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Ron Paul: Next US crash = Back to the USSR

 
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NohopeSeriously



Joined: 17 Jan 2011
Location: The Christian Right-Wing Educational Republic of Korea

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 2:51 am    Post subject: Ron Paul: Next US crash = Back to the USSR Reply with quote

Oh, well. This doesn't look good. Confused

Quote:
Ron Paul Says Next US Crash Will Be Comparable To That Of Soviet Union, Claims QE2 Is "Total Failure" And Fed Is A "Central Planning Cartel"

Ron Paul has just stepped up his war of rhetoric with his nemesis the Archchairsatan Rudolf Vissarionovich von Bernankestein (because never before have we had a genocidal central planner hell bent on printing the world's fate out of a deflationary collapse), and in an interview with Larry Kudlow said what everyone who is watching the day after day melt up (and wondering what comes next) openly thinks: that when all is said and done, and there is no incremental vapor and no incremental HFT levitation effect, that the US collapse will be comparable only to that of the Soviet Union. Needless to say, we are confident he is optimistic. Some economic observations from Paul: "We have so much unemployment, it is so undercounted. The free market economists report that there is probably 22% of unemployment. They pumped in $4 trillion, they should have added a lot of jobs, but how much did it cost us, and that of course is the price inflation that will come. We are moving into another 30 year period where we are going to see a reversal of interest rates, and we are going to see a crashing of the bonds like we saw 30 years ago and it's going to last a long, long time. The Fed deserves the blame for the inflation, and for the unemployment." On the amount of damage done by the Fed: "I think it's unimaginable, it could be so devastating, and could bring a strong, worldwide run on the dollar. We are in uncharted territories. I think we will see changes in our economy and our country almost equivalent to the change that occurred in the Soviet system. I think it will bring down our empire, we won't be able to afford our welfare state, and we won't be able to afford taking care of the world." And as Zero Hedge suggested previously, Ron Paul believes that the Fed's policies will actually lead to a spike in unemployment when all is said and done. Lastly, on Ron Paul view of Bernanke's central planning:"One time when Greenspan was before the committee, I told him if you can make this fiat system work as if it is the market system working, you have repealed economic law. It is positively baffling that we as a country have accepted that one individual can control the economy... I'd like to get the monopoly power away from this cartel that pretends that they know how to run the entire economy."


http://www.zerohedge.com/article/ron-paul-says-next-us-crash-will-be-comparable-soviet-union-claims-qe2-total-failure-and-fed
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Hugo85



Joined: 27 Aug 2010

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 4:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Someone who intends to run for president makes a bunch of hyperboles about the current administration? Yeah.. that interview doesn't look too good.
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chellovek



Joined: 29 Feb 2008

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 4:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Interesting if it weren't laced with so much piffle and misguided comparisons.

Big changes on the way for sure, but in the case of the US from what to what? The Soviet economy was almost wholly directed by Gosplan. The complexity of completely Red Central Planning is immense, the formulae they were using to direct the economy of a sixth of the Earth's landmass was mind-bending if you care to read the manuals they published. The Fed is nowhere near that sort of thing. The change after the collapse of the USSR was seemingly obvious- privatise the whole damn thing (ignoring the idea that you actually need to set up any regulatory institutions beforehand to establish a reasonably honest environment for a market economy). Unemployment was pretty much unknown in the USSR (the problem they had with economic growth was the limits of 'extensive economic growth' pursued by building more productive capacity and enrolling greater numbers in the labour force, as opposed to 'intensive economic groth' in the form of increased productivity, they had big problems encouraging the latter- see 'ratchet effect' as it was known in the context of Central Planning) and inflation manifested itself in 'repressed inflation' measured by the length of queues outside the shops since the state had been frightened to increase food costs. They tried it in Communist Poland in the early 80s which ended up in martial law- "there was nothing in the shops anyway, and when they increased the price of nothing that drove people over the edge."

Comparing the Fed to the Central Planning of Gosplan is symptomatic of the Cold War-era rhetoric that seems to be infecting all debate on the current on-going crisis. These 25 year old analogies don't equip people mentally to handle this crisis in my view. This ain't the collapse of 'Socialism' in the US, it's a collapse of corporate-crony-capitalism. The political, social, and economic mechanisms in play at the demise of the USSR and us in the here and now are too different to allow useful comparison, in my view.

Aye there's further trouble on the way, but political debate on this has descended into utter infantilism. Yer average right-wing loon- "It's all the fault of Socialism and Central Planning, Obama's a Commie/Muslim/white-hater" Rolling Eyes

It's stuff along these lines that make me give my eye-balls a good old roll in their sockets when I listen to Libertarians. Rooted in the blasted past. New ideas are needed, God knows if I can discern what these ideas might be though.
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chellovek



Joined: 29 Feb 2008

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 4:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Although the comparison isn't direct in all ways, I think Paul is engaging in "dog-whistle" politics. Yanks in particular are conditioned to react with horror to anything connected to Socialism, Central Planning, and the USSR.

Shame.
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Space Bar



Joined: 20 Oct 2010

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 7:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hugo85 wrote:
Someone who intends to run for president makes a bunch of hyperboles about the current administration? Yeah.. that interview doesn't look too good.

Exactly which parts do you consider hyperbole?
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comm



Joined: 22 Jun 2010

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 9:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

chellovek wrote:

Aye there's further trouble on the way, but political debate on this has descended into utter infantilism. Yer average right-wing loon- "It's all the fault of Socialism and Central Planning, Obama's a Commie/Muslim/white-hater" Rolling Eyes


You've thoroughly demolished your straw man here... Paul was quoted as saying that the change coming for the U.S. will be "almost equivalent to" the change that occurred in the Soviet system. Saying that the change will be "almost equivalent" isn't implying that the U.S. is a socialist system, destined for a collapse into chaotic privatization. At most it means that the change which occurs to the U.S. system (if another crash occurs) will be of similar proportions to that which occurred in the U.S.S.R. That's entirely reasonable, considering how many people are clamoring for a reduction of State expenditures as it is, including foreign military bases and non-discretionary benefits spending.
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chellovek



Joined: 29 Feb 2008

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 10:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

comm wrote:
chellovek wrote:

Aye there's further trouble on the way, but political debate on this has descended into utter infantilism. Yer average right-wing loon- "It's all the fault of Socialism and Central Planning, Obama's a Commie/Muslim/white-hater" Rolling Eyes


You've thoroughly demolished your straw man here... Paul was quoted as saying that the change coming for the U.S. will be "almost equivalent to" the change that occurred in the Soviet system. Saying that the change will be "almost equivalent" isn't implying that the U.S. is a socialist system, destined for a collapse into chaotic privatization. At most it means that the change which occurs to the U.S. system (if another crash occurs) will be of similar proportions to that which occurred in the U.S.S.R. That's entirely reasonable, considering how many people are clamoring for a reduction of State expenditures as it is, including foreign military bases and non-discretionary benefits spending.


Negro, what I'm saying is that any reference to the Soviet state is overblown. It's dog-whistle politics. He's appealing to Yanks of the right of the wing.

That it won't fall into chaotic privatistion I know, there's little to privatise.

Aye military over-stretch is a problem, but this is a problem of Imperialism not Socialism.

Hell, I'm quite self-satisfied to quote this from Thucydides in the 5th century BC. "You're a democracy at home but a tyranny abroad"

I'd sooner the Yanks over me than the Chinese, but American political debate needs to get over the Cold War.
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comm



Joined: 22 Jun 2010

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 11:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

chellovek wrote:

Aye military over-stretch is a problem, but this is a problem of Imperialism not Socialism.


I wouldn't call the U.S. fiscal issues a "problem of Socialism" perse, but it's important to consider that there are 6 sectors which dominate the Federal budget:
19.63% - Social Security
18.74% - Department of Defense
16.13% - Unemployment/Welfare/other mandatory spending
12.79% - Medicare
08.19% - Medicade and the State Children's Health Insurance Program
04.63% - Interest on the National Debt
Total
80.11%


19.89% - EVERYTHING ELSE
Every other agency receives less than 3% of the Federal budget. Even "Other Off-budget Discretionary Spending", which accounts for most earmarks, is <3% of the total budget.

If one considers the 18.74% cost of the Department of Defense to be "a problem" (even though it does conduct a lot of useful research and provide national security), then surely the 61% held by the other sectors may be an issue...

P.S.
I hadn't realized how stark the expenditure contrast was here until I looked up the numbers myself. That's an extraordinary amount of money flowing through the government for those few departments... Interestingly, the amount spent on non-defense non-discretionary spending was very close to the size of the deficit of ~50%.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_United_States_federal_budget
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Fat_Elvis



Joined: 17 Aug 2006
Location: In the ghetto

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 5:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's true that the USA has to tackle 'non-discretionary' spending to reduce it's deficit, but getting companies to actually pay tax would probably help too.

http://money.cnn.com/2008/08/12/news/economy/corporate_taxes/
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987psh



Joined: 02 Mar 2011

PostPosted: Fri Mar 11, 2011 11:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

not as bad... as ussr, diff story
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recessiontime



Joined: 21 Jun 2010
Location: Got avatar privileges nyahahaha

PostPosted: Sat Mar 12, 2011 12:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

no welfare state & policing the world?

Salivating.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Sat Mar 12, 2011 8:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The US economy is very centralized in the Fed, military industrial complex, medical industry, big ag, etc. A catastrophic failure in the dollar - and I have absolutely no idea how likely that is - would bring an end to the centralized system very rapidly.

Is it potentially similar to the Soviet problem? Sure, but only in the sense that it would be a failure in the central authority. The scope and outcome is impossible to theorize.
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Menino80



Joined: 10 Jun 2007
Location: Hodor?

PostPosted: Sat Mar 12, 2011 9:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fat_Elvis wrote:
It's true that the USA has to tackle 'non-discretionary' spending to reduce it's deficit, but getting companies to actually pay tax would probably help too.

http://money.cnn.com/2008/08/12/news/economy/corporate_taxes/


This. If you were to raise the regressive SS wage base to 1mil, the entire system would be solvent and making a profit in 5 years.

The US has the most productive workers per hour in the world and lower labor costs than most nations in Europe. Meanwhile Germany exports like a fiend with labor costs 33% higher than in the US.

So it's not the taxation Uncertainty (whatever the FK that means) that are keeping the jobs from coming back.
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Fox



Joined: 04 Mar 2009

PostPosted: Fri Mar 18, 2011 4:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ron Paul mocks fiscal conservatives who talk about the need to cut NPR for budgetary reasons but won't get out of Afghanistan.
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