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MetaFitX
Joined: 23 Jun 2009
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Posted: Sun Dec 23, 2012 1:26 am Post subject: The effect of a rising China on the Korean EFL market |
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This is something I've been thinking about for a while, and would appreciate any knowledgeable responses. I've been strongly considering putting down long-term roots here (in Korea) however I'm curious about the future of the EFL market here, particularly as China's economy begins to increasingly develop.
China is now South Korea's largest trading partner and I would assume that this relationship is only going to grow stronger (economically) as China's economy continues to grow.
Will Korean moms send their children to Chinese hakwons in increasing numbers in the future (I'm aware that some of them do now)? |
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erasmus
Joined: 11 Sep 2010
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Posted: Sun Dec 23, 2012 2:14 am Post subject: |
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| I know nothing about such things but I have a half-baked theory that until China creates a cultural product that is in demand outside its own borders it will continue to be the world's factory and little more. English still has a pretty good run ahead of it... |
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newb
Joined: 27 Aug 2012 Location: Korea
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Posted: Sun Dec 23, 2012 4:22 am Post subject: |
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I heard Koreans are eating more Ja-Jang-Myeon these days.  |
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Dodge7
Joined: 21 Oct 2011
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Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 2:26 am Post subject: |
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| English will be the global language of commerce for at least another 150 years. We will be looong gone by then. |
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YTMND
Joined: 16 Jan 2012 Location: You're the man now dog!!
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Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 3:59 am Post subject: |
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| Will Korean moms send their children to Chinese hakwons |
What does that mean?
1. Korean moms send their children to learn Chinese
2. Korean moms send their children to learn English at a hagwon (not k, there is no k sound) in Korea.
3. Korean moms send their children to learn English at a hagwon (not k, there is no k sound) in China.
I don't understand your plight, please expound. Will Australia speak Chinese and not English?
With Canada speak Chinese and not English?
What are you worried about exactly?
Just so you know, tidbit yo wee yo time, Chinese have traditional characters and simplified characters. Why would they need to simplify them? Think about it, come back, post again. |
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YTMND
Joined: 16 Jan 2012 Location: You're the man now dog!!
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Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 4:04 am Post subject: |
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| Dodge7 wrote: |
| English will be the global language of commerce for at least another 150 years. We will be looong gone by then. |
Chinese has been around for a lot longer than 150 years, and those dynasties haven't developed their own Canada, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, or US.
China may be king of their hill, but they are far from being global, let alone necessary in an English speaking country's school curriculum. |
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Weigookin74
Joined: 26 Oct 2009
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Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 4:50 am Post subject: |
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In the short term no because Korea is seen as being a much safer bet. China is the wild west Korea use to be. Korea is safe for many young 22 years from sheltered backgrounds. Also, the bad economies in the west keep sending them over here like lemmings. In the medium term, maybe. Korea could get hit with a double edged sword - lots of competition from a wage rising China and some economic improvement on the home front depriving Korea of young bodies. If the economy stays bad or gets worse, Korea will continue to get ESL'ers at low wages and China will pick up the slack (ie experienced Korean vets wanting a return to purchasing power of years gone by.) In the long term, hard to say. Korea's demand won't be what it was. Japan has bottomed out, but partly due to a bad economy with high living costs. If Korea has a strong economy based on trade with a resurgent America, English will still be strong. But will prob be different from now.
I'd say the whole global economy is vulnerable and will set the tone for teaching here. If Korea's economy contracts and the government loses tax money and needs to save, we're an easy enough thing to cut. Don't base your life on here. Pay as much debt and save as much as you can. Hunker down kids; it's going to be a rough ride. |
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Swampfox10mm
Joined: 24 Mar 2011
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Posted: Tue Dec 25, 2012 2:19 am Post subject: |
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You should be more concerned about South Korea's tragically low birth rate, and how that will kill-off a large portion of the industry.
There was a link to an article in the Chronical floating around here about how 40% of South Korean schools will need to close in the near future. It's not a prediction -- it's a fact, because there are so few children being born. |
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nautilus

Joined: 26 Nov 2005 Location: Je jump, Tu jump, oui jump!
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Posted: Tue Dec 25, 2012 2:37 am Post subject: |
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| Swampfox10mm wrote: |
| You should be more concerned about South Korea's tragically low birth rate. |
Oh, how tragic.
I might even be able to get a seat on the subway one day. |
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randall020105

Joined: 08 Apr 2008 Location: the land of morning confusion...
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Posted: Tue Dec 25, 2012 3:54 pm Post subject: so... |
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that's one of the reasons foreigners come here - to help with the ever declining b-rate K-Land's experiencing... didn't you know?
R. |
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Weigookin74
Joined: 26 Oct 2009
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Posted: Tue Dec 25, 2012 4:26 pm Post subject: Re: so... |
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| randall020105 wrote: |
that's one of the reasons foreigners come here - to help with the ever declining b-rate K-Land's experiencing... didn't you know?
R. |
Isn't that a great idea? Encourage more Western men to come here and marry Korean women? Then, encourage more Foriegn women to marry Korean men. These foriegn women may be Filipino or Vietnamese, but can also be Western or European. (I say this to any Korean man who treats a woman well, especially.) It would expand the population. People would still be Korean if they eat Kimchi, speak Korean, and are willing to wear Hanbok on a couple of special occasion. Pure bloodedness? Nah! Not needed and very impractical! Shrinking population means shrinking economy. One need only look at Japan.... |
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