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Won to Euro - now or later?

 
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ifundelivered



Joined: 01 Jun 2009

PostPosted: Thu Oct 14, 2010 5:51 am    Post subject: Won to Euro - now or later? Reply with quote

Sorry if this is a repeat thread, but any discussions of the Won usually deal with the USD.

I'm going to be sending a large amount of Won home (into Euro) in the next 3 months and I'm wondering if I should do it now or later. Anyone who follows/understands global currency trends, your help is appreciated.
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kissing-a-badger-on-crack



Joined: 30 Aug 2010
Location: knoxville, tn

PostPosted: Thu Oct 14, 2010 7:19 am    Post subject: Re: Won to Euro - now or later? Reply with quote

ifundelivered wrote:
Sorry if this is a repeat thread, but any discussions of the Won usually deal with the USD.

I'm going to be sending a large amount of Won home (into Euro) in the next 3 months and I'm wondering if I should do it now or later. Anyone who follows/understands global currency trends, your help is appreciated.


looking at the charts...i would do it now. It looks like the won is at a support level in a downward trend. If it breaks it will fall fast. If it bounces, it will rise slowly and hit a resistance level not far away.
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methdxman



Joined: 14 Sep 2010

PostPosted: Thu Oct 14, 2010 7:40 am    Post subject: Re: Won to Euro - now or later? Reply with quote

ifundelivered wrote:
Sorry if this is a repeat thread, but any discussions of the Won usually deal with the USD.

I'm going to be sending a large amount of Won home (into Euro) in the next 3 months and I'm wondering if I should do it now or later. Anyone who follows/understands global currency trends, your help is appreciated.


Why not just hedge your currency with a future/forward at your bank. That way you don't really have to worry about it.
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goingtothecountry



Joined: 15 Aug 2010

PostPosted: Thu Oct 14, 2010 7:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well, if US get its way and China stops manipulating the Yuan, you can expect all of east asian currencies to get stronger as well. Already in the past year, the yuan has appreciated around 2.5 or 5% (I forget which it was but pretty substational) against the dollar. Personally, I would wait. If the Won gets stronger, it'll cost you less wons to buy your Euros.
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Caffeinated



Joined: 11 Feb 2010

PostPosted: Thu Oct 14, 2010 8:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Won has been getting stronger the past few weeks.
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southernman



Joined: 15 Jan 2010
Location: On the mainland again

PostPosted: Thu Oct 14, 2010 9:09 pm    Post subject: Re: Won to Euro - now or later? Reply with quote

kissing-a-badger-on-crack wrote:
ifundelivered wrote:
Sorry if this is a repeat thread, but any discussions of the Won usually deal with the USD.

I'm going to be sending a large amount of Won home (into Euro) in the next 3 months and I'm wondering if I should do it now or later. Anyone who follows/understands global currency trends, your help is appreciated.


looking at the charts...i would do it now. It looks like the won is at a support level in a downward trend. If it breaks it will fall fast. If it bounces, it will rise slowly and hit a resistance level not far away.


The Won has started to fight back over the last few weeks. It had weakened reasonably quickly since the end of May. Check the Euro-Won exchange rates over the last 5 years to get a better insight.

Against the NZ$ I would actually lose 200 000 Won every 1000 NZ I sent back now, compared to a few years ago. I'm holding off on sending any money back until things start to be more in my favor.

I actually feel for the poor unfortunates who have had to send money back over these last few months. Because the exchange rate has really sucked Crying or Very sad
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Vagabundo



Joined: 26 Aug 2010

PostPosted: Fri Oct 15, 2010 12:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

the won remains the world's most pathetic currency, save for bankrupt Iceland.

even as it's strengthened against the dollar recently, other currencies have strengthened more and even against the dollar it remains weak. Against other currencies, it's pathetic.

we get paid in the global equivalent of toilet paper.

euro to won

1/1/2000 - 1138
1/1/2001 - 1191
1/1/2002 - 1164
1/1/2003 - 1244
1/1/2004 - 1500
1/1/2005 - 1410
1/1/2006 - 1198
1/1/2007 - 1227
1/1/2008 - 1377
1/1/2009 - 1775
1/1/2010 - 1668

10/15/2010 - 1567
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Vagabundo



Joined: 26 Aug 2010

PostPosted: Fri Oct 15, 2010 12:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I feel really sorry for you if you're Aussie (and to lesser extent Canadian)

won to Aussie

1/1/05 - 814
1/1/06 - 740
1/1/07 - 733
1/1/08 - 825
1/1/09 - 895
1/1/10 - 1044

10/15/10 - 1108
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Vagabundo



Joined: 26 Aug 2010

PostPosted: Fri Oct 15, 2010 12:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

might as well do this for all of us, from all the so called English Speaking E-2 countries

won to Canadian loonie

1/1/05 - 865
1/1/06 - 869
1/1/07 - 798
1/1/08 - 946
1/1/09 - 1042
1/1/10 - 1106

10/15/10 - 1105

won to GBP (pound sterling)

1/1/05 - 1999
1/1/06 - 1741
1/1/07 - 1822
1/1/08 - 1875
1/1/09 - 1841
1/1/10 - 1881

10/15/10 - 1785

won to rand (south africa)

1/1/05 - 185
1/1/06 - 160
1/1/07 - 132
1/1/08 - 139
1/1/09 - 135
1/1/10 - 157

10/15/10 - 163

won to USD

1/1/05 - 1041
1/1/06 - 1011
1/1/07 - 930
1/1/08 - 944
1/1/09 - 1270
1/1/10 - 1163

10/15/10 - 1112


the kiwi will closely track the Aussie.

the only ones who haven't gotten reamed are the Brits, (and s. africans) but then again, everyone knew they had the world's most preposterously overpriced currency in 2006 and 2007, as it went over 2 to 1 vs the USD.


Last edited by Vagabundo on Fri Oct 15, 2010 12:48 am; edited 1 time in total
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Vagabundo



Joined: 26 Aug 2010

PostPosted: Fri Oct 15, 2010 12:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

your vacations to Thailand have just gotten much more expensive (and Thailand is also an export driven Asian "tiger", ergo a direct Korean competitor)

1/1/05 - 26.8
1/1/06 - 24.7
1/1/07 - 26.2
1/1/08 - 31.9
1/1/09 - 36.6
1/1/10 - 34.9

10/15/10 - 37.3

the most amusing one is vs the Japanese yen. Mind you, recently the Koreans "complained" when the Japanese Central Bank intervened to sell the yen and stem its rise and just the other day were offended when the Japanese Finance Minister said Korea should stop weakening the won.

1/1/05 - 10.15
1/1/06 - 8.57
1/1/07 - 7.81
1/1/08 - 8.45
1/1/09 - 13.95
1/1/10 - 12.51

10/15/10 - 13.70

The G20 summit is supposed to talk about currency exchange rates, especially the rate of USD vs China, but what they should REALLY talk about is the world's biggest currency exchange abuser - Korea.


won to renmbinbi

1/1/07 - 119
1/1/08 - 129
1/1/09 - 186
1/1/10 - 170

10/15/10 - 167
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methdxman



Joined: 14 Sep 2010

PostPosted: Fri Oct 15, 2010 4:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Don't speculate on currency. Get a future/forward with your bank and lock in a rate. Or get a currency option.
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Kurtz



Joined: 05 Jan 2007
Location: ples bilong me

PostPosted: Fri Oct 15, 2010 5:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Vagabundo wrote:
I feel really sorry for you if you're Aussie (and to lesser extent Canadian)

won to Aussie

1/1/05 - 814
1/1/06 - 740
1/1/07 - 733
1/1/08 - 825
1/1/09 - 895
1/1/10 - 1044

10/15/10 - 1108


Friggin tell me about it, and I have heaps of won to send back over the next few months Twisted Evil
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kardisa



Joined: 26 Jun 2009
Location: Masan

PostPosted: Fri Oct 15, 2010 3:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Won has gained over 150 points on the USD since I got here in July (it's now 1109 won to 1 USD), which is good news. However, I'm wondering how long this relative strength is going to last. I have a feeling that the value of the won is going to plummet back to 1250+ shortly after the G20 meeting.

I might have to look into one of those futures accounts myself. :/
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