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It's official: CIVIL WAR!!!
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cbclark4



Joined: 20 Aug 2006
Location: Masan

PostPosted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 6:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Weinberger Doctrine:

The United States should not commit forces to combat unless the vital national interests of the United States or its allies are involved.
2. U.S. troops should only be committed wholeheartedly and with the clear intention of winning. Otherwise, troops should not be committed.
3. U.S. combat troops should be committed only with clearly defined political and military objectives and with the capacity to accomplish those objectives.
4. The relationship between the objectives and the size and composition of the forces committed should be continually reassessed and adjusted if necessary.
5. U.S. troops should not be committed to battle without a "reasonable assurance" of the support of U.S. public opinion and Congress.
6. The commitment of U.S. troops should be considered only as a last resort.

I didn't even know there was a Weinberger Doctrine.

Unfortunately these are not official Government policies.

Civil War Defined"

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_war

cbc
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mithridates



Joined: 03 Mar 2003
Location: President's office, Korean Space Agency

PostPosted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 8:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here's one reporter's view:

http://movies.crooksandliars.com/CNN-Ware-CivilWar.wmv

He says yes, it has each and every aspect that civil wars have.
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Slep



Joined: 14 Oct 2006

PostPosted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 9:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The only academics who are claiming it isn't a civil war are doing so based on a very narro wdefiinition of similar war that includes clearly definable leadership as well as distinguishable militaries involved.
There's pretty much uniform agreement that it's a civil war.
the title of the thread seems a bit celebratory for my tastes.
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cbclark4



Joined: 20 Aug 2006
Location: Masan

PostPosted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 12:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

"A civil war is a war in which parties within the same culture, society or nationality fight for political power or control of an area. Political scientists use two criteria: the warring groups must be from the same country and fighting for control of the political center, control over a separatist state or to force a major change in policy. The second criterion is that at least 1,000 people must have been killed in total, with at least 100 from each side."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_war

cbc
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Troll_Bait



Joined: 04 Jan 2006
Location: [T]eaching experience doesn't matter much. -Lee Young-chan (pictured)

PostPosted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 5:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

There's been at least one other thread on this topic in which was discussed
a) the definition of civil war, and
b) does what's happening in Iraq fit that definition

Civil War??

Troll_Bait wrote:
Is it a civil war, or isn�t it?

Quote:
There are objective characteristics that all modern civil wars share. Harvard public policy professor Monica Toft lists six criteria. Hint: Iraq meets all of them.

By Monica Duffy Toft
[email protected]

There are six criteria for considering a conflict a civil war.

Q. Is the focus of the war control over which group governs the political unit?

Q. Are there at least two groups of organized combatants?

Q. Is the state one of the combatants?

Q. Are there at least 1,000 battle deaths per year on average?

Q. Is the ratio of total deaths at least 95 percent to 5 percent? In other words, has the stronger side suffered at least 5 percent of the casualties?

Q. Is the war occurring within the boundaries of an internationally recognized state or entity?


There's much more to this article. Click on the linked title to read the rest.
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Hollywoodaction



Joined: 02 Jul 2004

PostPosted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 5:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

igotthisguitar wrote:
Not so fast people. Remember, it ain't a civil war unless Bush says so.

Bush Says Violence In Iraq Not Civil War
By DEB RIECHMANN, Associated Press Writer

TALLINN, Estonia - President Bush said Tuesday that the sectarian violence rocking Iraq is not civil war but part of an al-Qaida plot to use violence to goad Iraqi factions into repeatedly attacking each other.

"No question it's tough, no question about it," Bush said at a news conference with Estonian President Toomas Hendrik Ilves. "There's a lot of sectarian violence taking place, fomented in my opinion because of the attacks by al-Qaida causing people to seek reprisal."

Bush, who travels to Jordan later in the week for a summit with Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, said the latest cycle of violence does not represent a new era in Iraq. The country is reeling from the deadliest week of sectarian fighting since the war began in March 2003.

"We've been in this phase for a while," Bush said.

This comment appeared at odds with the assessment of the president's national security adviser, who told reporters on the way to Estonia that Iraq is in a "new phase" that requires changes.

Reviews of how to alter the Iraq strategy are underway within the administration, even as a bipartisan panel, led by former Secretary of State James Baker III and former Rep. Lee Hamilton, D-Ind., is completing the recommendations it is expected to present to Bush next month.

Bush said he will be asking al-Maliki to explain his plan for stopping the attacks.

"The Maliki government is going to have to deal with that violence and we want to help them do so," the president said. "It's in our interest that we succeed."

Directly seeking help from Iran and Syria with Iraq, as part of new, aggressive diplomacy throughout the region, is expected to be among the recommendations of the Baker-Hamilton group.

But Bush continued to express his administration's reluctance to talk with two nations it regards as pariah states working to destabilize the Middle East

Iran, the top U.S. rival in the region, has reached out to Iraq and Syria in recent days � an attempt viewed as a bid to assert its role as a powerbroker in Iraq.

Bush said Iraq is a sovereign nation, free to meet with its neighbors. "If that's what they think they ought to do, that's fine."

But he added that the U.S. will only deal with Iran when they suspend their program of enriching uranium, which could be used in a nuclear weapon arsenal.

"The Iranians and the Syrians should help � not destabilize � this young democracy," he said

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20061128/ap_on_re_eu/bush


Kind of like Clinton saying he didn't have 'sexual relations' with Monica.
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igotthisguitar



Joined: 08 Apr 2003
Location: South Korea (Permanent Vacation)

PostPosted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 10:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hollywoodaction wrote:
Kind of like Clinton saying he didn't have 'sexual relations' with Monica.
Laughing

Didn't he at one point essentially say "Well that depends on what "IS" ... "IS" ....

Iraq "One Of" Greatest Presidential Blunders: Carter
Tue Nov 28, 6:37 PM ET

WASHINGTON (AFP) - Former US president Jimmy Carter said the Iraq war was one of the "greatest blunders" ever made by a US leader.



Carter however, said on CNN he believed the raging sectarian violence wracking the US-occupied country so far fell short of a civil war.

"I think that the original invasion of Iraq, and all of its consequences, yes, were a blunder," Carter said.

"It's going to prove, I believe to be one of the greatest blunders that American presidents have ever made."

Asked whether the Iraq war would prove to be a bigger mistake in the annals of US foreign policy than the war in Vietnam, he answered: "I think it is going to be a close call ... but perhaps much more vividly known by the rest of the world than Vietnam was."

The former president, who served from 1977 to 1981, said, however, President George W. Bush could still navigate a way out of Iraq that could be defined as a victory, by agreeing to an international conference on the conflict.

Carter also added his voice to the semantic debate on how to describe the fighting, saying he did not think it amounted to the kind of civil war in which his Carter Center human rights foundation had intervened.

"I think a civil war is a more serious circumstance than exists in Iraq," he said, but added that it was not really important how the conflict was described.

Bush, during a visit to Latvia for the NATO summit, earlier sidestepped suggestions Iraq had sunk into civil war, arguing that a recent upsurge in violence was part of a spiral of sectarian unrest that began nine months ago.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20061128/ts_alt_afp/usiraqunrestpolitics_061128233757

Besides the mass ritual slaughter in Vietnam, i wonder what other debacles Carter would consider the product of major Presidental blunders?
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brento1138



Joined: 17 Nov 2004

PostPosted: Wed Nov 29, 2006 4:49 am    Post subject: Re: It's official: CIVIL WAR!!! Reply with quote

Let's just say in some countries, there is a reason for a dictatorship like Saddam. Someone's gotta keep the people in line. The kings and queens of England or old Europe were no better... and the people's mentality in Iraq is not that much different from those in the middle ages.
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igotthisguitar



Joined: 08 Apr 2003
Location: South Korea (Permanent Vacation)

PostPosted: Wed Nov 29, 2006 10:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Colin Powell Says Iraq In A 'Civil War'
POSTED: 1:13 p.m. EST, November 29, 2006



� Bush, top advisers have avoided the term
� U.N. Secretary General said Monday Iraq was "almost" in civil war

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (CNN) -- Former Secretary of State Colin Powell said Wednesday that Iraq's violence meets the standard of civil war and that if he were heading the State Department now, he might recommend that the administration use that term.

Many news organizations and analysts are calling the Sunni-Shiite sectarian warfare that exploded this year, killing thousands and causing widespread displacement, a civil war.

http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/11/29/powell.iraq/index.html
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EFLtrainer



Joined: 04 May 2005

PostPosted: Wed Nov 29, 2006 9:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mithridates wrote:
Here's one reporter's view:

http://movies.crooksandliars.com/CNN-Ware-CivilWar.wmv

He says yes, it has each and every aspect that civil wars have.


Mith, if you click on the individual headline it will take you to a single page. Using that URL takes you directly to the story you are referencing.

FYI

Smile
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Moldy Rutabaga



Joined: 01 Jul 2003
Location: Ansan, Korea

PostPosted: Thu Nov 30, 2006 1:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Has anyone remembered that the Korean war was obstinately referred to as a 'police action' by the military (it was on MASH, at least! Cool ). This sort of name-game just insults people when Iraq is so clearly becoming more than a few misfits and troublemakers. Good for Powell.

Ken:>
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mnhnhyouh



Joined: 21 Nov 2006
Location: The Middle Kingdom

PostPosted: Thu Nov 30, 2006 1:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think that the situation is more complex that the words Civil War can encompass. The presence of a large foreign army (U.S. for the most part) is outside the definition of Civil War.

However, if the main target of the two factions (note the Kurds are keeping well clear of this) is each other and no longer the U.S. then maybe it is closer to a Civil War than a resistance campaign.

If it is a Civil War, then after the initial dust settles, and the majority Shiites win, then their main target will, once again, be the U.S. occupation.

And, yes, I do, use, too, many, commas.

h
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dogshed



Joined: 28 Apr 2006

PostPosted: Thu Nov 30, 2006 2:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Moldy Rutabaga wrote:
Quote:
The war is unwinable, it is another Vietnam, and Bush was Wrongy Wrongo to invade.

I've always thought that Vietnam was the wrong description; Vietnam had a clear opponent and you knew who you were fighting, and leaving brought loss but a sort of peace as well. Iraq is more like Yugoslavia; the henchman in charge is taken out and all the factions he kept bloodily in place explode. I am not in any way condoning the war, but for the US to suddenly leave would (and will likely) result in the same sort of ethnic cleansing that happened in the Balkans.

What's the alternative? Hell if I know. I guess we say civil war because it's war with opponents inside a city, or civitas. As the joke goes, there's nothing at all civil about it.

Ken:>


It is not like Viet Nam for a lot of reason. Irag is a desert and vietnam is wet from what I remember from watching those war movies.

However when I and many other people say it is like Vietnam what we mean is that our government went in with a poor plan.

What's worse about the Iraq war is that we had a lot of people who had studied the Vietnam war and in many cases also fought in it who knew what to do and what not to do. But then why listen to the experts when you can listen to people who will tell you what you want to hear?

-Jeff
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ddeubel



Joined: 20 Jul 2005

PostPosted: Thu Nov 30, 2006 6:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

This ain't no civil war!!!

Nothing civil about it. That much is as clear as day. Perhaps that is what GW means? He is very litterAlist......so much he spreads it around.....

DD
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igotthisguitar



Joined: 08 Apr 2003
Location: South Korea (Permanent Vacation)

PostPosted: Tue Dec 05, 2006 8:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ddeubel wrote:
This ain't no civil war!!!

Nothing civil about it. That much is as clear as day. Perhaps that is what GW means?
He is very litterAlist......so much he spreads it around.....

DD


CIVIL ... WAR

HELLS ... ANGELS

PROGRESSIVE ... CONSERVATIVE

Oxymorons constitute a form of double-think do they not?
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