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On the brink of a new age of rage
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Thu May 27, 2010 6:08 am    Post subject: On the brink of a new age of rage Reply with quote

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4526d52c-6506-11df-b648-00144feab49a.html

Quote:
...

Historians will tell you there is often a time-lag between the onset of economic disaster and the accumulation of social fury. In act one, the shock of a crisis initially triggers fearful disorientation; the rush for political saviours; instinctive responses of self-protection, but not the organised mobilisation of outrage. Whether in 1789 or now, an incoming regime riding the storm gets a fleeting moment to try to contain calamity. If it is seen to be straining every muscle to put things right it can, for a while, generate provisional legitimacy.

Act two is trickier. Objectively, economic conditions might be improving, but perceptions are everything and a breathing space gives room for a dangerously alienated public to take stock of the brutal interruption of their rising expectations. What happened to the march of income, the acquisition of property, the truism that the next generation will live better than the last? The full impact of the overthrow of these assumptions sinks in and engenders a sense of grievance that �Someone Else� must have engineered the common misfortune. The stock epithet the French Revolution gave to the financiers who were blamed for disaster was �rich egoists�. Our own plutocrats may not be headed for the tumbrils but the fact that financial catastrophe, with its effect on the �real� economy, came about through obscure transactions designed to do nothing except produce short-term profit aggravates a sense of social betrayal. At this point, damage-control means pillorying the perpetrators: bringing them to book and extracting statements of contrition. This is why the psychological impact of financial regulation is almost as critical as its institutional prophylactics. Those who lobby against it risk jeopardising their own long-term interests. Should governments fail to reassert the integrity of public stewardship, suspicions will emerge that, for all the talk of new beginnings, the perps and new regime are cut from common cloth. Both risk being shredded by popular ire or outbid by more dangerous tribunes of indignation.

At the very least, the survival of a crisis demands ensuring that the fiscal pain is equitably distributed. In the France of 1789, the erstwhile nobility became regular citizens, ended their exemption from the land tax, made a show of abolishing their own privileges, turned in jewellery for the public treasury; while the clergy�s immense estates were auctioned for La Nation. It is too much to expect a bonfire of the bling but in 2010 a pragmatic steward of the nation�s economy needs to beware relying unduly on regressive indirect taxes, especially if levied to impress a bond market with which regular folk feel little connection. At the very least, any emergency budget needs to take stock of this raw sense of popular victimisation and deliver a convincing story about the sharing of burdens. To do otherwise is to guarantee that a bad situation gets very ugly, very fast.

So we face a tinderbox moment:, a test of the strength of democratic institutions in a time of extreme fiscal stress. On the one hand, we should be glad that the mobilisation of public energy in elections can channel mass unhappiness into change. That is what we must believe could yet happen in Britain. Elsewhere the outlook is more forbidding. In the sinkhole that is the eurozone, animus is directed at unelected bodies � the European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund � and is bound to build on itself. Those on the receiving end of punitive corrections � in public sector wages or retrenched social institutions � will lash out at their remote masters. Those in the richer north, obliged to subsidise what they take to be the fecklessness of the Latins, will come to see not just the single currency but the European project as an historic error and will pine for the mark or franc. Chauvinist movements will be reborn, directed at immigrants and Brussels diktats, with more destructive fury than we have seen since the war.

The same kind of pre-lapsarian romanticism targeted at an elitist federal authority is raging through the US like a fever. The best way to understand the Tea Party, which has just scored its first victory with the libertarian Rand Paul defeating the choice of the official Republican party, is to see it as akin to the Great Awakenings and the Populist furies of the end of the 19th century.

...
The writer is an FT contributing editor and author of Citizens: A Chronicle of the French Revolution


More discussion at http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2010/05/schama-are-the-guillotines-being-sharpened.html .

I do not think any meaningful change will come. The state is far too strong and the elite control the message. And really, if not Obama, then who?
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stilicho25



Joined: 05 Apr 2010

PostPosted: Thu May 27, 2010 6:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think it will change gradually over the course of many years. As financial meltdowns occur over and over, even adherents to the current system will come to see a need for change. More importantly, the culture at large will change as well, with a greater emphasis on working hard and avoiding credit. Speculation isn't a problem if people think of it as gambling. At the moment, with gov backing, it looks respectable. When gov backing fails, or is seen to be insufficent to gaurantee your investment, people will stop playing.
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rollo



Joined: 10 May 2006
Location: China

PostPosted: Thu May 27, 2010 2:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Stilcho is dead on right! So people will have to tighten their belts and work more. It is not the end of the world. Governments backing investments, insuring mortages and so forth is just welfare for bankers. Governments should not be encouraging gambling. I gamble on the stock market and have made a little but it is gambling. I am very very careful. Of course playing the market is risky and it is full of theives and schemers, I am prepared to take those risks ans balance them by studying and preparing. government guarantees pull people into the markets who have no business being there, who then scream when they lose even though they did not do their homework. Everyone makes fun of Jim Cramer but he consisently says " You have to study before you make an investment". It made me sick after the Enron fiasco the screaming from people who had held on the Enron when it was obviously dead meat , then they claimed they were cheated. Yeah the rage is real . As much as I dislike the Tea Party I can understand their dislike of government intervention.
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.38 Special



Joined: 08 Jul 2009
Location: Pennsylvania

PostPosted: Thu May 27, 2010 3:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rollo wrote:
Stilcho is dead on right! So people will have to tighten their belts and work more.


Totally. There are, after all, lots of jobs to be had. Too bad about the beltmakers, though, what with everyone just tightening their old belts and not buying new ones.

Quote:
Governments backing investments, insuring mortages and so forth is just welfare for bankers.


Not true. Welfare is for poor people. When the wealthy get paid it's called kick-backs. When it's governments giving to the wealthy super-class to the detriment of their constituency it's called anal.

Quote:
Governments should not be encouraging gambling. I gamble on the stock market and have made a little but it is gambling. I am very very careful. Of course playing the market is risky and it is full of theives and schemers, I am prepared to take those risks ans balance them by studying and preparing. government guarantees pull people into the markets who have no business being there, who then scream when they lose even though they did not do their homework.


Not true. Bet it all on red. You'll be fine.


Quote:
As much as I dislike the Tea Party I can understand their dislike of government intervention.


Too bad. The tea party loves you, you know. You're they're favorite nephew. They knit you this sweater. I know it's dorky, but tell them how much you adore it so their feelings aren't hurt.
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.38 Special



Joined: 08 Jul 2009
Location: Pennsylvania

PostPosted: Thu May 27, 2010 3:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here's the thing I tell people who are concerned about the future: Turn off the tv.

A grassroots movements created from the citizen-up sweeps the country and holds protests and conventions that advocate fiscal responsibility, no bail-outs for mega-institutions, regulatory reform of national credit institutions, and an audit of the Federal reserve.

The media paints these people as racists, radicals, crazies, anti-zionists, white supremacists, and generally not nearly as cool and hip as the Obama-nation.

The thing about grassroots organizations is that anybody is invited, for better or worse. They are your neighbors, also for better or worse. It is an upswelling of the citizenry.

But we don't like them. They're unpredictable. They're dangerous. We should create a governmental oversight committee and later an entire department to regulate and control grassroots organizations. We'll appoint a Protestor Czar. In ten years nothing will be accomplished but the department's budget will swell ten-fold.

There is indeed a lot of rage. Keep the rage focused to constructive ends. The politicians and the media will always steer people toward the easy, popular targets.

So turn off your tv. Get out there. Raise Hell. Create a better future.
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smee18



Joined: 24 Mar 2009
Location: Korea

PostPosted: Thu May 27, 2010 4:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I basically accept Michael Hudson's assessment of the worlds economic future: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H0k4--y_lw4

watch all 6 if you have the time
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smee18



Joined: 24 Mar 2009
Location: Korea

PostPosted: Thu May 27, 2010 5:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Actually, these Hudson videos more directly pertain to assessing the future most of us face: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AaOFVfF05Nk&feature=related

Yeah, a lot of people are gunna have to work a lot harder ... the peons!!!
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Thu May 27, 2010 7:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rage is appropriate.

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/guest-post-extend-pretend-its-either-rico-act-or-control-fraud

^ RICO. A sample:

Quote:
Stupidity? The Financial Times reports "The trading operations of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase made money every single business day in the first quarter ... Goldman's trading desk recorded a profit of at least $25m(�16.8 ) on each of the quarter's 63 working days, making more than $100m a day on 35 occasions, according to a regulatory filing issued on Monday ... JPMorgan also achieved a loss-free quarter in its trading unit - making an average of $118m a day, nearly $5m an hour". Morgan Stanley reported trading profits on a mere 93% of the first quarter trading days. This defies any sort of logic in freely trading markets, unless the markets are controlled and the game fixed. These are better odds than owning a casino.


http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/;kw=[36899,157778]?RS_show_page=0

^ Matt Taibbi's latest polemic. Far too long to post here.
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The Happy Warrior



Joined: 10 Feb 2010

PostPosted: Fri May 28, 2010 6:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rage is one way of coping, I suppose.

But better we get used to it. The times ahead will be leaner and austere than we had imagined, but they'll be okay. We'll have to work harder and sacrifice more, but that's okay.

All reasonable efforts should be made to remedy the system, but we shouldn't be terribly optimistic. Fiscal irresponsibility is an inherent trait of modern representative democracies. But so are civil liberties. From where I sit, the trade-off is worth it.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Fri May 28, 2010 6:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
But better we get used to it. The times ahead will be leaner and austere than we had imagined, but they'll be okay. We'll have to work harder and sacrifice more, but that's okay.


The rage isn't sourced in a decline in living standards but the decline in the rule of law, democracy and the rest. I'll quote Galbraith

Quote:
�At its heart, the financial crisis was a breakdown in the rule of law in America.�


And the rule of law has not returned. Not for the oligarchy.

Quote:
All reasonable efforts should be made to remedy the system, but we shouldn't be terribly optimistic. Fiscal irresponsibility is an inherent trait of modern representative democracies. But so are civil liberties. From where I sit, the trade-off is worth it.


The point is that representative democracy is probably dead. An illusion. A means of control. Our governments aren't for us Warrior. I'm not picking on the US here either. It is little different in Canada. But in the US, you have one choice presented as set of choices with which you must make careful deliberations. It is a scam. Rage is appropriate.
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Koveras



Joined: 09 Oct 2008

PostPosted: Fri May 28, 2010 2:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

'Rule of Law' is just another buzzword anti-concept.
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The Happy Warrior



Joined: 10 Feb 2010

PostPosted: Sat May 29, 2010 6:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

mises wrote:
Quote:
But better we get used to it. The times ahead will be leaner and austere than we had imagined, but they'll be okay. We'll have to work harder and sacrifice more, but that's okay.


The rage isn't sourced in a decline in living standards but the decline in the rule of law, democracy and the rest. I'll quote Galbraith

Quote:
�At its heart, the financial crisis was a breakdown in the rule of law in America.�


And the rule of law has not returned. Not for the oligarchy.

Quote:
All reasonable efforts should be made to remedy the system, but we shouldn't be terribly optimistic. Fiscal irresponsibility is an inherent trait of modern representative democracies. But so are civil liberties. From where I sit, the trade-off is worth it.


The point is that representative democracy is probably dead. An illusion. A means of control. Our governments aren't for us Warrior. I'm not picking on the US here either. It is little different in Canada. But in the US, you have one choice presented as set of choices with which you must make careful deliberations. It is a scam. Rage is appropriate.


Yes, perhaps. To say the rule of law has broken down is a bit strong. But, I do agree that the American political system is broken. I read the last Taibbi piece and it was good (except for the monster-love bit, which I thought was funny but distracting, diminishing his credibility).

The situation is serious, though. Its unfortunate that there's a crisis of public trust accompanying a fiscal crisis. But ultimately rage here is no more productive than it would be following the sinking of the Cheonan.
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rollo



Joined: 10 May 2006
Location: China

PostPosted: Sat May 29, 2010 1:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

A population of three hundred million is difficult to govern and probably too large and complex for democracy. Fragmentation of interests mean that there are only muddled comprimises no solutions. Also the rise of statism is scary. For all the nice social programs, there is a price to be paid. Now we have governments so intertwined with banking that they are hard to seperate and regulatory agencies for everything. Nations with small poulations are "neater" and easier but they also seem to be trapped into heading for all powerful governments.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Sat May 29, 2010 2:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Happy Warrior wrote:

To say the rule of law has broken down is a bit strong.


http://www.cnn.com/2004/LAW/09/17/mortgage.fraud/

Quote:
Friday, September 17, 2004 Posted: 5:44 PM EDT (2144 GMT)

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Rampant fraud in the mortgage industry has increased so sharply that the FBI warned Friday of an "epidemic" of financial crimes which, if not curtailed, could become "the next S&L crisis."


They knew and did nothing. The financial crisis is a crisis of fraud, be it mortgage fraud, deliberate material misstatements on financial statements or "repo's" and other accounting gimmicks. The perps have not been punished. They have been rewarded hadsomly (= billions of $).

About if rage is appropriate. It is. That doesn't mean you go and throw stuff at the local branch of Vampire Squid. Every American (and other victims from other nations) should be extremely pissed off.
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rollo



Joined: 10 May 2006
Location: China

PostPosted: Sun May 30, 2010 3:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes they walked off with billions. I remember Jim Cramer(I know but sometimes hes right), ranting about show trials for the perps. What he meant was very public noisy prosecutions. this would let the public know that the government cared. So far this lame attempt to pillory Goldman is all that has been done. That is one of the major sources of the rage.
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