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Kim Jong-il may have no more than 5 years left

 
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Troll_Bait



Joined: 04 Jan 2006
Location: [T]eaching experience doesn't matter much. -Lee Young-chan (pictured)

PostPosted: Sun Nov 23, 2008 9:07 pm    Post subject: Kim Jong-il may have no more than 5 years left Reply with quote

http://freekorea.us/2008/11/23/monthly-chosun-rok-intelligence-intercepted-kim-jong-ils-brain-scan/

Quote:
The Monthly Chosun, quoting the South Korean intel leak ticker, is claiming that the Korean National Intelligence service, while doing electronic eavesdropping on North Korea last August, intercepted several encrypted electronic files being transmitted from Pyongyang to one Doctor Francois-Xavier Roux in France. It took three days to crack the encryption, at which point the intelligence officers realized that the files showed MRI and tomography scans of a brain showing stroke damage and partial paralysis. The Monthly Chosun�s source believes that the images are of the warped and clotted cerebellum of His Porcine Majesty.

...

The brain scans suggest that Kim Jong Il has no more than five years left, which ought to make for some ferocious office politics in the National Defense Commission.
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caniff



Joined: 03 Feb 2004
Location: All over the map

PostPosted: Sun Nov 23, 2008 9:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

That could be 5 years too long.
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traxxe



Joined: 21 Feb 2007

PostPosted: Sun Nov 23, 2008 9:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

At the current rate the won is dropping. In about five years it will be the perfect time to unify if trends will continue. South Korea will be begging North Korea for rice and aid.
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ChopChaeJoe



Joined: 05 Mar 2006
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Mon Nov 24, 2008 1:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

traxxe wrote:
At the current rate the won is dropping. In about five years it will be the perfect time to unify if trends will continue. South Korea will be begging North Korea for rice and aid.


In what universe? South Korea is full of verdant fields of rice every summer. North Korea can't feed it's own people and has had a sinking economy since 1995. I fpresent trends continue, South korea will develop into a level of genteel poverty while North Koreans will freeze and starve in caves (though possessing nukes.)
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Troll_Bait



Joined: 04 Jan 2006
Location: [T]eaching experience doesn't matter much. -Lee Young-chan (pictured)

PostPosted: Tue Nov 25, 2008 5:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ChopChaeJoe wrote:
traxxe wrote:
At the current rate the won is dropping. In about five years it will be the perfect time to unify if trends will continue. South Korea will be begging North Korea for rice and aid.


In what universe? South Korea is full of verdant fields of rice every summer. North Korea can't feed it's own people and has had a sinking economy since 1995. I fpresent trends continue, South korea will develop into a level of genteel poverty while North Koreans will freeze and starve in caves (though possessing nukes.)


North Korea's mass starvations, like the ones in the Soviet Union and China under Stalin and Mao, respectively, are the result of epic mismanagement. Under a more efficient economic system, they might well be able to feed themselves without aid.

This saga about Kim is starting to seem like that movie "Weekend at Bernie's, almost literally.
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ChopChaeJoe



Joined: 05 Mar 2006
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Thu Nov 27, 2008 4:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I concur that it's possible NK COULD feed it's own people with the food it could produce (with better technology), but I see no trend in the direction of better management. Feeding the military is the only thing they care about, and those soldiers still look pretty skinny.

I may be wrong, but I think historically the south produced the lion's share of Korea's food. To really feed itself, NK needs to trade for food, not hard currency to build nukes.
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