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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994
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 Posted: Thu Jun 30, 2005 4:50 pm Post subject: Follow the Bouncing Bush |
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This is from the Zogby Poll just out.
A large majority of Democrats (59%) say they agree that the President should be impeached if he lied about Iraq, while just three-in-ten (30%) disagree. Among President Bush�s fellow Republicans, a full one-in-four (25%) indicate they would favor impeaching the President under these circumstances, while seven-in-ten (70%) do not. Independents are more closely divided, with 43% favoring impeachment and 49% opposed.
The Poll also says there was NO bounce for Bush after his speech Tuesday. In fact, he's dropped another point, down to 43%.
The full article can be found here:
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1007 |
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee
Joined: 25 May 2003
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| Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2005 6:28 am Post subject: |
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July 01, 2005
What is John Zogby talking about?
Zogby International, the polling firm of John Zogby, announced its latest poll yesterday with a press release headlined "No Bounce." The release states that "President Bush's televised address to the nation produced no noticeable bounce in his approval numbers, with his job approval rating slipping a point from a week ago, to 43%, in the latest Zogby International poll."
But if you read the details of the poll, you will find out that it was conducted from June 27-29. Bush gave his speech during the evening of June 28. So how could Zogby tell if Bush got a bounce when a substantial portion of his respondents were interviewed before the speech? This seems like another example of Zogby's questionable professional ethics to me.
Yet despite this obvious flaw, the poll was touted by Bloomberg as showing that Bush did not receive a bounce:
Bush's Iraq Speech Fails to Rally Support, Poll Finds
U.S. President George W. Bush's public approval rating remained in negative territory after a nationally televised address on Iraq, a new poll has found.
The poll by Utica, New York-based Zogby International reported that 43 percent of those surveyed approved of Bush's job performance and 56 percent disapproved. The poll of 905 people was taken June 27-29 and had a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.
What's especially strange is that reporter Ken Fireman notes later in the article that Bush's speech took place on June 28, but doesn't see fit to mention the contradiction between that date and the period in which the poll was conducted. (Atrios also picked up the release and quoted it without comment.)
As I wrote before, Bush is ultimately unlikely to get any significant boost from the speech. But to demonstrate that, we need a poll conducted after the speech. This is not complicated. So why can't Zogby and Bloomberg get it right?
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http://www.brendan-nyhan.com/blog/2005/07/factchecking_jo.html |
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Deconstructor
Joined: 30 Dec 2003
Location: Canada
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| Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2005 9:23 am Post subject: |
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| Not only Bush should be impeached, but he should also stand trial for crimes against humanity and stupid people! |
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