| View previous topic :: View next topic |
| Author |
Message |
thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
|
 Posted: Sat Jan 26, 2008 1:27 am Post subject: Clock ticking for Kim's Korea |
 |
|
| Quote: |
Kim Jong-Il's regime could collapse within six months, bringing chaos to North Korea, observers and intelligence sources in Asia have told Jane's.
A joint United States report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies and the US Institute for Peace has also revealed that China has "contingency plans" in the event of North Korea's implosion. The report, entitled 'Keeping an Eye on an Unruly Neighbor', said that China was prepared to "take the initiative" and had a military strategy for securing North Korea's "loose nukes" should Kim Jong-Il's rule fail.
Any apocalyptic scenario has to be taken with a grain of salt; in 1997 the Central Intelligence Agency predicted the collapse of North Korea within five years. However, there are reasons for the heightened levels of concern; in particular, the recent actions of Kim Jong-Il and other North Korean officials are being interpreted as signs that the regime is nearing its end.
Tellingly, the 'Dear Leader' is in the process of moving financial resources to ensure that his assets are portable should he have to go into exile, according to some sources.
The centrally controlled economy has also now ceased to function and the food distribution system is near breaking point. With loyalty to the regime at an all-time low, another sign of trouble is the regime's diminishing ability to prevent people from leaving the country.
Image: Kim Jong-Il. |
http://www.janes.com/news/security/countryrisk/jdw/jdw080124_1_n.shtml |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Milwaukiedave
Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong
|
| Posted: Sat Jan 26, 2008 1:33 am Post subject: |
|
|
Interesting... I don't mean to down play it, but how many times have they stated this would happen before? Like the article said, China is going to step in. Hopefully China doesn't try to make NK a provience of its own though.
Too bad the full article wasn't available. It would be interesting to see what else it said. |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
Milwaukiedave
Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994
|
| Posted: Sat Jan 26, 2008 4:54 am Post subject: |
|
|
| China has been manuvering for several years to be in a position to 'restore stability' in North Korea with her Northeast Asia Project. Here it's claimed China would be ready to secure the nukes if chaos should happen. It would be very interesting indeed to read a report on what South Korea would do should chaos develop in the North. Or if Chinese troops crossed the border. |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
|
FAQ
Search
Memberlist
Usergroups
Register
Profile
Log in to check your private messages
Log in
