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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Sun Apr 10, 2011 12:11 pm Post subject: Obama's Budget Plan |
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Obama is to give a speech (location to be announced) on Wednesday outlining his long term budget plan.
OTOH that is a good development. It is to be a more 'balanced' plan than Ryan's since it will include cuts in defense and his tax proposals.
I liked Steve Benen's piece on the dangers:
The benefit of an address like this, at least in theory, is to frame the debate in a responsible way. Republicans want to tackle debt reduction by eliminating Medicare, gutting Medicaid, slashing taxes for the wealthy (again), and struggling to actually reduce the debt much anyway. Democrats, the argument will go, have a more sensible approach that's more likely to gain public favor and acceptance. Don't go with that radical, reckless idea, the president is likely to say, go with my more prudent approach.
But then there's the flip side. Once Democrats commit to systematic debt reduction as policymakers principal goal -- as opposed to, say, economic growth -- it sets the terms of the debate. The unyielding dynamic locks everyone into answering the same question: how do tackle the deficit and the debt?
That's the question Republicans (and much of the media) want as the central focus, but there are more pertinent and important questions that should be prioritized, such as, "How about a jobs plan to reduce unemployment?" Or maybe, "How will taking money out of the economy and reducing public investment lead to more growth?"
What's more, it also sets baselines for a "compromise." If Obama presents a credible vision for long-term debt reduction this week, we'll have one pillar, which will serve as a counterweight to Paul Ryan's radical House budget plan presented a few days ago. But a moderate counterweight may not be wise -- if recent history is any guide, negotiations will produce a deal that's somewhere in between.
In this case, that'd be a disaster. Even half-way to Ryan's roadmap would destroy much of the modern American social compact, and prove devastating to the middle class.
Assuming that congressional Republicans are interested in a sincere, good-faith discussion about fiscal responsibility is folly. If this week's presidential speech simply presents a sensible answer to a dubious question, without regard for the larger political dynamic, the White House will be making a serious mistake.
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/
Under different circumstances this would be a good idea. We do need, at some point, to deal with the deficit problem. Unfortunately, right now the GOP is in a radical phase. But there is no real way around it as far as I can see. The House controls the purse strings and we have a divided government. You play the cards you are dealt.
It could be we are going to have a real philosophical election over the proper role of government in 2012. |
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Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
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Posted: Sun Apr 10, 2011 2:21 pm Post subject: |
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But then there's the flip side. Once Democrats commit to systematic debt reduction as policymakers principal goal -- as opposed to, say, economic growth -- it sets the terms of the debate. The unyielding dynamic locks everyone into answering the same question: how do tackle the deficit and the debt?
That's the question Republicans (and much of the media) want as the central focus, but there are more pertinent and important questions that should be prioritized, such as, "How about a jobs plan to reduce unemployment?" Or maybe, "How will taking money out of the economy and reducing public investment lead to more growth?" |
There is no more important immediate, medium-term, and long-term question than "What will America do to reduce its debt?" That's why many young Americans voted Republican for the first time (myself included). Only a liberal would see three years of $1trillion Federal deficits, shrug, and say, "We have bigger problems!" And even then, only a short-sighted liberal; after all, there is less money for worthwhile social programs if more and more interest accrues on present debt.
I'm hopeful Obama will present a balanced and serious plan. For a variety of reasons, Paul Ryan's plan should not be adopted, not least because its a stealth effort to cut taxes on the rich. |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Sun Apr 10, 2011 3:09 pm Post subject: |
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The size of the deficit has been artifically--and deliberately--aggravated by extending the 'temporary' tax cuts last December.
The issue should be how to get the most people as possible back to work now. When people work, government revenues go up, the deficit can be brought down and even eliminated. It was done under Clinton with cooperation from both sides without radical shenanigans done to the safety net. It can be done again. The crisis atmosphere has been manufactured in order to enact a radical social agenda that is not popular and is as unnecessary as it is ill conceived and short-sighted.
It will never happen, but Obama's opening bid should be a restoration of the Eisenhower tax code of 90+%. There should also be a clause thrown in setting aside a specific percentage for debt reduction. Additionally, the federal criminal code should be amended to include the firing squad for the mere mention of a flat tax. |
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Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
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Posted: Sun Apr 10, 2011 3:19 pm Post subject: |
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Ya-ta Boy wrote: |
The size of the deficit has been artifically--and deliberately--aggravated by extending the 'temporary' tax cuts last December. |
There's nothing artificial about the increase. It is very real. You aren't the only one who screamed about those temporary tax cuts, Ya-Ta.
Ya-Ta Boy wrote: |
The issue should be how to get the most people as possible back to work now. When people work, government revenues go up, the deficit can be brought down and even eliminated. It was done under Clinton with cooperation from both sides without radical shenanigans done to the safety net. It can be done again. |
You're calling for welfare reform? Otherwise, I don't understand what you mean by "it was done under Clinton." Please elaborate.
Ya-Ta Boy wrote: |
It will never happen, but Obama's opening bid should be a restoration of the Eisenhower tax code of 90+%. |
That is an unreasonable proposal.
First of all, deficits this large cannot be closed with income taxes on the rich, even at marginal rates far higher than anything we've seen in the post-1986 era. All left-wing deficit neutral plans, meaning plans that increase taxes more than cut spending, require tax increases on those making as little as $100k (see the Jan Schwarsky plan).
Second of all, regulations aren't what they used to be. And private tax lawyers have an advantage over the legislator lawyers.
McArdle wrote: |
[C]apital is more mobile than it was in the 1950s. That magnifies both the income-shifting effects, and the negative economic effects, of high taxes on capital and talent. This time around, if you bring income taxes back to 90%, the wealthy have a variety of very attractive places where they could move--and there are lots of countries that would be happy to accept their investments without demanding a 9/10s cut of the proceeds. So we lose not only the taxes, but the benefit of the capital. In the early 1950s, a combination of capital controls and war devastation made this sort of thing very difficult.
This is broadly true of regulation in general: if you think some tax or regulation worked in the past, you need to consider the possibility that this was simply a temporary effect before companies gained the inevitable talent at gaming your regulation. You cannot simply assume away the gaming on the ground that companies oughtn't to do that sort of thing--and you should be wary of assuming that you can get back to the halcyon days of yore simply by "eliminating the loopholes". Heavy regulation encourages people to get good at finding loopholes--and since "eliminating the loopholes" usually takes the form of making the law more complicated, it is at least as likely to create new loopholes as to get rid of them.
Over the long run, it is better to seek a simple set of rules than a perfect set of rules. The perfect set of rules may get closer to your ideal--but it is also likely to be easier to game. |
Third of all, let me be the first to introduce you to the Double Irish. It sets an absolute limit on corporate taxation. And we're well above that limit right now.
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Major companies known to employ the Double Irish strategy are:
* Eli Lilly and Company
* Forest Laboratories
* Google
* Microsoft
* Oracle Corp.
* Pfizer Inc. |
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bucheon bum
Joined: 16 Jan 2003
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Posted: Sun Apr 10, 2011 4:09 pm Post subject: |
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Kuros wrote: |
There is no more important immediate, medium-term, and long-term question than "What will America do to reduce its debt?" That's why many young Americans voted Republican for the first time (myself included). Only a liberal would see three years of $1trillion Federal deficits, shrug, and say, "We have bigger problems!" And even then, only a short-sighted liberal; after all, there is less money for worthwhile social programs if more and more interest accrues on present debt. |
You actually believe that?? Since when have the Republicans EVER reduced our debt? Government spending increased more during Bush's presidency than any other President since LBJ. Only NOW, when a Democrat is President, does the GOP actually care about cutting spending. What President is the only one in our lifetimes to have a budget surplus? A Democrat.
Now I don't want to get into Democrat vs. GOP because I think it is silly, but if you look at the track record of the GOP at the federal level and it cannot give you any confidence whatsoever that they'll actually do something right about the budget.
Sorry, but I find your post above to be overly simplistic and more partisan than your posts normally are (although I admit you do balance it out a bit in your 2nd paragraph). |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Sun Apr 10, 2011 4:17 pm Post subject: |
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You seem to have skipped my sentence where I said jobs should come before anything else. Then the mountain of debt begins to shrink, maybe not to mole hill size, but shrink, as we return to full employment and government revenues return. Making projections from the worst point in a crisis only makes the crisis seem more formidable than it needs to. Climb out of the hole first, then take size of the situation.
A cool head in a crisis is worth two in a bush, or something like that.
Quote: |
Ya-ta Boy wrote:
The size of the deficit has been artifically--and deliberately--aggravated by extending the 'temporary' tax cuts last December.
There's nothing artificial about the increase. It is very real. You aren't the only one who screamed about those temporary tax cuts, Ya-Ta.
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No, there isn't. It was needless. It was parallel to what Walker in Wisconsin did--give away $100 million then use the deficit for partisan political gain.
Class time. |
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Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
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Posted: Sun Apr 10, 2011 4:32 pm Post subject: |
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bucheon bum wrote: |
Kuros wrote: |
There is no more important immediate, medium-term, and long-term question than "What will America do to reduce its debt?" That's why many young Americans voted Republican for the first time (myself included). Only a liberal would see three years of $1trillion Federal deficits, shrug, and say, "We have bigger problems!" And even then, only a short-sighted liberal; after all, there is less money for worthwhile social programs if more and more interest accrues on present debt. |
You actually believe that?? Since when have the Republicans EVER reduced our debt? Government spending increased more during Bush's presidency than any other President since LBJ. Only NOW, when a Democrat is President, does the GOP actually care about cutting spending. What President is the only one in our lifetimes to have a budget surplus? A Democrat. |
Where did I ever say the Republicans have a good track record on the debt? This is a two-party system. If the Democrats become disappointing, I have only one place to turn. You should also know that I didn't actually vote out any Democrats (I only voted a debt-fighting Republican into a seat vacated by a Republican). I just refrained from adding a Democrat.
bucheon bum wrote: |
Now I don't want to get into Democrat vs. GOP because I think it is silly, but if you look at the track record of the GOP at the federal level and it cannot give you any confidence whatsoever that they'll actually do something right about the budget. |
You harkened back to the last time we had a budget surplus. Remember who was in power: Clinton had the Presidency, and the GOP had the House and Senate. I voted Republican to restore divided government, because I believe divided government provides the best chance for fiscal restraint. If you have one party in complete power, it goes on a spending spree. If there are two parties, they have more incentive to check the other's spending. Call my theory what you want, but its not partisan.
bucheon bum wrote: |
Sorry, but I find your post above to be overly simplistic and more partisan than your posts normally are (although I admit you do balance it out a bit in your 2nd paragraph). |
I don't understand why you are apologizing. |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Sun Apr 10, 2011 7:46 pm Post subject: |
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I don't understand what you mean by "it was done under Clinton." Please elaborate.
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What bucheon bum said.
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Ya-Ta Boy wrote:
It will never happen, but Obama's opening bid should be a restoration of the Eisenhower tax code of 90+%.
That is an unreasonable proposal.
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Why is that unreasonable for an opening bid in negotiations? If I'm not mistaken, the top rates were in excess of 90% and the republic did not fall. There were also more than just 3 tax levels. Why not restore some or all of them?
Besides, many of these ultra conservatives want to repeal the entire 20th Century. By going back to Eisenhower's time, we'd be making a compromise...just repeal half the century.
Democrats have to get better at negotiating. Everyone knows your opening bid is high but that is where the negotiations begin. One of the big reasons liberal get angry at Obama is that he takes the progressive goal off the table before negotiations even begin. That has got to stop.
Some of your comments seem to indicate you are thinking of only taxing people over a certain (high) income. I disagree.
Back in the early 80's with Reagan's tax cut, I was teaching high school. All I got out of the deal was a bit over $20 a month, not even enough to go out for a decent Saturday night once a month, certainly not enough to have any real affect on my living standard, but when you added up all the $20 cuts of the people in my bracket we were well on our way to exploding the debt.
I'm for a progressive tax that is phased in as the economy improves. It needs to be sold as a way to prevent generational warfare, which looks like it is the GOP strategy.
I have faith that the government can find some good tax lawyers of its own to figure out a way to prevent people moving their money overseas. The Double Irish thingie is nifty. It's a good argument for stronger, not weaker, government.
I'll be the first to admit economics is out of my field, but I am a citizen and I have an interest in what is best for the country. |
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Kimbop

Joined: 31 Mar 2008
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Posted: Sun Apr 10, 2011 9:44 pm Post subject: |
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Ideologically the GOP would rather pay off debt than save lives through medicare, but they haven't practised what they preach for decades. The Dems on the other hand would revel in debt as long as abortions are free and welfare recipients collect unemployment for life; parodoxically the 'tax and spend' Dems have demonstrated their ability to balance the books. (except for Obama).
Please also excuse my hyperbole.
Neither party is willing to make these difficult decisions; hence, the perils of democracy:
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A democracy is always temporary in nature; it simply cannot exist as a permanent form of government. A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always vote for the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose fiscal policy. |
I leave you with two wonderful essays courtesy of the legendary Mark Stein:
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I always enjoy those stories that crop up periodically on the local news where some 700lb guy who can�t get out of bed needs to go to hospital and the fire department has to slice off the second-floor clapboards and framing to winch him out of there. When you�re 50lbs overweight, it�s worth laying off the pasta and desserts. When you�re 500lbs over, you just lie there and wait for someone else to keep the chow coming � the Chinese, Japanese, Saudis, Russians� Hey, what difference does it make?
http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/264318/re-youre-kidding-right-mark-steyn |
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Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
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Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 7:00 am Post subject: |
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Obama turns to Bowles-Simpson
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President Obama plans this week to respond to a Republican blueprint for tackling the soaring national debt by promoting [the Bowles-Simpson] bipartisan approach pioneered by an independent presidential commission rather than introducing his own detailed plan.
Like the House GOP budget plan, the Senate effort � led by three Democrats and three Republicans known as the Gang of Six � aims to cut about $4 trillion from the debt over the next decade. But the group is looking to reduce spending in all categories, while urging a rewrite of the tax code that would raise revenue. The Republican plan would cut spending on domestic programs while protecting the military and preserving George W. Bush-era tax cuts that disproportionately benefit high earners.
The work of the Gang of Six is modeled on recommendations of the fiscal commission Obama appointed last year. On Monday, White House press secretary Jay Carney said the commission had �created a framework that may help us reach a deal and a compromise.�
�The fiscal commission showed that you need to look at entitlements, you need to look at tax expenditures, you need to look at military spending, you need to look at all of these issues,� Carney said. �You can�t � you can�t simply slash entitlements, lower taxes and call that a fair deal.�
�Everyone,� he said, must �share in the burden of bringing our fiscal house into order.� |
This is excellent news. If true, this may be the first real excellent decision we've seen from Obama. |
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lithium

Joined: 18 Jun 2008
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Posted: Wed Apr 20, 2011 5:47 am Post subject: Re: Obama's Budget Plan |
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Ya-ta Boy wrote: |
Obama is to give a speech (location to be announced) on Wednesday outlining his long term budget plan.
OTOH that is a good development. It is to be a more 'balanced' plan than Ryan's since it will include cuts in defense and his tax proposals.
I liked Steve Benen's piece on the dangers:
The benefit of an address like this, at least in theory, is to frame the debate in a responsible way. Republicans want to tackle debt reduction by eliminating Medicare, gutting Medicaid, slashing taxes for the wealthy (again), and struggling to actually reduce the debt much anyway. Democrats, the argument will go, have a more sensible approach that's more likely to gain public favor and acceptance. Don't go with that radical, reckless idea, the president is likely to say, go with my more prudent approach.
But then there's the flip side. Once Democrats commit to systematic debt reduction as policymakers principal goal -- as opposed to, say, economic growth -- it sets the terms of the debate. The unyielding dynamic locks everyone into answering the same question: how do tackle the deficit and the debt?
That's the question Republicans (and much of the media) want as the central focus, but there are more pertinent and important questions that should be prioritized, such as, "How about a jobs plan to reduce unemployment?" Or maybe, "How will taking money out of the economy and reducing public investment lead to more growth?"
What's more, it also sets baselines for a "compromise." If Obama presents a credible vision for long-term debt reduction this week, we'll have one pillar, which will serve as a counterweight to Paul Ryan's radical House budget plan presented a few days ago. But a moderate counterweight may not be wise -- if recent history is any guide, negotiations will produce a deal that's somewhere in between.
In this case, that'd be a disaster. Even half-way to Ryan's roadmap would destroy much of the modern American social compact, and prove devastating to the middle class.
Assuming that congressional Republicans are interested in a sincere, good-faith discussion about fiscal responsibility is folly. If this week's presidential speech simply presents a sensible answer to a dubious question, without regard for the larger political dynamic, the White House will be making a serious mistake.
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/
Under different circumstances this would be a good idea. We do need, at some point, to deal with the deficit problem. Unfortunately, right now the GOP is in a radical phase. But there is no real way around it as far as I can see. The House controls the purse strings and we have a divided government. You play the cards you are dealt.
It could be we are going to have a real philosophical election over the proper role of government in 2012. |
I admit that I am not a doctor, nor do I play one on television. However, I recommend that you review Rush Limbaugh's website until your liberalism/socialism is cured. You will no longer hate America and will begin to understand that it is a country of the people, by the people and for the people.
http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/today.guest.html |
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