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Sen. Clinton: Go on without me
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Czarjorge



Joined: 01 May 2007
Location: I now have the same moustache, and it is glorious.

PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2008 2:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mises wrote:
Czarjorge wrote:


Mises wrote:
He's gonna lose.

It's that kind of blind faith that has been screwing up the Reps for two generations.


It isn't blind faith. He is up 1%. 1 damn %. After 8 years of epic mismanagement and a competitor that has mimicked Bush with increasing frequency. In the middle of a terrible recession, with inflation, insecurity. 1%.

He is toast.


The Obama campaign hasn't even started to fight yet and he's up by 1%. McCain's been fighting for a month and he's still down. If hopes and dreams...
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2008 2:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I like Obama, kinda. I'm not projecting my desired outcome onto my anticipated outcome. I figured he would win until a few weeks ago.
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TheUrbanMyth



Joined: 28 Jan 2003
Location: Retired

PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2008 4:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kuros wrote:
mises wrote:
Czarjorge wrote:


Mises wrote:
He's gonna lose.

It's that kind of blind faith that has been screwing up the Reps for two generations.


It isn't blind faith. He is up 1%. 1 damn %. After 8 years of epic mismanagement and a competitor that has mimicked Bush with increasing frequency. In the middle of a terrible recession, with inflation, insecurity. 1%.

He is toast.


Most polls and projections are based off of previous or 'likely' voters. My guess is that Obama will bring new voters into the fold, especially African-Americans and young people. His organization is quite stunning and the only reason he doesn't have a money lead already is because Howard Dean bankrupted his party and the Obama Presidential campaign is financing the DNC.

Obama will win, he'll win by Clinton 1996 electoral numbers, but his popular vote lead will be pretty close.



He might bring new voters into the fold...but he's going to have to, because he's losing old ones at a good clip. Ever since he tacked to the middle, more and more people have been figuring out that his talk about a new kind of politics was just so much B.S.

http://www.cnsnews.com/public/content/article.aspx?RsrcID=34696

http://www.hispanicbusiness.com/news/2008/8/6/new_poll_shows_obama_losing_support.htm
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2008 5:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bill Clinton wrote:
Barack Obama is ready to be President of the United States
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Adventurer



Joined: 28 Jan 2006

PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2008 7:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well, I think we believe that having Barrak Obama would be an improvement over the status quo. At any rate, America needs someone to pay off some of the debt, deal with education, and the economy. If Obama can at least inspire some confidence in the economy then that would be good. It may require the raising of taxes and some interventionist policies, but the US economy may need that considering the mess the banks got themselves into and the housing sector is in a huge mess. Someone needs to act with urgency. I wish they would have the election next month or have a system like that exists in England and Canada where you have a vote of no-confidence instead of having to impeach to replace a president.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2008 8:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hillary is a smart woman. She had one choice that would give her a political future and she bit the bullet and did it. She made a good speech (and delivered it well). She is now in the position to be regarded as a supporter of Obama if he wins and has the cred to be the alternative in 2012 if he loses. If Bill is the best politician of his generation, which he himself claims, he will reinforce Hillary's image when he gives his speech. He has the oratorical ability to wind the delegates up into a lynch mob if he is on.

Obama has been disappointing over the last month or so. He had a lead and all the signs are out there that this should be a Democratic cake walk. The lead is gone. McCain's negative ads are working.

Historically, the general public doesn't pay much attention until Labor Day (first week of September) when the official campaign begins. Obama needs to make a great speech this week and then send out Biden, the 2 Clintons and any Kennedy he can get his hands on to all go pretty negative and tear McCain down lower than the Republicans can tear him down.

Counterintuitively, Obama will have the best chance if the polls show a close election because that will spur Democrats to get out and vote and Democrats out-number Republicans.

My vote for best line of the convention so far: "No way. No how. No McCain".
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ReeseDog



Joined: 05 Apr 2008
Location: Classified

PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2008 8:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mises wrote:
He's gonna lose.

He's gonna lose.
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ReeseDog



Joined: 05 Apr 2008
Location: Classified

PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2008 8:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
Hillary is a smart woman. She had one choice that would give her a political future and she bit the bullet and did it. She made a good speech (and delivered it well). She is now in the position to be regarded as a supporter of Obama if he wins and has the cred to be the alternative in 2012 if he loses. If Bill is the best politician of his generation, which he himself claims, he will reinforce Hillary's image when he gives his speech. He has the oratorical ability to wind the delegates up into a lynch mob if he is on.

Obama has been disappointing over the last month or so. He had a lead and all the signs are out there that this should be a Democratic cake walk. The lead is gone. McCain's negative ads are working.

Historically, the general public doesn't pay much attention until Labor Day (first week of September) when the official campaign begins. Obama needs to make a great speech this week and then send out Biden, the 2 Clintons and any Kennedy he can get his hands on to all go pretty negative and tear McCain down lower than the Republicans can tear him down.

Counterintuitively, Obama will have the best chance if the polls show a close election because that will spur Democrats to get out and vote and Democrats out-number Republicans.

My vote for best line of the convention so far: "No way. No how. No McCain".


You are so cool.
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2008 8:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ReeseDog wrote:
mises wrote:
He's gonna lose.

He's gonna lose.


Knock on wood, gentlemen.
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ReeseDog



Joined: 05 Apr 2008
Location: Classified

PostPosted: Wed Aug 27, 2008 8:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gopher wrote:
ReeseDog wrote:
mises wrote:
He's gonna lose.

He's gonna lose.


Knock on wood, gentlemen.


Hoping like hell, 'cause it's gonna be close.
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Thu Aug 28, 2008 12:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I saw most of Bill's speech, and he seemed to hit all the right notes after noting the primary race had been so heated that it "increased Global Warming" ...

It remains to be seen if the Clintons' great speeches this week will be enough to offset the negative fodder their previous attacks on Obama have provided for Republicans' pitbull strategists.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/8004316/
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Thu Aug 28, 2008 1:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here's a portion of an article whose theme is the transformation of the Democratic Party of 1908 into the Party of 2008.

States, commonwealths and territories grabbed their moments in the limelight -- Alabama stayed united behind Clinton, and everyone cheered; Illinois was strong for Obama, and everyone cheered; Guam asked for more self-determination, and everyone cheered.

It quickly became evident that Clinton delegates were breaking for Obama in a big way. Clinton had announced earlier in the day that she was casting her super-delegate vote for her former rival, and there was a "If he's good enough for Hillary..." vibe as the states announced. Michigan, where Obama wasn't even on the primary ballot, voted 125-27 for the Illinois senator.

Kathleen Weber, a delegate from Dubuque, Iowa, who started talking up Obama as a presidential candidate four years ago, was jumping up and down, saying, "I hope it's over."

And, in a few short minutes, it was.

New Jersey, a Clinton bastion, voted unanimously for Obama. Then, a wave of excitement swept through the Pepsi Center. Hillary Clinton was in the hall and making her way toward the New York delegation.

The delegation chair, veteran state legislator Sheldon Silver, called on "the great senator from New York." And Clinton spoke the words that formally opened the next chapter in the history of the Democratic party and perhaps the nation.

"With eyes firmly fixed on the future, in the spirit of unity, with the goal of victory, with faith in our party and our country, let's declare together in one voice right here right now, that Barack Obama is our candidate and he will be our president," said Clinton, as the crowd roared.

"I move Senator Barack Obama of Illinois be selected by the convention by acclamation as the nominee of the Democratic Party."


After the hall shook with applause and cheers, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi called the question. "Yes," came the cry of the crowd. Pelosi briefly, very briefly, entertained the question of whether anyone wanted to say "no" and, while a few Clinton dead-enders might have liked to do so, Pelosi declared the nomination fight to be finished.

The crowd chanted, "Yes we can!" The old O'Jays song "Love Train" blared through the loudspeakers. Hugs. Kisses. High fives. Arms around shoulders. Euphoria. And, and... something that looked and felt an awfully lot like unity.

***
This really is an historic moment we are witnessing this week. It's been 45 years since the legal barriers to full integration of the races fell. America moves very slowly, but it does move. This is one of those times when you tingle with pride.

(Whole article: http://www.thenation.com/blogs/thebeat/349600 )

I miss the roll call vote from when I was a kid. The Democrats had an older woman from somewhere in the South with this wonderful soft drawl who read the state names. I swear it took her a minute and a half to say 'Alabama'...her voice was low and resonating.
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