|
Korean Job Discussion Forums "The Internet's Meeting Place for ESL/EFL Teachers from Around the World!"
|
View previous topic :: View next topic |
Author |
Message |
thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 10:08 pm Post subject: Some scientists deny global warming exists |
|
|
Lawrence Solomon had an eyeopening 10 part piece in the National Post in Canada.
A sample:
Quote: |
He has recanted: "Like many others, I was personally sure that CO2 is the bad culprit in the story of global warming. But after carefully digging into the evidence, I realized that things are far more complicated than the story sold to us by many climate scientists or the stories regurgitated by the media.
"In fact, there is much more than meets the eye."
Dr. Shariv's digging led him to the surprising discovery that there is no concrete evidence -- only speculation -- that man-made greenhouse gases cause global warming. Even research from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change-- the United Nations agency that heads the worldwide effort to combat global warming -- is bereft of anything here inspiring confidence. In fact, according to the IPCC's own findings, man's role is so uncertain that there is a strong possibility that we have been cooling, not warming, the Earth. Unfortunately, our tools are too crude to reveal what man's effect has been in the past, let alone predict how much warming or cooling we might cause in the future.
All we have on which to pin the blame on greenhouse gases, says Dr. Shaviv, is "incriminating circumstantial evidence," which explains why climate scientists speak in terms of finding "evidence of fingerprints." Circumstantial evidence might be a fine basis on which to justify reducing greenhouse gases, he adds, "without other 'suspects.' " However, Dr. Shaviv not only believes there are credible "other suspects," he believes that at least one provides a superior explanation for the 20th century's warming.
"Solar activity can explain a large part of the 20th-century global warming," he states, particularly because of the evidence that has been accumulating over the past decade of the strong relationship that cosmic- ray flux has on our atmosphere. So much evidence has by now been amassed, in fact, that "it is unlikely that [the solar climate link] does not exist."
The sun's strong role indicates that greenhouse gases can't have much of an influence on the climate -- that C02 et al. don't dominate through some kind of leveraging effect that makes them especially potent drivers of climate change. The upshot of the Earth not being unduly sensitive to greenhouse gases is that neither increases nor cutbacks in future C02 emissions will matter much in terms of the climate.
Even doubling the amount of CO2 by 2100, for example, "will not dramatically increase the global temperature," Dr. Shaviv states. Put another way: "Even if we halved the CO2 output, and the CO2 increase by 2100 would be, say, a 50% increase relative to today instead of a doubled amount, the expected reduction in the rise of global temperature would be less than 0.5C. This is not significant."
The evidence from astrophysicists and cosmologists in laboratories around the world, on the other hand, could well be significant. In his study of meteorites, published in the prestigious journal, Physical Review Letters, Dr. Shaviv found that the meteorites that Earth collected during its passage through the arms of the Milky Way sustained up to 10% more cosmic ray damage than others. That kind of cosmic ray variation, Dr. Shaviv believes, could alter global temperatures by as much as 15% --sufficient to turn the ice ages on or off and evidence of the extent to which cosmic forces influence Earth's climate.
In another study, directly relevant to today's climate controversy, Dr. Shaviv reconstructed the temperature on Earth over the past 550 million years to find that cosmic ray flux variations explain more than two-thirds of Earth's temperature variance, making it the most dominant climate driver over geological time scales. The study also found that an upper limit can be placed on the relative role of CO2 as a climate driver, meaning that a large fraction of the global warming witnessed over the past century could not be due to CO2 -- instead it is attributable to the increased solar activity.
CO2 does play a role in climate, Dr. Shaviv believes, but a secondary role, one too small to preoccupy policymakers. Yet Dr. Shaviv also believes fossil fuels should be controlled, not because of their adverse affects on climate but to curb pollution.
"I am therefore in favour of developing cheap alternatives such as solar power, wind, and of course fusion reactors (converting Deuterium into Helium), which we should have in a few decades, but this is an altogether different issue." His conclusion: "I am quite sure Kyoto is not the right way to go." |
http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/story.html?id=156df7e6-d490-41c9-8b1f-106fef8763c6&k=0
Follow the link to the site for access to the 10 parts of the series. I just finished reading them all and am very impressed. I haven't read such a level-headed assessment of the situation before.
My theory is that it is all bull$hit. The stifling of dissent and labeling of critics on both ends reminds me of how petty academia is and how the "global warming" clique resembles a cult or extremely religious group more than it does a scientific community. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
Julius

Joined: 27 Jul 2006
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 10:15 pm Post subject: Re: Some scientists deny global warming exists |
|
|
BJWD wrote: |
the "global warming" clique resembles a cult or extremely religious group more than it does a scientific community. |
Its a pretty big cult, I gather the United nations is a member.
Looks like you're the one in the minority, BJ. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 10:19 pm Post subject: |
|
|
I see that you took the time to read the articles before using the argument that because the United Nations (a political body) pulls the line there is some sort of legitimacy to the line itself? |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
Julius

Joined: 27 Jul 2006
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 10:22 pm Post subject: |
|
|
BJWD wrote: |
I see that you took the time to read the articles before using the argument that because the United Nations (a political body) pulls the line there is some sort of legitimacy to the line itself? |
The United nations vs BJWD.
Whose opinion do you trust more?? Its a tough one, take your time. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 10:26 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Is it the United Nations vs me?
You see, you are behaving like a religious lunatic. There is a 10 part series that references dozens of respected climate scientists and other scientists but you ignore that and try to discredit me. This is religious behavior. ignore evidence and attack the messenger as being blasphemous. Follow that with an 'argument of authority' and call it a day.
It is like when religious fools use the bible (or koran) to justify the truth of the bible or koran.
Read the articles. You might learn something. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
Julius

Joined: 27 Jul 2006
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 10:40 pm Post subject: |
|
|
BJWD wrote: |
There is a 10 part series that references dozens of respected climate scientists and other scientists |
Dozens? Was this made while Bush was still funding them to lie to the media?
"The world's leading climate scientists said global warming has begun, is "very likely" caused by man.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change � a group of hundreds of scientists and representatives of 113 governments.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070202/ap_on_sc/france_climate_change_27
BJWD & 12 scientists
vs
United nations (13 governments) & Hundreds of scientists.
Wow its really a tough call.
In any case, scientists don't contradict eachother, unless they're getting funded to do so. Bush? |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
igotthisguitar

Joined: 08 Apr 2003 Location: South Korea (Permanent Vacation)
|
|
Back to top |
|
 |
thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 10:48 pm Post subject: |
|
|
This again is a religious criticism.
The blasphemers must be directed by the devil. That is your position. All religious people have in their toolkit is circular logic (the bible is true because the bible says it is true/the theory of global warming is true because the theory of global warming says it is true) and ah homonyms (those who don't believe in the bible are under the control of evil/those who don't believe in global warming are funded by bush).
Read the articles. They make for some interesting reads. You might learn something. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
Julius

Joined: 27 Jul 2006
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 10:56 pm Post subject: |
|
|
BJWD wrote: |
This again is a religious criticism.
|
Are U nuts???
How is the melting arctic a religious matter? |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
seoulunitarian

Joined: 06 Jul 2004
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 11:05 pm Post subject: re: |
|
|
BJWD wrote: |
Is it the United Nations vs me?
You see, you are behaving like a religious lunatic. There is a 10 part series that references dozens of respected climate scientists and other scientists but you ignore that and try to discredit me. This is religious behavior. ignore evidence and attack the messenger as being blasphemous. Follow that with an 'argument of authority' and call it a day.
It is like when religious fools use the bible (or koran) to justify the truth of the bible or koran.
Read the articles. You might learn something. |
Actually the funamentalist is the one that prooftexts to prove a point and then sticks to their guns no matter what. You cannot apply the religious label to one side and say you're not doing the same thing yourself (unless you're open for debate on the subject).
Peace |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 11:06 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Your criticism of me was religious in its nature (circular logic combined with an ad homynom). I said nothing about the arctic.
Now, the existence of a melting arctic does not necessarily validate the global warming thesis. There can be other causes, or, it can be natural or it can be a lie.
The existence of sin does not legitimize the story of the Bible in the same way that the melting of the arctic does not legitimize the global warming thesis. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 11:07 pm Post subject: Re: re: |
|
|
seoulunitarian wrote: |
BJWD wrote: |
Is it the United Nations vs me?
You see, you are behaving like a religious lunatic. There is a 10 part series that references dozens of respected climate scientists and other scientists but you ignore that and try to discredit me. This is religious behavior. ignore evidence and attack the messenger as being blasphemous. Follow that with an 'argument of authority' and call it a day.
It is like when religious fools use the bible (or koran) to justify the truth of the bible or koran.
Read the articles. You might learn something. |
Actually the funamentalist is the one that prooftexts to prove a point and then sticks to their guns no matter what. You cannot apply the religious label to one side and say you're not doing the same thing yourself (unless you're open for debate on the subject).
Peace |
I am very open for debate. But the global warming cult isn't. They want to stop debate and enforce their position. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
Rteacher

Joined: 23 May 2005 Location: Western MA, USA
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 11:09 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Well, if you go along with the UN researchers' latest report, changing one's diet to vegetarian would have more impact on greenhouse gas emissions than changing one's car to a hybrid (like Toyota Prius) would...
...According to the UN report, it gets even worse when we include the vast quantities of land needed to give us our steak and pork chops. Animal agriculture takes up an incredible 70% of all agricultural land, and 30% of the total land surface of the planet. As a result, farmed animals are probably the biggest cause of slashing and burning the world's forests. Today, 70% of former Amazon rainforest is used for pastureland, and feed crops cover much of the remainder. These forests serve as "sinks," absorbing carbon dioxide from the air, and burning these forests releases all the stored carbon dioxide, quantities that exceed by far the fossil fuel emission of animal agriculture.
As if that wasn't bad enough, the real kicker comes when looking at gases besides carbon dioxide--gases like methane and nitrous oxide, enormously effective greenhouse gases with 23 and 296 times the warming power of carbon dioxide, respectively. If carbon dioxide is responsible for about one-half of human-related greenhouse gas warming since the industrial revolution, methane and nitrous oxide are responsible for another one-third. These super-strong gases come primarily from farmed animals' digestive processes, and from their manure. In fact, while animal agriculture accounts for 9% of our carbon dioxide emissions, it emits 37% of our methane, and a whopping 65% of our nitrous oxide.
It's a little hard to take in when thinking of a small chick hatching from her fragile egg. How can an animal, so seemingly insignificant against the vastness of the earth, give off so much greenhouse gas as to change the global climate? The answer is in their sheer numbers. The United States alone slaughters more than 10 billion land animals every year, all to sustain a meat-ravenous culture that can barely conceive of a time not long ago when "a chicken in every pot" was considered a luxury. Land animals raised for food make up a staggering 20% of the entire land animal biomass of the earth. We are eating our planet to death.
What we're seeing is just the beginning, too. Meat consumption has increased five-fold in the past fifty years, and is expected to double again in the next fifty...
http://www.harekrsna.com/sun/news/02-07/news1020.htm
Last edited by Rteacher on Mon Feb 12, 2007 11:15 pm; edited 1 time in total |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 11:14 pm Post subject: |
|
|
And the evidence that the sun and increased volcanic activity are the dominant sources of any climate change? What about the warming period during European medieval times?
The United Nations is a political body and those appointed to the panel were done so by the same process that all appointments are done in the United Nations. The UN climate paper is a political document.
This is starting to resemble academia. Those who dissent are made quiet in an ever harder push leftward. I think we have a classic market "run" forming. Y2K all over again.
Humans just can't resist a narrative that gives them meaning. |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
Rteacher

Joined: 23 May 2005 Location: Western MA, USA
|
Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 11:19 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Rush Limbaugh has taken the same line for many years (also citing dissenting scientists...) on his radio show, but I thought he was clearly defeated when pitted against Al Gore in a TV debate on the issue... |
|
Back to top |
|
 |
|
|
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum
|
|