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Voyeur
Joined: 19 Jun 2003
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Posted: Mon Oct 06, 2008 9:45 pm Post subject: Should Economic Woes Affect our Behavior/Attitude? |
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How could projected weakness for the ROK economy affect our attitudes- if at all?
Should we work a little harder to stay in the good graces of our boss?
Should we be a little less dismissive of some job offers that we previously would have not looked at?
Should we consider moving to other countries?
Especially for the Hogwon industry, how could a say 2 year downturn combined with a drop in the power of the US (and thus the perceived dominance of and need for English) affect the life and plans of a teacher? |
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Yu_Bum_suk

Joined: 25 Dec 2004
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Posted: Mon Oct 06, 2008 10:09 pm Post subject: |
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It makes no difference to how I approach my job, but if I were changing jobs I might be more inclined to see what other countries have to offer. |
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Voyeur
Joined: 19 Jun 2003
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Posted: Mon Oct 06, 2008 10:51 pm Post subject: |
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Do you think a possible recession makes public school jobs more attractive since they will feekl less pressure and are less likely to suddenly go snakey on the teachers if the school starts losing money? |
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Otherside
Joined: 06 Sep 2007
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Posted: Mon Oct 06, 2008 11:22 pm Post subject: Re: Should Economic Woes Affect our Behavior/Attitude? |
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Voyeur wrote: |
How could projected weakness for the ROK economy affect our attitudes- if at all?
Should we be a little less dismissive of some job offers that we previously would have not looked at?
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I'd go as far as to say we should do the complete opposite. A crap job paying 2million when that was $2100 is one thing, a crap job paying 2million when 2mill is $1500 is a different kettle of fish completly. |
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marlow
Joined: 06 Feb 2005
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Posted: Mon Oct 06, 2008 11:23 pm Post subject: |
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I think there is going to be a shortage of (intelligent) teachers coming here over the winter. Only an idiot would come over when the exchange is so terrible. And, if you are in NA and are feeling a pinch why risk getting stranded in a foreign country without money in the bank to get home? |
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Monkey82
Joined: 18 Mar 2008
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Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 5:40 am Post subject: |
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Yup, I just left in Sept from a crappy hagwon where I was making 2.8 month (by teaching 180 classes/month). I was anxious to return, and I'm looking at public school jobs and I was ready to take a pay cut for all the extra perks, but now it just seems foolish. I think I'm going to wait a while and see if things start to get better.
I mean, if the exchange gets worse I won't be able to afford being in Korea. I'd rather try to find a job at home, which yes, might be difficult, but at least I know my salary won't change on a monthly basis. I agree with marlow, I'm not going to risk being stuck in Korea. |
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jellobean
Joined: 14 Mar 2006
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Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 5:49 am Post subject: |
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I just did my taxes for the last 3 years which requires doing all the conversions to figure income. It was interesting to compare my current monthly salary in dollars to my salary the past 2 years.
Looking at salaries right now in dollars puts things in a whole new light.
I'm making about $1000 less per month right now than at this time last year at the same job (and I got a bit of a raise this year). I'm making a couple hundred less now that I did at my job two years ago where I made 700,000 won less than I do now.
The exchange rate makes a huge difference. I'll bet quite a few teachers decide to take off come March and those coming will likely be far fewer.
Of course this is only relevant for those sending money back home. My coworkers with families and no connections back home haven't blinked an eye.
Interestingly, conversion here has gotten so bad I could make more as a teacher back in the states. |
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22tea77
Joined: 22 Oct 2007 Location: United States
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Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 6:14 am Post subject: |
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jellobean wrote: |
Of course this is only relevant for those sending money back home. My coworkers with families and no connections back home haven't blinked an eye.
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They certainly WILL be blinking an eye...maybe two, once the imported cogs in the wheels of the Korean economy jump about 35% due to the weaker WON.
It is only a matter of time before we see some serious inflation here.
That being said...with the WON officially over 1250 for the last few days, let's all celebrate with an "Under 2 Dollar" draft at the local Hof!!  |
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I-am-me

Joined: 21 Feb 2006 Location: Hermit Kingdom
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Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 6:54 am Post subject: |
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Interesting to see they are still advertising 2.1 salaries as equivalent to $2100. Today that 2.1 is about $1500. I wonder how many will jump the hoops for that?  |
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wylies99

Joined: 13 May 2006 Location: I'm one cool cat!
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Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 7:05 am Post subject: |
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jellobean wrote: |
I just did my taxes for the last 3 years which requires doing all the conversions to figure income. It was interesting to compare my current monthly salary in dollars to my salary the past 2 years.
Looking at salaries right now in dollars puts things in a whole new light.
I'm making about $1000 less per month right now than at this time last year at the same job (and I got a bit of a raise this year). I'm making a couple hundred less now that I did at my job two years ago where I made 700,000 won less than I do now.
The exchange rate makes a huge difference. I'll bet quite a few teachers decide to take off come March and those coming will likely be far fewer.
Of course this is only relevant for those sending money back home. My coworkers with families and no connections back home haven't blinked an eye.
Interestingly, conversion here has gotten so bad I could make more as a teacher back in the states. |
Not an Economics major?
Those wiring money feel the effect immediately. However, consumer prices in ROK will eventually reflect the eroded buying power of the won and will increase. The price increases will start with imported goods but other prices will increase, too. It's just a delayed reaction. |
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asylum seeker
Joined: 22 Jul 2007 Location: On your computer screen.
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Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 7:38 am Post subject: |
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I-am-me wrote: |
Interesting to see they are still advertising 2.1 salaries as equivalent to $2100. Today that 2.1 is about $1500. I wonder how many will jump the hoops for that?  |
You might be surprised at how many people would accept the ads at face value and not bother checking the exchange rate before they come. |
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ontheway
Joined: 24 Aug 2005 Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...
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Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 7:59 am Post subject: |
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What will happen in Korea depends on how bad the economic situation gets, and noone can predict that with certainty.
One of my Korean business friends says that economic forecasts for Korea show a significant recession coming with 30% of small businesses failing over the next two years or so.
This would mean a reduction in government revenues and where would they cut back first? A good guess would be foreign teachers. Send them home and keep the money for the homies.
This would also mean a significant reduction in the hogwan business, and while English would fare better than the piano and art hogwans, there would be cuts everywhere.
At the same time, unemployment around the world will be rising, perhaps over 10% in much of the English speaking world, so teachers will become more plentiful at the same time that jobs are getting more scarce.
The demand for foreign teachers is likely to fall in every teaching market as this global recession gets rolling. And we can be thankful if it does not turn into a global depression.
All currencies will be falling, but the won is likely to remain depressed versus the dollar, so salaries will be lower due to unfavorable currency translation, and lower due to a falling demand for teachers coupled with an increasing supply.
Forecast: If you can get a good job and keep it, maintain your nominal salary in the local currency without cuts and only face losses due to deteriorating currency translation effects, you will be doing better than most. |
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Oliver

Joined: 19 Apr 2008 Location: Seoul, Korea
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Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 10:28 am Post subject: worrried |
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I am very worried. I am due to fly out tomorrow and economically speaking the world is in some state. I can definetely say no to sending money home. And if prices rise within Korea due to falling value of the won then I am screwed. It's too late to back out, fingers crossed that things will stable out. |
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marlow
Joined: 06 Feb 2005
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Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 6:07 pm Post subject: Re: worrried |
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Oliver wrote: |
It's too late to back out, fingers crossed that things will stable out. |
I imagine within a year or two. It would be quite foolish to choose here if you are not already mostly committed, though. That's why I think the winter batch of teachers won't materialize.
Basically you'd be choosing to take a 50% cut in savings potential during a year or so. Gambling on a recovery is not prudent unless you already have your bets on the table so to speak. Basically the standard 2.2M has changed from $2500 to $1600 in the past year. Now if you can get paid in American or Canadian dollars.... |
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hari seldon
Joined: 05 Dec 2004 Location: Incheon
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Posted: Tue Oct 07, 2008 6:52 pm Post subject: Re: Should Economic Woes Affect our Behavior/Attitude? |
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Voyeur wrote: |
How could projected weakness for the ROK economy affect our attitudes- if at all? |
The weakness in the won makes Korea a less attractive destination for NETs.
Voyeur wrote: |
Should we work a little harder to stay in the good graces of our boss? |
Are you asking if we should anticipate more school bankruptcies? I'd say the answer is "Yes". There will be a few more bankruptcies, but in most cases the cause won't be falling enrollments.
Highly leveraged owners of multiple businesses will go under.
However, it shouldn't be difficult for the NETs effected to find another job.
Voyeur wrote: |
Should we be a little less dismissive of some job offers that we previously would have not looked at? |
No. The demand for NETS outstrips the supply. And the demand for English education in Korea is relatively inelastic so the demand for NETS should continue unabated.
I think we need to be more demanding in our salary negotiations since the won has lost a lot of ground against foreign currencies and continues to slide.
Voyeur wrote: |
Should we consider moving to other countries? |
Perhaps some NETs should consider Japan or Taiwan.
Voyeur wrote: |
Especially for the Hogwon industry, how could a say 2 year downturn combined with a drop in the power of the US (and thus the perceived dominance of and need for English) affect the life and plans of a teacher? |
Mandarin isn't going to replace English as the Lingua Franca because the language is too difficult to master so I doubt the demand for English education will abate.
Last edited by hari seldon on Tue Oct 07, 2008 7:54 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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