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Prediction markets 2008

 
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thepeel



Joined: 08 Aug 2004
PostPosted: Mon Jan 07, 2008 9:20 am    Post subject: Prediction markets 2008 Reply with quote
From the FT:
Quote:

It's official: Hillary is in trouble

Dconv08 Over dinner on Friday night I rashly said that Hillary Clinton was still ahead of Barack Obama in the prediction markets, which - as we all know these days - are better predictors of election results than opinion polls. Challenged on this, I had to check on Saturday morning. On Saturday morning, I was right: but no longer. Obama has surged, presumably following polls putting him comfortably ahead of Clinton in New Hampshire.

http://blogs.ft.com/undercover/2008/01/its-official-hi.html


The above graph is of the entire Dem convention, not just NH. The market can be tracked here:
http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_DConv08.cfm

The Repub here:

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/WebEx/marketinfo_english.cfm?Market_ID=215



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_market
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Tiger Beer



Joined: 07 Feb 2003
PostPosted: Mon Jan 07, 2008 10:16 am    Post subject: Re: Prediction markets 2008 Reply with quote
thepeel wrote:
The Repub here:

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/WebEx/marketinfo_english.cfm?Market_ID=215



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_market

Sheesh, everytime Fred Thompson speaks, he loses more voters.
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