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The Libyan War
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visitorq



Joined: 11 Jan 2008

PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2011 1:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Butterfly wrote:
I think everyone is at a loss as to what to do about Syria, its getting worse by the day.

Everyone is not at a loss. Many people would say we should just leave the entire region alone (we have no business being there) and bring our troops home. That is the real solution.
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Space Bar



Joined: 20 Oct 2010

PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2011 2:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Butterfly wrote:
Ya-ta Boy wrote:

It's clear the writers want a stronger position on Syria, what that would be exactly isn't stated. I guess they want more done in Libya, but what isn't clear either.


That's exactly what I thought, like, "okay, what exactly do you suggest Obama should be doing about Syria?"

Where does this mindset come from that every time there is a problem in the world, the US must go in and do something? Please get rid of it.

Exactly when did "mind your own business" stop being a tenet of good citizenship?
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2011 2:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I can sympathize with people who are non-interventionist. I'm one sometimes myself. I definitely agree the US should not play the world's policeman. I definitely think we should take care of our people at home before we go spreading money around elsewhere. I lend a lot of credence to the idea that if you spend as much as all the rest of the world put together on building the world's biggest hammer then everything starts looking like a nail. I'm convinced that most of the serious challenges we will be facing in this century will not lend themselves to a military solution.

But I am also not an isolationist. That has never been possible. If you look at our entire history, you will see we got dragged into every major war Europe had since the late 1600's and started one of them ourselves in the 1700's. Then we got independence and got involved in the War of 1812 which was a sideshow to the Napoleonic Wars and both world wars. We are and always have been a part of the world. We cannot avoid it.

Question: How much of the defense budget should be cut?
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Butterfly



Joined: 02 Mar 2003
Location: Kuwait

PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2011 3:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Space Bar wrote:
Butterfly wrote:
Ya-ta Boy wrote:

It's clear the writers want a stronger position on Syria, what that would be exactly isn't stated. I guess they want more done in Libya, but what isn't clear either.


That's exactly what I thought, like, "okay, what exactly do you suggest Obama should be doing about Syria?"

Where does this mindset come from that every time there is a problem in the world, the US must go in and do something? Please get rid of it.

Exactly when did "mind your own business" stop being a tenet of good citizenship?


My comments were in response to the article Ya-ta Boy posted which suggests Obama should do more about Syria, without giving any clue as to exactly what that should be.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2011 4:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The New Yorker (magazine) has a lengthy article giving the first semi-sorta inside look at the decision making that went into the Libya decision that I have seen. The thing is 10 pages long and the part that is most relevant to this thread starts somewhere along about the middle.

Here is part of it:

"On August 12, 2010, Obama sent a five-page memorandum called �Political Reform in the Middle East and North Africa� to Vice-President Joseph Biden, Clinton, Gates, Donilon, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and the other senior members of his foreign-policy team...

�Progress toward political reform and openness in the Middle East and North Africa lags behind other regions and has, in some cases, stalled,� the President wrote. He noted that even the more liberal countries were cracking down on public gatherings, the press, and political opposition groups. But something was stirring. There was �evidence of growing citizen discontent with the region�s regimes,� he wrote. It was likely that �if present trends continue,� allies there would �opt for repression rather than reform to manage domestic dissent.�

Obama�s analysis showed a desire to balance interests and ideals. The goals of reform and democracy were couched in the language of U.S. interests rather than the sharp moral language that statesmen often use in public. �Increased repression could threaten the political and economic stability of some of our allies, leave us with fewer capable, credible partners who can support our regional priorities, and further alienate citizens in the region,� Obama wrote. �Moreover, our regional and international credibility will be undermined if we are seen or perceived to be backing repressive regimes and ignoring the rights and aspirations of citizens.�

Obama instructed his staff to come up with �tailored,� �country by country� strategies on political reform. He told his advisers to challenge the traditional idea that stability in the Middle East always served U.S. interests. Obama wanted to weigh the risks of both �continued support for increasingly unpopular and repressive regimes� and a �strong push by the United States for reform.�

He also wrote that �the advent of political succession in a number of countries offers a potential opening for political reform in the region.� If the United States managed the coming transitions �poorly,� it �could have negative implications for U.S. interests, including for our standing among Arab publics."...

The group was just finishing its work, on December 17th, when Mohamed Bouazizi, a vegetable vender in Tunisia, set himself on fire outside a municipal building to protest the corruption of the country�s political system��an act that inspired protests in Tunisia and, eventually, the entire region. Democracy in the Middle East, one of the most fraught issues of the Bush years, was suddenly the signature conflict of Obama�s foreign policy.

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2011/05/02/110502fa_fact_lizza?currentPage=all

It turns out we were not all caught as flat-footed as it seemed last February. It gives me a bit of confidence to know that the situation was anticipated and preparations were underway.

I would like to see all the plot strands resolved before the next commercial and then have a cutesy denoument before the final credits roll, because it looks like Syria is going to be a much tougher deal. I don't think the three clowns...er, senators, on the Sunday talk show have any credibility on this issue.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2011 2:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

AP has caught up with Butterfly and me:

Gadhafi's grip on western Libya may be slipping

"TRIPOLI, Libya � Moammar Gadhafi has suffered military setbacks in recent days in western Libya, a sign that his grip may be slipping in the very region he needs to cling to power.

His loyalists were driven out of the city of Misrata, a key rebel stronghold in Gadhafi-controlled territory. A NATO airstrike turned parts of his Tripoli headquarters into smoldering rubble. And rebel fighters seized a border crossing, breaking open a supply line to besieged rebel towns in a remote western mountain area...

Yet Gadhafi appears increasingly on the defensive. And some see the past week as a turning point in the fighting, citing mounting military and political pressure on Gadhafi."

**
Very Happy Very Happy
The other day I was reading something in another context where the writer told about a stonecutter taking 100 whacks at a rock and nothing happening, but on the 101st hit the stone shatters. It isn't the final strike that does all the damage, it is the accumulated stress that lays the groundwork. That is what I expect to happen in Libya. At some point, Qaddafi will fall, and fall fast.

For everyone's good, I hope it's soon.
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Butterfly



Joined: 02 Mar 2003
Location: Kuwait

PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2011 11:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
AP has caught up with Butterfly and me:

Gadhafi's grip on western Libya may be slipping

"TRIPOLI, Libya � Moammar Gadhafi has suffered military setbacks in recent days in western Libya, a sign that his grip may be slipping in the very region he needs to cling to power.

His loyalists were driven out of the city of Misrata, a key rebel stronghold in Gadhafi-controlled territory. A NATO airstrike turned parts of his Tripoli headquarters into smoldering rubble. And rebel fighters seized a border crossing, breaking open a supply line to besieged rebel towns in a remote western mountain area...

Yet Gadhafi appears increasingly on the defensive. And some see the past week as a turning point in the fighting, citing mounting military and political pressure on Gadhafi."

**
Very Happy Very Happy
The other day I was reading something in another context where the writer told about a stonecutter taking 100 whacks at a rock and nothing happening, but on the 101st hit the stone shatters. It isn't the final strike that does all the damage, it is the accumulated stress that lays the groundwork. That is what I expect to happen in Libya. At some point, Qaddafi will fall, and fall fast.

For everyone's good, I hope it's soon.


Well, Tweets are suggesting we were right about planned dirty tricks in Misurata, NATO apparently bombed a convoy of 35 or so Land Cruisers carrying various pro-Ghaddaffi personnel, heading back into Misurata in the middle of the night. NATO also, apparently, bombed a port where troops were amassing with the plan to get back into Misurata by sea. Looks like that's been thwarted. Mad Dog is seriously on the back foot now.
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Space Bar



Joined: 20 Oct 2010

PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2011 7:43 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Putin is pissed off!

US attempt to Assassinate Gaddafi fails !

John McCain, Joe Lieberman and Lindsay Graham, US Senators, call for the Assassination of Gaddafi and for an all out bombing of Tripoli to overthrow Gaddafi and to install a compliant US Puppet regime as CIA proxy. There is at a stalemate due to popular peoples support for Gaddafi government.
...
The Libyan Rebels and their phony Feb 17 th movement are a creation of the CIA, the Mi6 and French Intelligence, with money and arms snuck into Libya from Qatar and Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

Al Jazeera and CNN and BBC and Fox News and SKy News are all Propaganda rags who have been working overtime to "massage" the masses of people to accept a NATO and US and French and British Invasion of Libya.

Anderson Cooper and Rachel Maddow and the rest of the fake American Liberals have actually been tripping over themselves to promote another US War for Oil in the Middle East., showing how there both the Democrats & Republicans in the US are merely two wings of one Vulture, which is US Imperialism.


Putin: Who gave NATO right to kill Gaddafi?

Who gave coalition forces in Libya the right to eliminate Gaddafi? That's the question Vladimir Putin's been asking, during an official visit to Denmark, the country which lead the first air attacks on Libya.

watch RT at link
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Tiger Beer



Joined: 07 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2011 10:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Butterfly wrote:
Tiger Beer wrote:
Get us out of Libya, get out of Afghanistan, get us out of Iraq.

It is real interesting watching all of the pro-Iraq people reverse their feelings and be against Libya. Also interesting watching the anti-Iraq people reverse and be for going into Libya.

For me, this is a major problem with the Obama Administration. Starting yet another war that'll run on seemingly forever.

However, Mr. '100 years in Iraq' John McCain is loving being in Libya, and seems to have nothing but praise. So, Republican or Democrat, what are you going to do? Anyone you elect is just going to keep on starting more wars.


Well, I just don't think this is a partisan issue, this war, there are people on all sides, for and against this intervention.

Those against it on the left seem to be basing their argument on the idea that anything the west does is intrinsically suspicious and hegemonic, and those against it on the right seem to be basing their argument in the interests of austerity and this trend towards opposition of anything Obama does.

Those in favour of the intervention on the right, seem to seek retribution for Ghaddaffi's various terrorist murders throughout the years, and those in favour on the left seem to be basing their arguments on humanitarian grounds. That Ya-Ta Boy cautiously supports this intervention means, that, Ya-Ta Boy cautiously supports this intervention. That's all.

As much as people seem to think it is a partisan issue here on this board, people from all sides can form their own ideas about it, they don't need to be linked to any kind of ideology.

Which is actually how this board has been, when at its best. I have tried to find others like it and failed. Tt has been a very good place to discuss matters of interest at certain times in its history, though I seem to remember i have stopped posting in the past because of people getting more involved in the politics of the board than the actual geopolitics of the issues at hand of the day. I found here, at times, very well-read and articulate posters with very different views to my own (from all political platforms), which helped me formulate my opinions and rethink things that i needed to rethink. Joo was great for that, I fundamentally disagreed with him on so many things, but he would read the links I posted, and sent me as many pm's with interesting angles on things, as he did post responses to my ideas on the board. He, and others like Kuros are genuinely interested in the issues at hand and talking about things.

What then is disappointing is to see people still calling each other chickenhawks or pinkos or whatever, but not listening to what other posters have to say. Kind of 'lalalalala I'm not listening - you're a [insert political stereotype]' This is because I think the world has moved beyond forming our opinions based on just arguing the opposite of what our opponents think. That's just dumb.

True.

Actually, for me, I was always against Iraq/Afghanistan....and against Libya as well.

For me, Libya is equally costing a lot of money, is another quagmire, etc. I can't imagine us getting in and out, if we couldn't do it anywhere else in the region in the last 8 years or so.
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Butterfly



Joined: 02 Mar 2003
Location: Kuwait

PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2011 10:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Space Bar wrote:
Putin is pissed off!

US attempt to Assassinate Gaddafi fails !

John McCain, Joe Lieberman and Lindsay Graham, US Senators, call for the Assassination of Gaddafi and for an all out bombing of Tripoli to overthrow Gaddafi and to install a compliant US Puppet regime as CIA proxy. There is at a stalemate due to popular peoples support for Gaddafi government.
...
The Libyan Rebels and their phony Feb 17 th movement are a creation of the CIA, the Mi6 and French Intelligence, with money and arms snuck into Libya from Qatar and Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

Al Jazeera and CNN and BBC and Fox News and SKy News are all Propaganda rags who have been working overtime to "massage" the masses of people to accept a NATO and US and French and British Invasion of Libya.

Anderson Cooper and Rachel Maddow and the rest of the fake American Liberals have actually been tripping over themselves to promote another US War for Oil in the Middle East., showing how there both the Democrats & Republicans in the US are merely two wings of one Vulture, which is US Imperialism.


Putin: Who gave NATO right to kill Gaddafi?

Who gave coalition forces in Libya the right to eliminate Gaddafi? That's the question Vladimir Putin's been asking, during an official visit to Denmark, the country which lead the first air attacks on Libya.

watch RT at link


Quote:
Russia is not planning to respond to Libya's plea that it call an emergency meeting of the United Nations Security Council to discuss what Moscow has described as Western aggression, a foreign ministry official told Itar-TASS news agency.


(From the Al Jazeera Libya Blog)

Tiger Beer wrote:
For me, Libya is equally costing a lot of money, is another quagmire, etc.


I totally get that. For now I'm glad we have made the decision we have, and hope that it's over soon, but i completely understand this pragmatic argument.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2011 10:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Tiger Beer wrote:
For me, Libya is equally costing a lot of money


Cost of Libya war for US at $608 million: Pentagon

Quote:
The Pentagon has estimated the air campaign will cost the United States about $40 million a month, even after NATO allies took the lead in the UN-mandated operation designed to protect civilians against Moamer Kadhafi's forces.

For the US Air Force alone, the war costs about $4 million a day, the top civilian in the air force told reporters last week.


Iraq costed us $255 million/day. There's no equivalency here.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Thu Apr 28, 2011 12:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Iraq costed us $255 million/day. There's no equivalency here.


I agree with Kuros. The other wars were full-on topple a government and turn the places into friendly democratic states sorts of operations. Libya is far more limited--protect the rebels till they can topple their own government and set up their own.

I'm guessing there will be some sort of Arab League or (more likely) UN supervised transition once the fighting stops.

There's an interesting article in the Christian Science Monitor:

Rare view from Libya's western mountains shows rebel gains against Qaddafi
The picture emerging from this rugged terrain along Libya's southern border with Tunisia is that of a heavily outgunned rebel militia winning unlikely victories over Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi.


http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2011/0426/Rare-view-from-Libya-s-western-mountains-shows-rebel-gains-against-Qaddafi
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visitorq



Joined: 11 Jan 2008

PostPosted: Thu Apr 28, 2011 4:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
Quote:
Iraq costed us $255 million/day. There's no equivalency here.


I agree with Kuros. The other wars were full-on topple a government and turn the places into friendly democratic states sorts of operations. Libya is far more limited--protect the rebels till they can topple their own government and set up their own.

I'm guessing there will be some sort of Arab League or (more likely) UN supervised transition once the fighting stops.

This is so obscenely hypocritical. If you support so-called "limited" intervention in Libya, then you should really support massive, full on intervention in Iraq and anywhere else for that matter. Regardless of the scale, the principle is the exact same (whether you buy into the Orwellian "war is peace" propaganda or not). The fact that Obama lied blatantly about pulling troops from Iraq, with no criticism whatsoever from the Left, shows that they support that war too (they probably just lament the fact that Bush started it instead of their would-be messiah). Now he's launching new wars (despite having received his utterly undeserved Nobel peace prize) and the Left is just LOVING it. It just goes to show that the phony Liberal crowd are every bit as pro-war as the phony Rush Limbaugh conservative crowd. All a pack of hypocrites.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Thu Apr 28, 2011 5:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

& %
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Butterfly



Joined: 02 Mar 2003
Location: Kuwait

PostPosted: Thu Apr 28, 2011 7:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
& %


Laughing

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
Quote:
Iraq costed us $255 million/day. There's no equivalency here.


I agree with Kuros. The other wars were full-on topple a government and turn the places into friendly democratic states sorts of operations. Libya is far more limited--protect the rebels till they can topple their own government and set up their own.

I'm guessing there will be some sort of Arab League or (more likely) UN supervised transition once the fighting stops.

There's an interesting article in the Christian Science Monitor:

Rare view from Libya's western mountains shows rebel gains against Qaddafi
The picture emerging from this rugged terrain along Libya's southern border with Tunisia is that of a heavily outgunned rebel militia winning unlikely victories over Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi.


http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2011/0426/Rare-view-from-Libya-s-western-mountains-shows-rebel-gains-against-Qaddafi


That hasn't quite worked out as we had hoped as Ghaddfi's troops seem to have retaken the Tunisian border, through extensive shelling. Some shells landed on the newly liberated Tunisian side.
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