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Global Warming as Mass Neurosis
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Cordova



Joined: 14 Apr 2009

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 4:27 pm    Post subject: Global Warming as Mass Neurosis Reply with quote

Ban Ki Moon says we have 4 month or we're doomed, in '89 the UN said we had 10 years or we were kaput. Coldest summer on record for many places in NA 2009. I actually used to beleive in this garbage/attempt at brainwashing in middle school and high school. OP-ED from 07/01/08 WSJ.

Global Warming as Mass Neurosis
By BRET STEPHENS..ArticleCommentsmore in Opinion �.

Last week marked the 20th anniversary of the mass hysteria phenomenon known as global warming. Much of the science has since been discredited. Now it's time for political scientists, theologians and psychiatrists to weigh in.

What, discredited? Thousands of scientists insist otherwise, none more noisily than NASA's Jim Hansen, who first banged the gong with his June 23, 1988, congressional testimony (delivered with all the modesty of "99% confidence").


AP
The New True Believers
.But mother nature has opinions of her own. NASA now begrudgingly confirms that the hottest year on record in the continental 48 was not 1998, as previously believed, but 1934, and that six of the 10 hottest years since 1880 antedate 1954. Data from 3,000 scientific robots in the world's oceans show there has been slight cooling in the past five years, never mind that "80% to 90% of global warming involves heating up ocean waters," according to a report by NPR's Richard Harris.

The Arctic ice cap may be thinning, but the extent of Antarctic sea ice has been expanding for years. At least as of February, last winter was the Northern Hemisphere's coldest in decades. In May, German climate modelers reported in the journal Nature that global warming is due for a decade-long vacation. But be not not-afraid, added the modelers: The inexorable march to apocalypse resumes in 2020.

This last item is, of course, a forecast, not an empirical observation. But it raises a useful question: If even slight global cooling remains evidence of global warming, what isn't evidence of global warming? What we have here is a nonfalsifiable hypothesis, logically indistinguishable from claims for the existence of God. This doesn't mean God doesn't exist, or that global warming isn't happening. It does mean it isn't science.

So let's stop fussing about the interpretation of ice core samples from the South Pole and temperature readings in the troposphere. The real place where discussions of global warming belong is in the realm of belief, and particularly the motives for belief. I see three mutually compatible explanations.

The first is as a vehicle of ideological convenience. Socialism may have failed as an economic theory, but global warming alarmism, with its dire warnings about the consequences of industry and consumerism, is equally a rebuke to capitalism. Take just about any other discredited leftist nostrum of yore � population control, higher taxes, a vast new regulatory regime, global economic redistribution, an enhanced role for the United Nations � and global warming provides a justification. One wonders what the left would make of a scientific "consensus" warning that some looming environmental crisis could only be averted if every college-educated woman bore six children: Thumbs to "patriarchal" science; curtains to the species.

A second explanation is theological. Surely it is no accident that the principal catastrophe predicted by global warming alarmists is diluvian in nature. Surely it is not a coincidence that modern-day environmentalists are awfully biblical in their critique of the depredations of modern society: "And it repented the LORD that he had made man on the earth, and it grieved him at his heart." That's Genesis, but it sounds like Jim Hansen.

And surely it is in keeping with this essentially religious outlook that the "solutions" chiefly offered to global warming involve radical changes to personal behavior, all of them with an ascetic, virtue-centric bent: drive less, buy less, walk lightly upon the earth and so on. A light carbon footprint has become the 21st-century equivalent of sexual abstinence.

Finally, there is a psychological explanation. Listen carefully to the global warming alarmists, and the main theme that emerges is that what the developed world needs is a large dose of penance. What's remarkable is the extent to which penance sells among a mostly secular audience. What is there to be penitent about?

As it turns out, a lot, at least if you're inclined to believe that our successes are undeserved and that prosperity is morally suspect. In this view, global warming is nature's great comeuppance, affirming as nothing else our guilty conscience for our worldly success.

In "The Varieties of Religious Experience," William James distinguishes between healthy, life-affirming religion and the monastically inclined, "morbid-minded" religion of the sick-souled. Global warming is sick-souled religion.
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Fox



Joined: 04 Mar 2009

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 5:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

That's all well and good, but frankly, almost every change suggested with regards to climate change is something I'd like to see happen even if climate change ended up being totally incorrect. Better fuel efficiency, cleaner, non-fossil fuel dependent energy production, cleaner manufacturing techniques, and so forth. All good things, regardless of whether or not climate change is actually occuring. If climate change is actually occuring, these are things we need to do. If climate change isn't actually occuring, these things will still have benefits for our society.

Intellectually, I appreciate skepticism. It's a good thing, and is required for the scientific method to operate properly. That said, I assuredly don't appreciate corporate interests trying to twist proper intellectual skepticism into something to further their own agendas. Just as corporate interests have infested our government, they've done their best to infest the scientific community as well, and the resulting inability to easily trust casually presented data is a shame.
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No_hite_pls



Joined: 05 Mar 2007
Location: Don't hate me because I'm right

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 5:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have never understood the reasoning behind making up global warming.
Because their comies right that want to take over the world with their global warming propagada. Shocked Rolling Eyes Laughing Laughing Laughing Laughing Laughing

I certainly understand a reason to deny it. Money!


And Oh. Here are some non-opinion articles from scientific sources that state that 1997 and 2007 where the hottest years in this century.

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/12/071213101419.htm

http://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/news/topstory/2008/earth_temp.html

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2007/
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Sergio Stefanuto



Joined: 14 May 2009
Location: UK

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 5:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I absolutely hate the topic.

My view is that the science is on very solid ground, but the poisonous intrusion of the political left turns many away. And rightly so! Many skeptics aren't really 'skeptics' at all - they just don't want insane politics.

Science and capitalism - and technological innovation - are the solution, not taxes and leftists. Take this, for example.....
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Fox



Joined: 04 Mar 2009

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 5:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sergio Stefanuto wrote:
Science and capitalism - and technological innovation - are the solution, not taxes and leftists.

Take this, for example.....


So what motivation does capitalism provide to create and run such ships without government involvement? They aren't cheap, after all, and most people aren't simply going to send them checks for their efforts.
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Sergio Stefanuto



Joined: 14 May 2009
Location: UK

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 6:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fox wrote:
Sergio Stefanuto wrote:
Science and capitalism - and technological innovation - are the solution, not taxes and leftists.

Take this, for example.....


So what motivation does capitalism provide to create and run such ships without government involvement?


Self-interested profit-seeking.

The possibility that any such profits come from governments and not private parties is immaterial (and not just for the reason that such government funds must necessarily come from production). Technological innovation by profit-seeking private parties - as opposed to pen-pushing bureaucrats taxing the f out of us (and thereby inhibiting the self-interested profit-seeking nature of man) - is the short-term answer to global warming. The long term answer remains the same: replace the combustion of fossils fuels for energy production with nuclear and renewable energy. But, since we can only really do so in the developed world (I don't believe there's an alternative, at this stage, to allowing the developing world access to a cheap coal-based economy), any anti-global warming technology is always welcome.
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Fox



Joined: 04 Mar 2009

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 6:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sergio Stefanuto wrote:
Fox wrote:
Sergio Stefanuto wrote:
Science and capitalism - and technological innovation - are the solution, not taxes and leftists.

Take this, for example.....


So what motivation does capitalism provide to create and run such ships without government involvement?


Self-interested profit-seeking.

The possibility that any such profits come from governments and not private parties is immaterial ...


Not to the case you're making it's not. You said taxes and leftism weren't the answer. If the profits that will fuel self-interest have to come from the government, clearly taxes of some sort are part of the answer.

Most intelligent people realize a moderate blend of capitalism and socialism produces optimal results. Your extreme anti-socialist bent is just as zealously "religious" as you have accused Leftists of being.

Sergio Stefanuto wrote:
... as opposed to pen-pushing bureaucrats taxing the f out of us (and thereby inhibiting the self-interested profit-seeking nature of man)


And yet, it's those very taxes that would go to provide the for-profit motivation to run these ships. Without governmental payouts, no one's going to waste their time making these ships, and those government payouts are the result of the government "taxing the f out of you" so to speak.

Sergio Stefanuto wrote:
The long term answer remains the same: replace the combustion of fossils fuels for energy production with nuclear and renewable energy.


I agree. When corporate interests stop fighting that tooth and nail, it might even happen. Ultimately, all resistance to such a change comes from wealthy people looking out of their own self-interest.
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Sergio Stefanuto



Joined: 14 May 2009
Location: UK

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 6:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fox wrote:
Sergio Stefanuto wrote:
Fox wrote:
Sergio Stefanuto wrote:
Science and capitalism - and technological innovation - are the solution, not taxes and leftists.

Take this, for example.....


So what motivation does capitalism provide to create and run such ships without government involvement?


Self-interested profit-seeking.

The possibility that any such profits come from governments and not private parties is immaterial ...


Not to the case you're making it's not. You said taxes and leftism weren't the answer. If the profits that will fuel self-interest have to come from the government, clearly taxes of some sort are part of the answer.


Taxes of some sort being part of the answer seems elementary. But tax increases of the gratuitous, Draconian kind the left have in mind to finance their leftist-cum-Islamic human hell......
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Fox



Joined: 04 Mar 2009

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 6:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sergio Stefanuto wrote:
Taxes of some sort being part of the answer seems elementary.


I thought so too, but you went and said taxes aren't the answer, so I responded.

Sergio Stefanuto wrote:
But tax increases of the gratuitous, Draconian kind the left have in mind to finance their leftist-cum-Islamic human hell......


How good or bad a given tax increase is has everything to do with what you get in return for that increase. A 5% increase with no return for the average citizen at all would be draconian. A 5% increase with immense return for the average citizen would not be.

Anyone saying tax increases are good or bad without also talking about what we're getting in return for those increases is behaving questionably.
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Sergio Stefanuto



Joined: 14 May 2009
Location: UK

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 6:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Stop being so literal. I didn't mean abolish tax, or that taxes aren't relevant. I meant that deeply unpopular tax increases and public spending seems inferior to comparatively far cheaper anti-global warming technology. This is, in my view, the short-term answer as opposed to stiffling carbon taxes that will annoy the public and turn them towards a skeptical position on climate. People hate Al Gore because of the politics of addressing climate - no other reason. The climate is too important - we don't want leftists turning everyone away towards a frenzied position of hatred towards the very topic of climate.

The first and most important task is to prevent catastrophically disruptive climate change, such as sea level rises, in other words - to prevent further warming. This technological breakthrough - so it says - can do what massive public works like reducing CO2 emissions by 80% by 2050 (in the UK's case) cannot possibly even hope to do. Those targets are never going to be achieved - because the means to achieve them are deeply unpopular. Also, doing so requires replacing coal plants with nuclear plants, which the political left also tend to oppose.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 7:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sergio Stefanuto wrote:
Also, doing so requires replacing coal plants with nuclear plants, which the political left also tend to oppose.


That's definitely the case historically, the China Syndrome and Greenpeace tend to come to mind. But I know Greenpeace is pro-nuclear now. Oh wait, no, that's not true. Anyway, Greenpeace is not the Left. I know many younger Leftists that have no problem with nuclear power.
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RufusW



Joined: 14 Jun 2008
Location: Busan

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 7:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

'Leftist' and Islamic aren't synonymous.
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Sergio Stefanuto



Joined: 14 May 2009
Location: UK

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 7:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kuros wrote:
That's definitely the case historically, the China Syndrome and Greenpeace tend to come to mind. But I know Greenpeace is pro-nuclear now. Oh wait, no, that's not true. Anyway, Greenpeace is not the Left. I know many younger Leftists that have no problem with nuclear power.


Greenpeace is generally hardest of hard left. Screw 'em. The reason they oppose nuclear power is because they know in their hearts that nuclear power means Eternal Capitalism - MWAHAHAHAHAHA! Mr. Green

Anyway, UK: What do Stephen Tindale (former director of Greenpeace), Lord Chris Smith of Finsbury (the chairman of the Environment Agency), Mark Lynas (author of the Royal Society�s science book of the year), and Chris Goodall (Green Party activist) have in common? They're all pro-nuke.

Great to see many folks jump on the team and come out for the Big Nuclear Win!
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Manner of Speaking



Joined: 09 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 7:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fox wrote:
That's all well and good, but frankly, almost every change suggested with regards to climate change is something I'd like to see happen even if climate change ended up being totally incorrect. Better fuel efficiency, cleaner, non-fossil fuel dependent energy production, cleaner manufacturing techniques, and so forth. All good things, regardless of whether or not climate change is actually occuring. If climate change is actually occuring, these are things we need to do. If climate change isn't actually occuring, these things will still have benefits for our society.

Intellectually, I appreciate skepticism. It's a good thing, and is required for the scientific method to operate properly. That said, I assuredly don't appreciate corporate interests trying to twist proper intellectual skepticism into something to further their own agendas. Just as corporate interests have infested our government, they've done their best to infest the scientific community as well, and the resulting inability to easily trust casually presented data is a shame.


AWESOME post! Very Happy
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 7:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't believe the hype.

http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2009/2008JD011637.shtml
http://www.media.rice.edu/media/NewsBot.asp?MODE=VIEW&ID=12794&SnID=2075327496
http://heraldextra.com/news/local/article_fccab79f-0d21-55e2-9dfd-1991fb43ba18.html
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25182520-2703,00.html

But I agree with Fox. It is in our best interest, the global warming hooey aside, to achieve some of the goals:

Quote:
Better fuel efficiency, cleaner, non-fossil fuel dependent energy production, cleaner manufacturing techniques, and so forth.


We need to move away from the carbon economy. Nuclear power is the best way to go.

Also, I'd like to see some trade protectionism against China and others. The manufacturing base has got to return or it is over for North America. A carbon tax would suffice.

In fact, raising taxes on emissions is the best way to move anyways. We can't keep consuming oil at the current rate. Cap and trade is nuts. It will also make Al Gore a billionaire and Goldman's even more powerful. Screw it.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125011380094927137.html
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