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Most Dangerous & Most Safe Cities in the U.S.
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endo



Joined: 14 Mar 2004
Location: Seoul...my home

PostPosted: Wed Nov 21, 2007 8:06 pm    Post subject: Most Dangerous & Most Safe Cities in the U.S. Reply with quote

http://www.cnn.com/2007/US/11/18/dangerous.cities.ap/index.html

Quote:
Ranked Most Dangerous
1. Detroit, Michigan
2. St. Louis, Missouri
3. Flint, Michigan
4. Oakland, California
5. Camden, New Jersey
6. Birmingham, Alabama
7. North Charleston, South Carolina
8. Memphis, Tennessee
9. Richmond, California
10. Cleveland, Ohio

Ranked Safest
1. Mission Viejo, California
2. Clarkstown, New York
3. Brick Township, New Jersey
4. Amherst, New York
5. Sugar Land, Texas
6. Colonie, New York
7. Thousand Oaks, California
8. Newton, Massachusetts
9. Toms River Township, N.J.
10. Lake Forest, California



I thought New Orleans or Philly would easily be in the most dangerous category. Even Miami.

There's also a racial element to these statistics which I'm not even going to touch right now.
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reactionary



Joined: 22 Oct 2006
Location: korreia

PostPosted: Wed Nov 21, 2007 8:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

i think they should've compared cities of similar sizes as well. "Sugar Land"? Never heard of it, but a city of 80,000 (wikipedia) shouldn't be compared to a large city like Detroit.

Maybe only look at cities with 500,000 people and up.
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Bibbitybop



Joined: 22 Feb 2006
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Wed Nov 21, 2007 10:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

reactionary wrote:
but a city of 80,000 (wikipedia) shouldn't be compared to a large city like Detroit.



I didn't read TFA, but if they base the numbers of crimes on capita, then it's legit.
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mehmeh



Joined: 23 May 2007
Location: South, South Korea

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 12:07 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The list is such BS. While I can't speak for Detroit, I feel obliged to defend my short-term home, St. Louis. First, St. Louis is divided in two parts: the wealthy county and poorer city. Since a majority of the crime happens inside the little area called "St. Louis City" the whole region is painted with the same brush. Furthermore, inside the city itself, a majority of the crimes take place in a few neighborhoods on the north side. Another fact conveniently left out of the study. Finally, digging a little deeper I'm sure you'd find that most of the crimes are not "random" acts of violence but violence between two parties associated with each other (i.e. gangs).

I'm not denying that crime is a problem in St. Louis but I think boiling down such a complex issue into a top ten list is foolish.
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stevemcgarrett



Joined: 24 Mar 2006

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 2:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

endo imagined:

Quote:
I thought New Orleans or Philly would easily be in the most dangerous category. Even Miami. Also, Chicago and Minneapolis did not report. The latter, incidentally, is the hometown of most of my father's side of the family going way back, and didn't have a violent crime problem until the city became a welfare haven for neighboring states (another brilliant liberal idea of a bygone era).

There's also a racial element to these statistics which I'm not even going to touch right now.


Have you actually read the report? It explains why these cities weren't included. New Orleans leads the nation in the number of murder victims but not per capita. Got it yet? Philadelphia and Miami did not make the top ten for the same reason.

Why be afraid to state the obvious? All of these cities have disproportionately higher concentrations of Blacks. There, I said it for you. But why should that surprise any one, given the homicide rate in the Black community? (Now watch some liberal whine racist and racism on this thread...).

East St. Louis is mostly black, is it not?
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endo



Joined: 14 Mar 2004
Location: Seoul...my home

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 2:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

stevemcgarrett wrote:


Have you actually read the report? It explains why these cities weren't included. New Orleans leads the nation in the number of murder victims but not per capita. Got it yet? Philadelphia and Miami did not make the top ten for the same reason.


Yes smartass, I read the report.

It's just that I know that Phili has had over 400 murders this year alone. And I also know that N.O. has had increadible levels of violence.

I was just saying that I presumed they would be on there before I even read the article. But obviously I underestimed how that would reflect on the per capita rate.

Idiot!



Quote:
Why be afraid to state the obvious? All of these cities have disproportionately higher concentrations of Blacks. There, I said it for you. But why should that surprise any one, given the homicide rate in the Black community? (Now watch some liberal whine racist and racism on this thread...).

East St. Louis is mostly black, is it not?



I stated it without stating it Stevie.

It's called subtlety. You might want to try it one day you jackazz Wink
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mistermasan



Joined: 20 Sep 2007
Location: 10+ yrs on Dave's ESL cafe

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 3:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

i live adjacent to east st.louis in a little town called fairmont city. yeah, east st.louis is a tough place. heck, there is a two gunshot wound minimum just to get in.

east st.louis is mostly blacks. east stl used to be a major transit and mfg center. the factory owners would bring up train loads of blacks from the deep south to break strikes. the whites moved out to better housing. the factories moved elsewhere. the blacks remain. like everybody, if you know them one-on-one all is well but if you don't know em behave well and keep on going. not really a problem.

yeah, estl is in dire straits and nobody has any ideas how to turn the tide. the gambling casino and the nascar track aren't really panaceas for anything.
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reactionary



Joined: 22 Oct 2006
Location: korreia

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 3:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I didn't read TFA, but if they base the numbers of crimes on capita, then it's legit.


i'm sure it is per capita, i still don't think it's legit. i think it's very possible for some of these small cities to have 0 or 1 murders year after year after year - i'd imagine "SUGARLAND" must be quite a wealthy little hamlet- and keep a real low per capita murder rate. not saying all small cities are crime free (san bernardino [where i send my students] has plenty of murders for a pop. of 200,000- but even in that case i'd say it's mostly residual LA crime), but they dont really have the conditions for it.

poverty and crowded downtown areas (especially ones where people work but don't live) breed more crime. i mean, looking at the list, it's very telling. probably all the "dangerous" cities have higher populations than the "safe" ones...but i don't feel like looking up every city's population in wikipedia
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Bibbitybop



Joined: 22 Feb 2006
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 8:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

reactionary wrote:
Quote:
I didn't read TFA, but if they base the numbers of crimes on capita, then it's legit.


i'm sure it is per capita, i still don't think it's legit. i think it's very possible for some of these small cities to have 0 or 1 murders year after year after year - i'd imagine "SUGARLAND" must be quite a wealthy little hamlet- and keep a real low per capita murder rate. not saying all small cities are crime free (san bernardino [where i send my students] has plenty of murders for a pop. of 200,000- but even in that case i'd say it's mostly residual LA crime), but they dont really have the conditions for it.

poverty and crowded downtown areas (especially ones where people work but don't live) breed more crime. i mean, looking at the list, it's very telling. probably all the "dangerous" cities have higher populations than the "safe" ones...but i don't feel like looking up every city's population in wikipedia


What you say about the cities' demographics is true, but it still boils down to cities like Sugarland being safer per capita. I still haven't read TFA, but if it's purely per capita, it's just numbers making cities "safe" regardless of income, race and size. Like you say, the do need more categories. Or people from Detroit should just move to the safe cities and even the numbers out. "Hi, I'm from Detroit and I heard it's safe here. Give me your wallet, cracka! Woah, that's a fat load of cash you carry."
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stevemcgarrett



Joined: 24 Mar 2006

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 7:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sugarland, Texas in Fort Bend County to the southwest of Houston is part rural and part town--it is not a rich enclave or hamlet, although it has a disproportionate number of upper middle class families relative to adjacent Harris County. I know; I used to live there many moons ago.

endo sputtered:

Quote:
But obviously I underestimed how that would reflect on the per capita rate.


You mean obviously you didn't consider that distinct probability until it was thrust into your face WITH CAPITAL LETTERS.

Keep gobbling on those magic mushrooms.
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happeningthang



Joined: 26 Apr 2003

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 8:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Steve, always a class act.

Since some have pointed out that there's a lot of black gun violence (with varying degrees of subtlety) I wonder if it's more related to poverty and the association of crime that goes with it. The poorer a community, the more motivation for crime and violence.

If that's the case then why not describe these statistics in terms of poor communities being more prone to violence, instead of in racial terms?
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thepeel



Joined: 08 Aug 2004

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 8:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It is true that a "bad neighborhood" in polite conversation is a reference to an area with many blacks. A "good school" has few blacks. Etc etc.

Admitting this isn't racist. What is racist (and I'm not saying any of you fit this) is to assume that the blacks are responsible for their own situation, and the historical injustices don't play into it. I don't know what the solution to all this is, but pretending that blacks don't commit more crime (and are more than likely the victim of black crime) will not help the black empowerment cause.

I suspect policy number 1 is to end the war on drugs and policy number two is school vouchers that allow black kids to get an education outside of the ghetto. Beyond that, I dunno.
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endo



Joined: 14 Mar 2004
Location: Seoul...my home

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 9:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

stevemcgarrett wrote:
Sugarland, Texas in Fort Bend County to the southwest of Houston is part rural and part town--it is not a rich enclave or hamlet, although it has a disproportionate number of upper middle class families relative to adjacent Harris County. I know; I used to live there many moons ago.

endo sputtered:

Quote:
But obviously I underestimed how that would reflect on the per capita rate.


You mean obviously you didn't consider that distinct probability until it was thrust into your face WITH CAPITAL LETTERS.

Keep gobbling on those magic mushrooms.



Pathetic excuse for a comeback if I ever saw one Stevio.

Rolling Eyes


So do you happen to know the exact size of every large U.S. city? And if a relatively large city like Detriot or even St. Louis made it on to the top 10 then why would it be a stretch to assume that New Orleans would be also?


moron!
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happeningthang



Joined: 26 Apr 2003

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 9:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fair enough Peel, but in the spirit of plain speech, why is all this negativity prefaced as being "black", when the real issue is one of poverty?
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thepeel



Joined: 08 Aug 2004

PostPosted: Thu Nov 22, 2007 9:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The history of the United States has created a hyper race sensitive and race aware culture. While the DNA project has taught us that race is a social construction, tell that to the white lady being chased home from the subway. The language of race is used because it is the most simplistic.

I'm reminded of a post from the Mother Jones blog (from a black lady).
Quote:

In fact, we'd do best to assume whites will never be any more enlightened than they are now because, to paraphrase Chris Rock, it wasn't the white media chasing him home from the subway.

http://www.motherjones.com/mojoblog/archives/2007/10/5648_jena_just_isnt.html

There have to be serious attempts at lifting the quality of life for the average black as a means to lessen criminality. We simply can not expect white people to become less black/white aware until then.
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