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Simple explanation of Korea's economic/currency problems
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ytuque



Joined: 29 Jan 2008
Location: I drink therefore I am!

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 3:08 am    Post subject: Simple explanation of Korea's economic/currency problems Reply with quote

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=924836270&play=1
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Bigfeet



Joined: 29 May 2008
Location: Grrrrr.....

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 4:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nice video. So instead of paying down their debts when times were good SK just kept on borrowing. Now they'll be forced to pay down their debts, in the worst of times not of their own choosing. Guess I now know how they became the world's 13th largest economy, on a mountain of debt.
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Ginormousaurus



Joined: 27 Jul 2006
Location: 700 Ft. Pulpit

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 5:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

What do they mean when they talk about 'de-leveraging'?
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justaguy



Joined: 01 Jan 2008
Location: seoul

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 6:11 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

These "experts" are a joke. They were wrong about so many things. They lost so much money on bad bets and yet they still expect people to believe them.
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The_Source



Joined: 09 Oct 2008

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 1:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ginormousaurus wrote:
What do they mean when they talk about 'de-leveraging'?


Leveraging means adding more debt.

Korea needs to go through painful de-leveraging (reducing its debts).
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ytuque



Joined: 29 Jan 2008
Location: I drink therefore I am!

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 3:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ginormousaurus wrote:
What do they mean when they talk about 'de-leveraging'?


Leverage is basically a multiplier like using a lever and fulcrum to move an object. In investing, hedge funds for example use leverage so their money is essentially multiplied by as much as 60-70 times. There have been a number of hedge funds which have made losing bets and closed up shop.

You deleverage by closing positions. Typically, this puts downward pressure on the market since a big player has pullled out of the market.
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Bigfeet



Joined: 29 May 2008
Location: Grrrrr.....

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 3:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Leveraging is using borrowed money to invest. The principal doesn't belong to you but the gains made on it does (minus interest you pay on the borrowed money).

When things work out you make more money than you would have if you had only invested your money. But when times are bad you lose more money than you would have if you had invested only your money.

De-leveraging means having to liquidate your position to get money to pay back the amount that you borrowed.
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GoldMember



Joined: 24 Oct 2006

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 4:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Don't be fooled Korea did not really pay of the IMF loan in record time. What they actually did was pay off the IMF loan by actually borrowing a lot of money elsewhere.
At the time of the IMF bailout average Korean households actually were cashed up and so had the means to ride out the storm, this time like households in many other countries, they are up to their eyeballs in debt.
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denistron



Joined: 21 Oct 2006
Location: Busan

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 4:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks for the link.
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Ginormousaurus



Joined: 27 Jul 2006
Location: 700 Ft. Pulpit

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 5:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The_Source, ytuque, and Bigfeet, thanks for the explanation. I think I'd like to take an economics course to help me get a basic understanding of the problems the economy is facing.
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earthbound14



Joined: 23 Jan 2007
Location: seoul

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 7:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

nice post, thanks
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earthbound14



Joined: 23 Jan 2007
Location: seoul

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 7:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

On that note I'll provide this little link: Money as Debt

A nice little video that explains the nature of interest and bringing money into the economy through the fractional reserve banking system.

http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-9050474362583451279

I'd love to hear other's comments on it and other interesting links. Possible links on using leverage in business would be of interest.
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wanderingross



Joined: 13 Oct 2008
Location: Incheon

PostPosted: Sun Nov 16, 2008 10:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I seem to remember reading a few months back that a substantial amount of Koreas short term debt (~40%) is actually wrapped up in the ship building industry. This debt will be paid down upon delivery of the ships and receipt of payment. So I think this anaylsis might be slightly flawed... Then again, what do I know.
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Bigfeet



Joined: 29 May 2008
Location: Grrrrr.....

PostPosted: Tue Nov 18, 2008 5:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

earthbound14 wrote:
On that note I'll provide this little link: Money as Debt

A nice little video that explains the nature of interest and bringing money into the economy through the fractional reserve banking system.

http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-9050474362583451279

I'd love to hear other's comments on it and other interesting links. Possible links on using leverage in business would be of interest.


That is an awesome video and a great primer on the world-wide debt problem. I've heard it explained in bits and pieces before but never so succinctly and completely. It's saying that paying down the debt (with the forced unwinding of the debt industry that's going on right now) will make everybody poorer. Which means that what's making everybody feel richer all these past years was the creation of money through more and more debt.

The beginning of the video used two great examples of leveraging. Leveraging simply means making money out of borrowed money.
1). When the gold banker first start lending out his customer's gold and charging interest on it.
2). Then when he started lending out more gold than his bank was holding.
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Gatsby



Joined: 09 Feb 2007

PostPosted: Tue Nov 18, 2008 5:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Paying off debt for the shipping industry may not be so easy. The shipping industry works in more than one currency, typically dollars and won. I have heard that at least one company took dollars, converted them to won, bought there own stock presumably to push the stock price up, and now must pay the money back in dollars.

Do the math.

If you can figure out what this reporter is saying, perhaps the story would be informative:

http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/biz/2008/11/123_34603.html

Look at it this way, if foreign companies stop ordering ships, the ship builders will go out of business.
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