|
Korean Job Discussion Forums
"The Internet's Meeting Place for ESL/EFL Teachers from Around the World!"
|
| View previous topic :: View next topic |
| Author |
Message |
JMO
Joined: 18 Jul 2006
Location: Daegu
|
 Posted: Sat Nov 08, 2008 9:12 pm Post subject: In baseball, and in politics, the numbers don't lie |
 |
|
Interview with Nate Silver the creator of 538.com and from the baseball prospectus.
http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=caple/081107
| Quote: |
He started the site, he says, because of "an annoyance at how polls were covered by the mainstream media, cherry-picking the numbers." Convinced he could do better, Silver used his sabermetric models to correctly forecast some Barack Obama victories in key primaries, and went on to predict that Obama would be elected president with 52.3 percent of the popular vote and 349 electoral votes. With a few votes still being counted, Obama won with 53 percent and 364.
"We worked hard to get the media to treat numbers in baseball in a serious manner and it was fives times worse in politics," Silver said. Yet he convinced them. The site became must-reading for political fans -- Silver says it had three million hits on Election Day -- and was considered one of the most reliable sources of information on the campaign. |
I've always admired the baseball prospectus guys and their football counterparts. Good to see politics is catching up. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
huffdaddy
Joined: 25 Nov 2005
|
| Posted: Sun Nov 09, 2008 12:34 am Post subject: Re: In baseball, and in politics, the numbers don't lie |
|
|
| JMO wrote: |
I've always admired the baseball prospectus guys and their football counterparts. |
I was around on the old rec.sport.baseball Usenet group when they all got together. Played Strat-o-Matic with Christine Kahrl, back when she was just Chris. Back then they were doing all the same stuff, but just for the fun of it. It's good to see that their efforts have paid off. |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
JMO
Joined: 18 Jul 2006
Location: Daegu
|
| Posted: Sun Nov 09, 2008 9:53 pm Post subject: Re: In baseball, and in politics, the numbers don't lie |
|
|
| huffdaddy wrote: |
| JMO wrote: |
I've always admired the baseball prospectus guys and their football counterparts. |
I was around on the old rec.sport.baseball Usenet group when they all got together. Played Strat-o-Matic with Christine Kahrl, back when she was just Chris. Back then they were doing all the same stuff, but just for the fun of it. It's good to see that their efforts have paid off. |
There's a similar site for football that you probably already know about.
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/ |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
|
|
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum
|
|
FAQ
Search
Memberlist
Usergroups
Register
Profile
Log in to check your private messages
Log in
