Big_Bird
Joined: 31 Jan 2003
Location: Sometimes here sometimes there...
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 Posted: Wed Jan 17, 2007 1:29 am Post subject: Is the US itching for a fight? |
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I hope not. I had to agree with former Foreign Secretary Jack Straw (rumoured to have been fired by Bush administration!) that it would be �nuts� to bomb Iran. But it has seemed to me for quite some time that the corporate press appears to be 'softening' public opinion up for some kind of action against Iran.
An article by Paul Roberts - Attacking Iran: What's In It For Bush? - predicts an attack on Iran and puts forward the following theory:
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A former member of the National Security Council gave me a possible answer. Bush can bury his defeat in Iraq with a �victory� in Iran.
Here is the victory scenario: Bush and Cheney will claim that their air attack on Iran succeeded in destroying Iran�s (non-existent) nuclear weapons program. The victory claimed by the Bush Regime and the propagandistic US media will �make America safe from nuclear attack.� This will restore Bush�s popularity and move the US back to a 50-50 political split in time for Karl Rove to steal the 2008 election with the fraudulent electronic voting machines built and programmed by Republican operatives.
The former national security official believes that Bush will be able to claim victory over Iran, because Iran will avoid responding militarily. Iran will not use its Russian missiles to sink our aircraft carriers, to shut down oil facilities throughout the Middle East, or to destroy US headquarters in the �green zone� in Baghdad. Instead, Iran will adopt the posture of another Muslim victim of US/Israeli aggression and let the anger seep throughout the Muslim world until no pro-US government is safe in the Middle East.
Bush needs a short-run victory, and Iran will let him have it in order to gain the long-run victory.
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And another article by Sam Gardiner (a retired colonel of the US Air Force who has taught strategy and military operations) lays out what we might expect to happen in the run up to an attack: Escalation Against Iran
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We learned this week the President authorized an attack on the Iranian liaison office in Irbil.
The White House keeps saying there are no plans to attack Iran. Obviously, the facts suggest otherwise. Equally as clear, the Iranians will read what the Administrations is doing not what it is saying.
It is possible the White House strategy is just implementing a strategy to put pressure on Iran on a number of fronts, and this will never amount to anything. On the other hand, if the White House is on a path to strike Iran, we�ll see a few more steps unfold.
First, we know there is a National Security Council staff-led
group whose mission is to create outrage in the world against Iran. Just like before Gulf II, this media group will begin to release stories to sell a strike against Iran. Watch for the outrage stuff. The Patriot missiles going to the GCC states are only part of the missile defense assets. I would expect to see the deployment of some of the European-based missile defense assets to Israel, just as they were before Gulf II.
I would expect deployment of additional USAF fighters into the bases in Iraq, maybe some into Afghanistan.
I think we will read about the deployment of some of the newly arriving Army brigades going into Iraq being deployed to the border with Iran. Their mission will be to guard against any Iranian movements into Iraq.
As one of the last steps before a strike, we�ll see USAF tankers moved to unusual places, like Bulgaria. These will be used to refuel the US-based B-2 bombers on their strike missions into Iran. When that happens, we�ll only be days away from a strike.
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So when you see USAF tankers on your holiday in Bulgaria...you'll know what to expect next!  |
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Pligganease
Joined: 14 Sep 2004
Location: The deep south...
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| Posted: Wed Jan 17, 2007 1:37 am Post subject: |
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| This will restore Bush�s popularity and move the US back to a 50-50 political split in time for Karl Rove to steal the 2008 election with the fraudulent electronic voting machines built and programmed by Republican operatives. |
= Shot credibility
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First, we know there is a National Security Council staff-led
group whose mission is to create outrage in the world against Iran. |
= Shot credibility
Thes could be legitimate arguments and articles, but the above quotes make it seem like they were written by this guy. |
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