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Mid-Term Election Thread...
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thepeel



Joined: 08 Aug 2004

PostPosted: Tue Nov 07, 2006 4:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The headlines on drudge suggest good things are happening...

But seriously, I will loose a great deal of respect for the USA if the Republicans retain both the senate and house. If not for Iraq then certainly for Katrina.
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EFLtrainer



Joined: 04 May 2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 07, 2006 4:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Exit polling on a non-ranked four-question issues, according to MSNBC:

Surprise: Corruption

Republicans: Ruh-roh!

Turnout: as high as 70% in some areas!!!

Republicans: Ruh-roh!


Early Returns - Wave May Be Real

Quote:
Polls have now closed in six states, including Virginia -- where Republican Sen. George Allen is fighting for his political life against Democratic challenger Jim Webb -- and Kentucky and Indiana -- where the fates of five vulnerable Republican incumbents will be a key early test of whether the GOP is facing a Democratic wave or an out-and-out tsunami.

Two of those five GOP incumbents were trailing in early returns.



*******************************

Should these numbers hold, they would basically assure control of the Senate, too. Cardin, McCaskill and Webb are three of the six true swing states.

Senate Numbers
Quote:
FILE UNDER: Congress

Some early U.S. Senate exits, with all the normal caveats:

Casey 61 - Santorum 38

Cardin 51 - Steele 48

McCaskill 53 - Talent 46

Webb 55 - Allen 45

-- Josh Benson


******************************

MSNBC:

Yarmuth (D) - in a seat not targeted by Democrats - leading Northup early.

*********************

More Senate numbers:

Quote:
Unconfirmed exit polls circulating online are indicating major Democratic victories in the US Senate, RAW STORY has learned.

The list finds Republicans leading in just 2 of 9 key races, in Arizona and Tennessee.

Exit polls in 2000 and 2004 overestimated the performance of Democrats in final tallies by sometimes large margins.

The list, as acquired by RAW STORY, follows:

#
Democrats leading in:

* VA: 53-46
* RI: 53-46
* PA: 57-42
* OH: 57-43
* NJ: 53-45
* MT: 53-46
* MO: 50-48

Republicans leading:

* TN: 51-48
* AZ: 50-46
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EFLtrainer



Joined: 04 May 2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 07, 2006 5:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Serious bellweather races. These were not really expected to go Democrat. Could be signaling not just a wave, but a Tidal Wave.

What Kentucky Tells Us
Quote:
By: Cliff Schecter on Tuesday, November 7th, 2006 at 5:05 PM - PST
I worked on statewide races in Kentucky in 2002 and 2003. So I know the politics reasonably well.

Republican Anne Northup in KY-03, has always found a way to win by pretending she is more moderate than she is and using pork to buy off certain African-American elites in the church community. She now trails her Democrat challenger by 50% to 48% with 81% of the vote counted.

In KY-02, where coincidentally we lost our first of many seats in 1994 in a special election, we should not be in the game. But we are up 2% right now! If we win these two races, which could be called 2nd and 3rd tier pickup opportunities, respectively, get ready for a huge night.

One more thing. Congressman Ted Strickland has already won his race for the governorship of Ohio, ending 16 years of Republican control of the Ohio statehouse. He is a star in an important state. Look for him to make VP short-list conversation in the coming months.
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