encompassing the entire globe, he's irrelevant and had nothing to do with the unfolding events. He's also incapable of dying his beard and recording a new video.

He's dead.
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Dome Vans
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 5:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Bin Laden should know by now that if he does manage a terrorist attack, the only thing he should count on is a hardening of America and its allies' positions. Especially in Europe. An attack there, such as the foiled plot in Germany, would sweep away European unhappiness about secret prisons and Guantanamo, once again lining Europe behind the U.S. in its war against Al-Qaeda.


I doubt it. Too many lies, too much water under the bridge. Nobody's going to forget Guantanamo while it's still open. The uneducated masses, who look , mouths open, believing whatever they are told by the government may 'line up' behind America. This war is not one that America can win. You're fighting an ideology, how exactly are you going to win it? Kill Bin Laden? You've not done very well up until now with that one.

All Bin Laden has to do is go on telly, say some words and that gives the US more scope to restrict civil liberties, the citizens living in constant fear of another 'terrorist attack'. There's not been one since 9/11 in the States but I'm sure that Bush isn't going to allow his people any chance to relax, hell no. Then they might wake up and realise he's using it to remove their civil liberties.

Quote:
September 11 has not forced the United States to lessen its support to Israel. In fact, it has been increased


Really? Hadn't noticed this. Another of the world's great serial human rights abusers. In cahoots with America, no way. Thought that America was Israel's poodle. Yep...... still is. How high shall I jump?

Come on Joo, sing along with me 'Onward christian soldiers fighting, marching as to war.....'
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 5:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dome Vansbehind the U.S. in its war against Al-Qaeda[/color].[/quote]

Quote:
I doubt it. Too many lies, too much water under the bridge. Nobody's going to forget Guantanamo while it's still open. The uneducated masses, who look , mouths open, believing whatever they are told by the government may 'line up' behind America. This war is not one that America can win. You're fighting an ideology, how exactly are you going to win it? Kill Bin Laden? You've not done very well up until now with that one.



Degrade Al Qaedas infrastructure. Kill their most talented terrorists and wear them down.

And get mideast nations to kill their supporters.

The US can win. All it needs to do is kill the leaders and elites and keep up the pressure.

Investing in alternative energy would help a lot too.






Quote:
All Bin Laden has to do is go on telly, say some words and that gives the US more scope to restrict civil liberties, the citizens living in constant fear of another 'terrorist attack'. There's not been one since 9/11 in the States but I'm sure that Bush isn't going to allow his people any chance to relax, hell no. Then they might wake up and realise he's using it to remove their civil liberties.



Maybe no attack because of the patriot act.

The US even with the Patriot act is one of the most free and tolerant nations on the planet


Quote:
Really? Hadn't noticed this. Another of the world's great serial human rights abusers. In cahoots with America, no way. Thought that America was Israel's poodle. Yep...... still is. How high shall I jump?


Compare Israel to Israel's enemies in the human rights department. Any day you want.

You won't cause in your case it is selective criticism.

Quote:
Come on Joo, sing along with me 'Onward christian soldiers fighting, marching as to war.....'



I have a better one for you the troll song from a cartoon.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Joo,

When I read the transcript of Bin Laden's speech, I thought the same thing. This guy is desperate. Its good to see someone like Baer agrees with me.



Dome Vans,

I'm still waiting on evidence of government funding of the US media. I'm a patient guy, but it seems like in your America-bashing fervor, you've forgotten all about my request. I tried looking for the evidence myself, but I can't find it! Again, I've always been under the impression that the American government does not fund the private media, so I was shocked when you asserted it. Am I missing out on something?

And now I feel the same sensation when you talk about Americans losing their civil liberties. I was wondering if you could point me to how my liberties are being threatened, because I'm feeling perfectly fine here in the US right now.
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butlerian



Joined: 04 Sep 2006
Location: Korea

PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Civil liberties are under fire across the globe. "The war on terror" is greatly helping governments to control its citizens. It's like a socialist/communist government, but without the decency. Disturbing, to say the least.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 3:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

butlerian wrote:
Civil liberties are under fire across the globe. "The war on terror" is greatly helping governments to control its citizens. It's like a socialist/communist government, but without the decency. Disturbing, to say the least.


You mean the with the Patriot act the US is less decent than the Soviet Union?

Even with the Patriot act the US is one of the most free and tolerant nations anywhere.

How have your Civil liberties been effected?
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 3:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

butlerian wrote:
Civil liberties are under fire across the globe. "The war on terror" is greatly helping governments...


Okay. Any support for loss of civil liberties in the US? I'm sure Dome Vans could point us to something...
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 3:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Noam Chomsky, Oliver Stone, Michael Moore, Naomi Wolf, Chalmers Johnson, Stephen Kinzer, William Blum, Keith Olbermann, and perhaps even Jon Stewart. Scott Ritter has been attacking the American govt since the Clinton Administration. All alive and well, however. None behind bars or harassed. And, more to the point, all still publishing their antigovernment invective and/or whatever-you-want-to-call-it.

Various governments have erred far worse than the W. Bush Administration in American history vis-a-vis civil liberties. And our republic still stands.

And I do mean "various goverments" and I do mean to say that this goes way back in American history. Yet our republic still stands.

Congress functions. The Supreme Court and all other courts function. States retain their rights and powers. The press remains free and universities and law-schools remain autonomous. Democratic elections still occur peacefully and regularly. And W. Bush will retire from office, as scheduled, when his successor peaceably takes office, whoever he or she might be, in Jan. 2009.

In any case, I join Kuros in asking for specifics and evidence. Our civil liberties are not under assault today. And they are not coming under assault, either. The far left, antiAmericans, and their shrill hyperbole notwithstanding.

Nice OP, Joo.
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nautilus



Joined: 26 Nov 2005
Location: Je jump, Tu jump, oui jump!

PostPosted: Sun Sep 09, 2007 7:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

JooRip wrote:
Bin Laden Fights to Stay Relevant


Actually the US just doubled the bounty on his head to $50 million.

Seems like he must be pretty important!

If they wanted him to lose cred the best thing to do is to reduce the reward for his capture. make him seem insignificant. That would bring him into the open more and make him easier to catch.
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mack4289



Joined: 06 Dec 2006

PostPosted: Mon Sep 10, 2007 6:40 am    Post subject: Re: Bin Laden Fights to Stay Relevant Reply with quote

Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee wrote:
One conclusion to draw from the new Osama bin Laden video tape is that the mastermind of 9/11 apparently is worrying about his relevance these days.

And judging by the transcript, he has good reason to worry about it. Among other things, bin Laden maunders about corporations causing global warming and the Democrats failing to get the U.S. out of Iraq. Speculation is already rife that he is wearing a fake beard, since his grey of a few years ago has mysteriously disappeared. It seems he's either lost his mind, or is the victim of a covert action campaign.

The new tape aside, it's hard to imagine that bin Laden is happy about what he's wrought in the last six years since 9/11. How can he not see that he is accountable for the death of tens of thousands of Muslims, nearly all of them believers, innocent of any crimes against Islam? Whether he intended it or not, bin Laden is largely responsible for destroying Iraq. And displacing two million Iraqi Muslims.

Bin Laden has lost in the Kingdom. The Saudi royal family is still standing, having rooted out bin Laden's networks. Saudi Arabia is no closer now to the Islamic caliphate bin Laden envisaged than it was before 9/11. And Iraq has shown his vision of a supranational radical Islam to be more of a pipe dream than a reality.

The same is true for the rest of the Middle East. Without exception, regimes across the Middle East, from Pakistan to Morocco, are more repressive than they were before 9/11. It's arguable they are more stable and better prepared to crush bin Laden's extremist interpretation of Islam.

September 11 has not forced the United States to lessen its support to Israel. In fact, it has been increased � and with fewer questions. Likewise the United States is less inclined to protest human rights violations in the Middle East.

I have no doubt that bin Laden can and will mount a terrorist operation, anything from bombing the London tube to an attack on New York's subway. Thanks to the Internet, a suicide bomber under bin Laden's sway can buy all the chemicals he needs from his local pharmacy to fabricate a bomb. He also can find the religious guidance, as specious as it might be, to justify the act.

Bin Laden should know by now that if he does manage a terrorist attack, the only thing he should count on is a hardening of America and its allies' positions. Especially in Europe. An attack there, such as the foiled plot in Germany, would sweep away European unhappiness about secret prisons and Guantanamo, once again lining Europe behind the U.S. in its war against Al-Qaeda.

Islamic history will remember Osama bin Laden as a bad Muslim. Islamic canon is formal: a Muslim leader must do everything he can within his power to prevent fitna � civil war between Muslims. And that is exactly what Bin Laden has done in Iraq, drawing us into a war and creating the circumstances for Shia and Sunni to kill each other. Whether or not al-Qaeda is responsible for every market truck bomb in Iraq or not, it will be laid at bin Laden's feet.

With this kind of carnage tied to his name, bin Laden would be better off staying put in his cave and keeping his mouth shut.

Robert Baer, a former CIA field officer assigned to the Middle East, is TIME.com's intelligence columnist and the author of See No Evil and, most recently, the novel Blow the House Down

http://www.time.com/time/printout/0,8816,1660197,00.html


How much influence do you think Bin Laden has in Iraq? Even if you buy that he has significant control over Al Qaeda in Iraq (which I have a lot of doubts about- by their nature, terrorist organizations are too decentralized to have one person have too much authority), AQ-Iraq is only estimated to be responsible for 15% of the attacks in Iraq (although they're often the most deadly), while Sunni insurgents are credited with 70%. http://abcnews.go.com/International/story?id=3366118.

That country was a civil war waiting to happen, right? With or without Bin Laden, it was probably going to hel* at some point.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Mon Sep 10, 2007 7:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

nautilus wrote:
JooRip wrote:
Bin Laden Fights to Stay Relevant


Actually the US just doubled the bounty on his head to $50 million.

Seems like he must be pretty important!


Good point.

Quote:
If they wanted him to lose cred the best thing to do is to reduce the reward for his capture. make him seem insignificant. That would bring him into the open more and make him easier to catch.


The reward for capture is meant to sow strife in the Jihadist movement. Its a package deal. If you serve Bin Laden to us on a goldent platter, we give you citizenship, safety, and money.

Bin Laden has to suspect everyone around him, so this reduces his mobility.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Mon Sep 10, 2007 8:43 am    Post subject: Re: Bin Laden Fights to Stay Relevant Reply with quote

mack4289 wrote:
[q

How much influence do you think Bin Laden has in Iraq? Even if you buy that he has significant control over Al Qaeda in Iraq (which I have a lot of doubts about- by their nature, terrorist organizations are too decentralized to have one person have too much authority), AQ-Iraq is only estimated to be responsible for 15% of the attacks in Iraq (although they're often the most deadly), while Sunni insurgents are credited with 70%. http://abcnews.go.com/International/story?id=3366118.

That country was a civil war waiting to happen, right? With or without Bin Laden, it was probably going to hel* at some point.



Bin Laden is an important symbol.

There are multiple strategies for winning the war on terror one part is destroying the leadership. The more leaders , symbols and strategists the US kills off the less effective the terror groups become.

And the US has been able to get about 25% to 33% of the Sunni insurgents to switch sides and fight against Al Qaeda.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Mon Sep 10, 2007 1:50 pm    Post subject: Re: Bin Laden Fights to Stay Relevant Reply with quote

Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee wrote:

Bin Laden is an important symbol.

There are multiple strategies for winning the war on terror one part is destroying the leadership. The more leaders , symbols and strategists the US kills off the less effective the terror groups become.

And the US has been able to get about 25% to 33% of the Sunni insurgents to switch sides and fight against Al Qaeda.


Switch sides? Let's be precise, the US has been able to get 25-33% of the Sunni insurgents to cease-fire against the US and fight Al Qaeda.

It's just another reason why the US should withdraw. It's clear that if the Iraqi Army will not take Al Qaeda on, the militias and current insurgency will.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Mon Sep 10, 2007 7:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

At some point soon the US ought to withdraw the vast majority of its forces to Kurdistan. They clearly support the US there.
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