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Kim Jong Il - not coming back

 
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Captain Corea



Joined: 28 Feb 2005
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Sat Sep 27, 2008 12:34 am    Post subject: Kim Jong Il - not coming back Reply with quote

Perhaps someone with better Korean abilities than I can take a stab at this, but as far as I can figure, it's saying that he's out for good.

http://kr.news.yahoo.com/service/news/shellview.htm?articleid=20080927111844755e1&linkid=20&newssetid=455&from=rank

Quote:
'김정일 뇌졸증,권력핵심 회복하기 힘든상태'
[CNBNEWS] 2008년 09월 27일(토) 오전 11:18 가 가| 이메일| 프린트 ▲ CNB뉴스,CNBNEWS ,씨앤비뉴스 - 북한은 이미 미사일에 핵탄두를 장착하는 기술을 보유하고 있는 것이 확실하다고 전직 미 정보 당국자가 밝혔다고 미 언론들이 26일 보도했다.

아더 브라운 전 미 중앙정보국(CIA) 아시아담당관은 일본에서 지난 25일(한국시간) 기자들을 만나 "북한은 이미 노동 미사일에 장착될 수 있는 탄두를 가지고 있을 가능성이 크다"고 지적했다고 미 언론들이 이날 보도했다.

브라운은 "미국은 아무 것도 없는 상태에서 7년만에 미사일을 가진 것을 봤다" 면서 "러시아도 그들의 첫 미사일 발사 실험을 한 지 6년만에 그랬었는데, 왜 북한이 그런 기술이 없다고 우리는 생각하는가"라고 반문했다.

그는 이어 "우리가 모르는 것은 북한이 얼마만한 우라늄이나 플루토늄을 확보하고 있느냐이며, 무기를 만들기 위해 얼만큼의 양이 필요한가일 뿐이다"고 북한의 핵탄두 미사일 장착 기술의 확보에 대해 확신에 찬 언급을 이어갔다.

그는 "북한은 2년 전 핵무기를 실험했으며, 이번 주에는 아마도 영변에서 플루토늄 재생산에 들어갔을 수 있다"고 지적했다.

그는 특히 김정일 국방위원장의 병세와 관련해 "그것은 심각한 뇌졸중이다"고 강조하면서 "그것은 가벼운 뇌졸중이 아니라, 그가 최근 약간 병세가 호전되기는 했지만 내 생각에는 그가 권력의 핵심으로 돌아올 수 있을 만큼 회복하리라고는 누구도 기대하지 않는다"고 말했다.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Sat Sep 27, 2008 12:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

VERY interesting development, if true.

It's a hopeful sign. New leadership up north and a new prez in the US in 4 months--there might be the chance for a new start.
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Milwaukiedave



Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong

PostPosted: Sat Sep 27, 2008 1:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wednesday September 24, 10:16 AM
Kim's Brother-in-Law Likely to Takeover N Korea: US Intelligence
SEOUL, Sept 24 Asia Pulse - A U.S. intelligence agency believes Jang Song-taek, brother-in-law of North Korean leader Kim Jong-il, will likely take the most important role in running the country if the ailing leader either becomes physically disabled or dies, a local daily reported Wednesday.
The agency made the suggestions in a report recently delivered to the South Korean presidential office, intelligence agency and other security-related offices, the Dong-A Ilbo said, citing sources in Washington and Seoul.

Seoul's Unification Ministry said it is unaware of the U.S. report.

The daily said the report contained three power succession scenarios in North Korea, based on Kim's possible future health condition -- physical disability, protracted incapacitation and death.

"It suggested Chairman Kim will indirectly run the country through Jang Song-taek, husband of his sister (Kim Kyong-hui), and Kim Ok, who serves as the nation's de facto first lady, if he is only physically disabled, not mentally," the daily said.

"The agency predicted that if Kim dies, North Korea is highly likely be run by collective leadership with Jang, director of the administrative department of the Workers' Party, taking the most important role," the report said. ADVERTISEMENT



South Korea's National Intelligence Service said Kim Jong-il, 66, suffered a stroke last month and is recuperating after brain surgery.

But North Korean officials deny that Kim, who was last seen in public more than 40 days ago, is ill.

Kim took over from his father Kim Il-sung who died of a heart attack in 1994. None of Kim Jong-il's three sons -- Jong-nam, Jong-chul and Jong-un, are known to have been named as an heir.

Jang, a 62-year-old technocrat who studied in Moscow, came back to Pyongyang's power hierarchy in 2006 two years after being purged for trying to build up a military faction. He is reportedly close to Kim's eldest son Jong-nam.

Washington sees scant chance of one of the three sons heading the collective leadership, according to the report.

The 37-year-old Jong-nam has yet to win the confidence of his father, and the second and third sons, both in their 20s, are still inexperienced in politics and are little known even to North Korean residents.

Jang, in comparison, has a firmer power base than the sons and other ranking party and military officials, the U.S. intelligence body said.

With a family link to the military leadership, Jang won the deep confidence of the Workers' Party and is retaining a firm grip on security offices, according to the U.S. report as quoted.

But the collective leadership will face the challenge of an internal power struggle for succession among the elites, it said.

The agency predicted uncertainty will rise in North Korea, however, should Kim remain incapacitated for a long time, because of fierce competition between different political groups

http://asia.news.yahoo.com/080924/4/3phcc.html
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