|
Korean Job Discussion Forums "The Internet's Meeting Place for ESL/EFL Teachers from Around the World!"
|
View previous topic :: View next topic |
Author |
Message |
Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
|
Posted: Sat Jan 27, 2007 2:47 pm Post subject: Hezbollah's Troubles |
|
|
Interview with an Israeli soldier
Quote: |
MJT: Really. How many Hezbollah soldiers did you see wearing Israeli uniforms?
Eli: Once they hit us with a few anti-tank missiles. And I saw straight away like six of them.
MJT: Was it just the one time that you saw this?
Eli: I�m not the only one who has seen this happen in Lebanon. There are lots of other people from lots of other units who have seen this. It�s, it�s guerilla warfare |
As is probably well-known already, Hezbollah has been obstructing the Lebanese government these past few days, and has been feeling the blowback
Quote: |
Villagers in Shebaa were grateful to Hezbollah guerrillas for forcing out Israel. Now, some say Nasrallah's image has been damaged by the campaign he is leading against a government which they support.
"In the liberation year, all of Shebaa supported Hezbollah. Now it's a tiny, tiny minority," grocer Ahmad al-Khatib said. |
|
|
Back to top |
|
 |
Adventurer

Joined: 28 Jan 2006
|
Posted: Sat Jan 27, 2007 7:04 pm Post subject: |
|
|
In Lebanon, when Hezbollah launched that war it enjoyed some popularity among the Sunni population of Lebanon. That evaporated, essentially with people seeing how their homes were destroyed in the war, the way Hezbollah was acting so power hungry and attacking the democratically elected Sunni prime minister. The Christians mostly opposed Hezbollah, but you have had the Christian factional leader General Michel Aoun forming an alliance with Hezbollah which he critcized in the past from exile. Michel Aoun has lost some of his cadres who defected to the Christian groups who are friendly with the Sunni prime minister, so though the Christians are divided because of Michel Aoun, the majority support the government, and as Samir Geagea said to Hezbollah they cannot win since most Christians, Sunnis, and Druze are together against them. Also, some of the Shiite moderates are going to change their votes. I hope that will be enough during the next parliamentary elections to put Hezbollah in its proper place - away from so much power in Lebanon. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
|
Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2007 5:21 am Post subject: |
|
|
That's not a bad summary from what I understand of the situation, Adventurer.
Adventurer wrote: |
Also, some of the Shiite moderates are going to change their votes. I hope that will be enough during the next parliamentary elections to put Hezbollah in its proper place - away from so much power in Lebanon. |
Cheers to that. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
ddeubel

Joined: 20 Jul 2005
|
Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2007 5:05 pm Post subject: |
|
|
I really don't know what to say about Lebanon. Complex and unfortunately, too many power hungry people on all sides, misusing the public trust and the "hope" of the common people.
I follow the blogs fairly regularly on Lebanon. They give good insight into the mindset of those there, the real people and not the puppets and pretenders. A good portal site for blogs is
http://lebanonheartblogs.blogspot.com/
It must be said regarding the present "crisis" that Nasrallah was the beneficiary of Israel's wish to not chose a path of peace. Why they would want another Saladin, on their border, is beyond me. But they've created one. I find these words prescient, from one Lebanese blogger,
Quote: |
Thank you Israel for transforming this ignoramus ideologue, whose philosophy of life and death comes from 1400 year old book and who is educating his people accordingly, into a victorious and arrogant ignoramus ideologue.
Thanks to Israel, Lebanon has its mini Khomeini and the Islamic Republic of Lebanon is around the corner. |
I think this is a more proper summary than that of Adventurer (though his was the usual, political ping pong version.) |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
contrarian
Joined: 20 Jan 2007 Location: Nearly in NK
|
Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2007 8:12 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Israel should have gone into Southern Lebanon in a full acale Blitzkreig. If a shot come from a building, take the building out, if a rocket comes from a general area flatten the area.
Israel cannot afford proportional response. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
bucheon bum
Joined: 16 Jan 2003
|
Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2007 8:53 pm Post subject: |
|
|
contrarian wrote: |
Israel should have gone into Southern Lebanon in a full acale Blitzkreig. If a shot come from a building, take the building out, if a rocket comes from a general area flatten the area.
Israel cannot afford proportional response. |
Well any invading country has to go in full blast or it won't be effective in the long term. The united states has proven that in both vietnam and now Iraq. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
Adventurer

Joined: 28 Jan 2006
|
Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2007 9:51 pm Post subject: |
|
|
ddeubel wrote: |
I really don't know what to say about Lebanon. Complex and unfortunately, too many power hungry people on all sides, misusing the public trust and the "hope" of the common people.
I follow the blogs fairly regularly on Lebanon. They give good insight into the mindset of those there, the real people and not the puppets and pretenders. A good portal site for blogs is
http://lebanonheartblogs.blogspot.com/
It must be said regarding the present "crisis" that Nasrallah was the beneficiary of Israel's wish to not chose a path of peace. Why they would want another Saladin, on their border, is beyond me. But they've created one. I find these words prescient, from one Lebanese blogger,
Quote: |
Thank you Israel for transforming this ignoramus ideologue, whose philosophy of life and death comes from 1400 year old book and who is educating his people accordingly, into a victorious and arrogant ignoramus ideologue.
Thanks to Israel, Lebanon has its mini Khomeini and the Islamic Republic of Lebanon is around the corner. |
I think this is a more proper summary than that of Adventurer (though his was the usual, political ping pong version.) |
A proper summary regarding Lebanon depends on who you're asking, Ddeubel. This can be argued in more than one way. It was inevitable that the Lebanese government was going to have to move the army to the South and show an armed presence other than that of Hizb Allah.
Of course, it did make the government of Fouad Seniora more vulnerable.
Israel did not make Nasrallah kidnap Israeli soldiers and cross the border. That was a choice he made. The response by Israel was excessive and the use of cluster bombs and the attacks on areas where people don't even vote for pro-Hezbollah candidates in Lebanon makes no sense.
Comparing Nasrallah to Saladdin is kind of a stretch, mate. Saladdin was the kind of fellow who would have a chat with Richard Coeur de Lion.
He was not anti-Western. He was merely defending his country; he was not fanatical.
I think Hezbollah is basically panicing. They want the government to call elections as soon as possible, so they can get some kind of political victory before things go in the other direction i.e. in the government's favour. The blogs you are reading based on what you said are probably those that are pro-March 8th (Hezbollah and Michel Aoun). I obviously support the Lebanese of the March 14th group representing the prime minister, Rafiq Al Hariri's son Saad Hariri, Druze leader Walid Jumblatt and Christian leader Samir Geagea.
You forget Ddeubel that Hezbollah's politics has made many Sunnis
join hands with the Christians in Lebanon.
To the posters who said more fire power, they have no idea what they are talking about. That makes the situation worse and would push the Christians out of Lebanon and increase more terrorism in the region. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
ddeubel

Joined: 20 Jul 2005
|
Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2007 9:58 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Quote: |
Israel should have gone into Southern Lebanon in a full acale Blitzkreig. If a shot come from a building, take the building out, if a rocket comes from a general area flatten the area.
Israel cannot afford proportional response. |
Israel cannot afford disproportional response. As my above post alludes to and as the situation in Gaza affirms and as so many years of continued violence confirms and as Israeli society's simmering "dysfunctionality" (meaning, a society under seige, polarized and militarized and bearing too much the cost of a "war" mentality) attests. Disproportionality only breeds more holy warriors, only breeds everlasting hate. Israel can't afford to continue in this direction. [nor for that matter should the U.S. continue in this non and pre-emptive engagement policy]
Also on a practical note, how would they hold the territory? I think "lightening war" does nothing if you can't occupy afterwards. Israel lacks manpower. This alone might be the salvation so that both sides will sue for peace.
DD |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
contrarian
Joined: 20 Jan 2007 Location: Nearly in NK
|
Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2007 10:34 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Israel can afford a disproprtionate response and the would not have had to occupy Lebanon. Simply a Blitzkrieg to the Bekkaa valley and South Bieruth, then back to Israel leaving a scorched earth behind.
As with Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan there would be no more terrorist holy warriors the price to pay would be too horrible to contemplate. In an exaggerated sense it would be: "Kill them all and let God sort them out."
Have you ever heard of the Sampson Option?
This is an unspoken Israeli policy. They have over 200 nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them. As Sampson of Biblical times killed more in his death by pulling the temple down on himself and the Philistines; so Israel, if defeat ever seemed inevitable, would turn the entire middle east into a glass parking lot. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
TheUrbanMyth
Joined: 28 Jan 2003 Location: Retired
|
Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2007 11:16 pm Post subject: |
|
|
ddeubel wrote: |
[. Disproportionality only breeds more holy warriors, DD |
But real disproportionality kills them off faster than they can breed. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
Adventurer

Joined: 28 Jan 2006
|
Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2007 11:49 pm Post subject: |
|
|
contrarian wrote: |
Israel can afford a disproprtionate response and the would not have had to occupy Lebanon. Simply a Blitzkrieg to the Bekkaa valley and South Bieruth, then back to Israel leaving a scorched earth behind.
As with Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan there would be no more terrorist holy warriors the price to pay would be too horrible to contemplate. In an exaggerated sense it would be: "Kill them all and let God sort them out."
Have you ever heard of the Sampson Option?
This is an unspoken Israeli policy. They have over 200 nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them. As Sampson of Biblical times killed more in his death by pulling the temple down on himself and the Philistines; so Israel, if defeat ever seemed inevitable, would turn the entire middle east into a glass parking lot. |
The story of Samson or Shamshon, in Hebrew, has to be taken into context and you must understand Jewish history outside of a propagandistic basis. The Phillistines, in some cases, had men who served with some Hebrews in battle. It was not simply a black and white issue. They Phillistia area included the Ashkelon and Gaza area not the whole area. The Hebrews were more native to the region and had several groups under their belt and mercenaries including Hittites.
The Phillistines as newcomers didn't have much of a chance.
Destroying Beirut would involve retaliation against American and Jewish targets and desperate attacks with very bad consequences. It would cause a serious economic disequilibrium as well. Also, large parts of Lebanon are not pro-Hezbollah. The Israeli public does not want to bomb Lebanon to glass, though they do not sympathize with the Lebanese except maybe with those opposed to Hezbollah. Israel bombed the hell out of Lebanon in the manner you described in the 1980s and it backfired.
People who welcomed the Israelis later turned on the Israelis as a result.
Israelis are tired of the status quo and so are many Lebanese so why
make things worse for the Israelis or Lebanese. It may be hard to put a halt to some violence in the neighborhood in the short-run but in the long run much good can be done. The region is generally quieter as a whole
except for Palestine and Iraq.
You want to use the hammer when basically certain screws need to be found and tightened. How about a refined approach that benefits the region i.e. a win-win situation. Israel must live in this region, you know. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
contrarian
Joined: 20 Jan 2007 Location: Nearly in NK
|
Posted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 2:46 am Post subject: |
|
|
adventurer:
I am a Jew because my mother and her mother were Jews, long lapsed Jews. I even have an Israeli passport. I know the History. I know the Bible or but not in Hebrew. tetty well. If you look at the maps even in the days of David and Soloman Phillistia was not part of the Israelit kingdoms.
My recipe for going in hard against Hezbollah is to take them out of the border regions, South Beiruth, and the Bekaah valley and to leave them in such a weakend condition that the rest of the Lebanese can fill the vacuum [/b]and confront Syria.
My reference to tha Sampson Option did not include turning Lebanon into a glass parking lot. It is the option that Israel would use before the would accept defeat. It would include the entire middle east. Sampson after he was deceived by Delilah lost his strength and was blinded. They chained him between two pillars int eh temple of Baal to make sport of him. His hair had grown back and his strength returned he pulled the pillars down, the temple collapsed and thousands of Philistines died.
The nuclear Sampson option is that if Israel goes down the entire middle east goes with it. The glass parking lot. It is related to the two statements from the Holocaust.
Never again will we go quietly into the night, and Massada shall not fall again.
The mistake nearly everyone except the Christian right in the US, the religious Jews and the Fundamentalist Muslims make is to think that there is a secular solution to what is essentially a religious issue. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
ddeubel

Joined: 20 Jul 2005
|
Posted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 4:10 am Post subject: |
|
|
Quote: |
Never again will we go quietly into the night |
As with your religion, you should stop learning about history through PBS. The Jewish people did not go gentle into the night, nor did Dylan Thomas think so either.
Your biblical allusions, pretensions and framing debate within the confines of religion/secular are just puff and vanity.
It isn't a religious or secular issue. It is an issue of people living their lives, Jews and Muslims, in peace. Nothing more. All those of religious banging or secular missilantianism are far from what is really human and true. The "cultivez votre jardin" of Voltaire.
Your apocryphal statements are just something unlifely.
And could you please clarify this;
Quote: |
It is related to the two statements from the Holocaust. |
What two statements? Also,
Quote: |
The mistake nearly everyone except the Christian right in the US, the religious Jews and the Fundamentalist Muslims make is to think that there is a secular solution to what is essentially a religious issue. |
are you talking about the religion of eating , sleeping, drinking, working, singing in peace? I hope so because that is all religion is -- not the afterlife as you imagine it but the here and now........and we and many who think like you, are making a mess of it. I'd also recommend that famous Primo Levi book of the similiar name, "If not now, when" .
DD |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
ddeubel

Joined: 20 Jul 2005
|
Posted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 4:22 am Post subject: |
|
|
Quote: |
I think Hezbollah is basically panicing. They want the government to call elections as soon as possible, so they can get some kind of political victory before things go in the other direction i.e. in the government's favour. The blogs you are reading based on what you said are probably those that are pro-March 8th (Hezbollah and Michel Aoun). I obviously support the Lebanese of the March 14th group representing the prime minister, Rafiq Al Hariri's son Saad Hariri, Druze leader Walid Jumblatt and Christian leader Samir Geagea. |
Adventurer, I can agree with this. And also your statement that Lebanon is complex and multi layered and it depends who you ask and where you are coming from (regardings "truth").
But I don't cling to Nasrallah and especially Aoun who I view as a snake. I cling to the hope that Lebanon will resolve its problems internally despite the Israeli made crisis. I don't read any particular blogs, of any particular ilk. I read them to get a view of the "man on the street", though I realize the internet street isn't exactly ideal.
About Saladdin. I would also agree the comparison is not exact. Wasn't meant as such but rather to highlight the similarities of a man gaining stature in the religious community by defending against invaders, be they in Cairo, Jerusalem, Baghdad or s. Lebanon. I would also not write Nasrallah off as a "religious kook" though I do see his tendency to use religion as a tool, repugnant. He is a born and raised "pragmatist" and his own cruelty is based on his experiences - first that of Sadaam throwing him out of Baghdad and the killings there and the Israeli's assassination policies which made him to attack like a vicious dog against Israel to show it would be tit for tat....(and it worked) . But it is all just sick, on all parts. War breeds war, cruelty, more cruelty....and in Lebanon this is even more the case.
DD |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
contrarian
Joined: 20 Jan 2007 Location: Nearly in NK
|
Posted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 4:32 am Post subject: |
|
|
DD
All out war is inevitable. For the uninitiated it as called Armageddon, the Apocalypse, and has been prophesied since old testament times.
Besides God have the land of Canaan to Abraham, the Isaac and the Jacob, called Israel.
There is no secular solutions
Last edited by contrarian on Thu Feb 01, 2007 11:04 am; edited 1 time in total |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
|
|
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum
|
|