Site Search:
 
Speak Korean Now!
Teach English Abroad and Get Paid to see the World!
Korean Job Discussion Forums Forum Index Korean Job Discussion Forums
"The Internet's Meeting Place for ESL/EFL Teachers from Around the World!"
 
 FAQFAQ   SearchSearch   MemberlistMemberlist   UsergroupsUsergroups   RegisterRegister 
 ProfileProfile   Log in to check your private messagesLog in to check your private messages   Log inLog in 

Won Projections?

 
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Korean Job Discussion Forums Forum Index -> General Discussion Forum
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
Omkara



Joined: 18 Feb 2006
Location: USA

PostPosted: Mon Jul 27, 2009 8:22 pm    Post subject: Won Projections? Reply with quote

Anyone have any information about the trajectory of the won? I'd heard that there is anticipation that we'll be in the 1100's in the near term. . .I was just updated that it will stabilize at 1200 on September or October?
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
GoldMember



Joined: 24 Oct 2006

PostPosted: Tue Jul 28, 2009 4:05 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here we go again another person who thinks English Teachers are Foreign Currency Gurus. If I knew I wouldn't be here I'd be in my 200 ft yacht surrounded by a dozen babes cruising the Caribbean, because if I knew, I'd be making a fortune!
While your at it, why don't you ask if anyone on this board has cracked the secret to cold fusion.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
okayden223



Joined: 05 Jun 2009
Location: Incheon

PostPosted: Tue Jul 28, 2009 4:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm pretty sure the WON is supposed to overtake the dollar as the benchmark international currency next week.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
teacherinseoul



Joined: 18 May 2008

PostPosted: Tue Jul 28, 2009 5:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

GoldMember wrote:

While your at it, why don't you ask if anyone on this board has cracked the secret to cold fusion.


Still working on it.

OP, the US government printed a fair bit of money for the last stimulus package. The safe-haven seeking investors (and government of China?) gobbled up the US dollar, so there wasn't any devaluation at the time.

Assuming the global economy recovers and the US doesn't need another stimulus package, then I think that the US dollar may still decline a bit more since the dollar fad seems to be over and the "morning-after" reality is that the US printed more money to help solve its problems.

Assuming that either a) inflation occurs in the US, or b) a second round of stimulus is needed, then the US dollar will continue to sink (perhaps rapidly).

Assuming that the world stays mired in economic problems, but the US doesn't need another stimulus package, then the dollar may stay even or climb a bit.

Anyways, that's four scenarios and only one of them has the US dollar likely to climb. That's my two cents.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Yaya



Joined: 25 Feb 2003
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Tue Jul 28, 2009 9:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Korean won will depend on the direction of the Korean and global economies. The thing is, Korea posted growth of 2.3 percent in the second quarter, the highest in five years, BUT that was mostly due to massive government injections of funds.

And of course, money is not an infinite resource so experts are saying the second half of the year could see growth of under one percent. The job markets in both Korea and the U.S. are horrendous, and consumption in Korea has inched up barely.

The weak won has also helped Samsung and LG Electronics post record sales, but I wonder what will happen to them if the won gets stronger. Higher fuel prices are also another factor.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
kinerry



Joined: 01 Jun 2009

PostPosted: Tue Jul 28, 2009 1:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

With certainty, the dollar will weaken over the next year and beyond because of the inflation factors of the stimulus plans
Without certainty, we do not know where the won will head
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
Trevor



Joined: 16 Nov 2005

PostPosted: Wed Jul 29, 2009 4:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Let's look at it from another angle. What could cause more downward pressure on the Won in the near future? The bad news is out and everybody is aware of it. They're still selling cell phones and the Korean economy has proved much more resilient than most western countries. Mr. Green

In my opinion, there is more upside than downside to the currency in the short-mdedium term. However, there is definitely no reason for the won to all of a sudden skyrocket out of nowhere. It is going to trade in this range for another 18 months, at least. i don't see parity with the dollar until at least 2010-11, but we'll get closer.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
stayfocused



Joined: 27 Jul 2009
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Wed Jul 29, 2009 4:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The expert I know says 1100 by early next year. Here's to wishful thinking.

As far as I can tell, this article says the Korean consumer confidence index is at a 7 year high. But I'll trust that as far as I can throw 명박이.

http://news.naver.com/main/read.nhn?mode=LPOD&mid=tvh&oid=055&aid=0000163866
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
peter07



Joined: 28 Jan 2003
Location: Gwangmyeong

PostPosted: Thu Jul 30, 2009 4:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

stayfocused wrote:
The expert I know says 1100 by early next year. Here's to wishful thinking.

As far as I can tell, this article says the Korean consumer confidence index is at a 7 year high. But I'll trust that as far as I can throw 명박이.

http://news.naver.com/main/read.nhn?mode=LPOD&mid=tvh&oid=055&aid=0000163866


I wouldn't rule out 1,100 by year's end at the rate the Korean stock market is going. Don't forget, Korea's economy is one of the fastest rebounding in the world and experts have had to revise upward their growth forecasts for Korea.

But the second half will decide how this recovery will be.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Korean Job Discussion Forums Forum Index -> General Discussion Forum All times are GMT - 8 Hours
Page 1 of 1

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum


This page is maintained by the one and only Dave Sperling.
Contact Dave's ESL Cafe
Copyright © 2018 Dave Sperling. All Rights Reserved.

Powered by phpBB © 2001, 2002 phpBB Group

TEFL International Supports Dave's ESL Cafe
TEFL Courses, TESOL Course, English Teaching Jobs - TEFL International