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what if america attains nuclear supremacy? good or bad?
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jhaelin



Joined: 30 Aug 2006

PostPosted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 9:00 pm    Post subject: what if america attains nuclear supremacy? good or bad? Reply with quote

what if everything that's going on in iraq and starting in iran, are part of a greater and older goal of our administration?

what if the enemy is and has always remained russia, because they are the only nuclear threat that prevents america from complete nuclear supremacy.

with the new developments in our nuclear arsenal and the continued progress of taking space under our complete military control,

will we be safer in the future when we can wield the threat of first strike without the fear of any reprisal attacks.
if we can nuke anyone including russia and china, and not worry about them responding because of our missle defence and space ordinants, will we be safer?

http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=viewArticle&code=ENG20070220&articleId=4873
Quote:

the US missile defense is not at all defensive. It is offensive, and how.

The possibility of providing a powerful state, one with the world�s most awesome military machinery, a shield to protect it from limited attack, is aimed directly at Russia, the only other nuclear power with anywhere the capacity to launch a credible nuclear counterpunch.


Quote:
For Washington and the US elites, the Cold War never ended. They just forgot to tell us all.

The quest for global control of oil and energy pipelines, the quest to establish its military bases across Eurasia, its attempt to modernize and upgrade its nuclear submarine fleet, its Strategic B-52 bomber command, all make sense only when seen through the perspective of the relentless pursuit of US Nuclear Primacy.


Quote:
The Bush Administration unilaterally abrogated the US-Russian ABM Treaty in December 2001. It�s in a race to complete a global network of missile defense as the key to US nuclear primacy. With even a primitive missile defense shield, the US could attack Russian missile silos and submarine fleets with no fear of effective retaliation, as the few remaining Russian nuclear missiles would be unable to launch a convincing response enough to deter a US First Strike
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DanielP



Joined: 25 Nov 2006

PostPosted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 9:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't think we'll be any safer, but we as a people will be much wiser. It does depend on the president and administration in charge is tho. I do think that the other nations will feel less safer.

Back during the Korean war, America was the only nation claiming to have and have used atomic weapons. When the UN was close to conquering the whole of North Korea when reaching the border with China (if any hard-core Korean History buff wants to call me on what I'm saying, please do) the Chinese pushed us back. General Mc.Arthur, the leader of the UN forces there wanted America to go to war vs the Chinese all the way, even use the Atomic bomb if necessary.

Thank Goodness the American president Truman was wise enough not to push the war that far, and this cauzed an uproar as Truman, the new president, and McArthur, a war hero were in conflict.

I can imagine tho, in those circumstances, more military alliances from foreign countries forming vs the US just to ensure their survival.
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jinju



Joined: 22 Jan 2006

PostPosted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 9:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Truman made a mistake. MacArthur was right. Infact, too bad it didnt go further. Conquer NK, then hit China. In 10-20 years time you will understand why China should have been brought to its knees back then.
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 9:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

OP betrays strange assumptions.

America's strategic weapons package (intercontinental, ballistic missiles; long-range bombers; missile submarines; and tac-nukes under each theater commander, including air-to-ground and artillery shells, to name but two) has pretty much been superior all along.

And, according to Dutch political scientist Kees van der Pijl's "From Gorbachev to Kosovo: Atlantic Rivalries and the Reincorporation of Eastern Europe," Review of International Political Economy 8 (2001): 275-310, Moscow adopted a first-strike policy in the 1990s. Remains in effect today. If Russia goes to war, Moscow will employ nuclear weapons.

So I am not sure what OP's concerns are here.

(And relax, please. van der Pijl is one of yours: far, far to the left and railing against American gains in post-Cold War European affairs. So he is not arguing against Russia to defend Washington's line.)
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jhaelin



Joined: 30 Aug 2006

PostPosted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 10:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
America's strategic weapons package (intercontinental, ballistic missiles; long-range bombers; missile submarines; and tac-nukes under each theater commander, including air-to-ground and artillery shells, to name but two) has pretty much been superior all along.


america always had superior numbers, in terms of overkill!
but russia alway posed a threat of counterstrike with nukes (even if not in the equivalent numbers.)
i think this is how the term MAD (mutual assured destruction) came to be.


Quote:
And, according to Dutch political scientist Kees van der Pijl's "From Gorbachev to Kosovo: Atlantic Rivalries and the Reincorporation of Eastern Europe," Review of International Political Economy 8 (2001): 275-310, Moscow adopted a first-strike policy in the 1990s.

So I am not sure what OP's concerns are here.



i guess my point is that during the coldwar, the use of nukes was crazy to consider because of the reality of MAD.

but with recent developments in US nuke capabilties,
most importantly the development of missle defence systems
and our continueing progress with space weapon platforms (aka "star wars"), the concept of MAD is slowly becoming relevant.
in the near future america may attain nuclear primacy.
that is to say, we can first strike anybody we choose without the fear of MAD or even any reprisals.

in other words, even though the cold war ended and russia started to disarm slowly,
america has recently taken a jump start into space and missle defense, which russia and china can't keep up with.

so will we be safer in the near future?

i hope that clears up my original post.


p.s. if you are familiar with the recent space test by the chinese,
where they shot down a satelite with missles...
it might be relevant to what i am asking in this post
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 10:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

jhaelin wrote:
...in other words, even though the cold war ended and russia started to disarm slowly...


Just to clarify: Russia lost its commanding position in Eastern Europe. Forced out of the area; mostly by local conditions in several Eastern European focal points; enabled by an increasingly weak and corrupt Soviet Union; embolded by the space Gorbachev's reforms created. But, in any case, no government ever gives up such things voluntarily.

jhaelin wrote:
so will we be safer in the near future?


No, we will not. We will likely see nuclear action in our lifetimes -- somewhere between East or South Asia or the Middle East, and involving one American ally or another. And I think, for this reason, Realists in Washington and in the Pentagon would be horrified at the suggestion that America might unilaterally cast away its strategic weapons in the idealistic hope that everyone else will cheer and then follow suit.

jhaelin wrote:
the recent space test by the chinese, where they shot down a satelite with missles...


Indeed. I lack familitarity with this incident's details. What is your read on Beijing's motives in demonstrating such nascent strategic capabilities...?
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Sincinnatislink



Joined: 30 Jan 2007
Location: Top secret.

PostPosted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 10:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gopher wrote:
Moscow adopted a first-strike policy in the 1990s. Remains in effect today. If Russia goes to war, Moscow will employ nuclear weapons.


Any war, or just with the US?

This lack of precision shocks me from a grad student.
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jhaelin



Joined: 30 Aug 2006

PostPosted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 10:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
And I think, for this reason, Realists in Washington and in the Pentagon would be horrified at the suggestion that America might unilaterally cast away its strategic weapons in the idealistic hope that everyone else will cheer and then follow suit.


i wouldn't suggest any country to unilaterally give up it's stratgic weapons for defense.
but if our country is going beyond strategic defense and into strategic offense, should we be concerned, as realists?


Quote:
Indeed. I lack familitarity with this incident's details. What is your read on Beijing's motives in demonstrating such nascent strategic capabilities...?


i am far from knowing what intent china may have had with the display, but i would guess as a layman that it was a message for our administration.

if i was in their shoes (i.e. russia and china), i am watching a door that is slowly closing, where, once closed american will reign supreme, truly as the one superpower.

because the nuclear threat of china and russia to america is disappearing, i think sadly the near future may be the most dangerous time;
i.e. the period before america has adequate missle defense and while china/russia can still respond with nukes.


Last edited by jhaelin on Wed Feb 21, 2007 10:53 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 10:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sincinnatislink wrote:
This lack of precision shocks me from a grad student.


Another a priori hostile and sarcastic poster with a gigantic chip on his shoulder.

I cited my source. Paraphrased him. And yeah, that is any war. If you dislike this, take it up with him.


Last edited by Gopher on Wed Feb 21, 2007 10:56 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 10:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

jhaelin wrote:
but if our country is going beyond strategic defense and into strategic offense, should we be concerned...?


"Offensive" and "defensive" are distinctions without differences as "the best defense is a good offense" testifies to. Strategic weapons are neither "offensive" nor "defensive" except in legalistic treaties, etc. They are merely "strategic."

jhaelin wrote:
...i would guess as a layman that it was a message for our administration.


I am not so sure. How about Moscow, Pyongyang, even Tokyo, or some other regional actor that might need to be shown just how powerful Beijing is becoming...?
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jhaelin



Joined: 30 Aug 2006

PostPosted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 11:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
"Offensive" and "defensive" are distinctions without differences as "the best defense is a good offense" testifies to. Strategic weapons are neither "offensive" nor "defensive" except in legalistic treaties, etc. They are merely "strategic."


you're getting too technical with this point, so

i'll restate what i meant:

if strategic weapons (offensive or defensive) prevents the potential enemy from attacking, they are good i think, and should not be abandoned.

however, if strategic weapons, actually instigate potential enemies to attack because of the threat they pose to them, i think they should realistically be abandoned, for our own safety.



Quote:
I am not so sure. How about Moscow, Pyongyang, even Tokyo, or some other regional actor that might need to be shown just how powerful Beijing is becoming...?


i would have to disagree with your suggestion,
mainly because none of those countries in the east asian region possess weaponized sattelites that would need to be shot down with ballistic missles.
although, japan may have surveillance satellites that are potential targets, but based on the numbers, US satellites (surveillance and otherwise) are the most likely potential targets,
because they dominate earth orbit, not by factors, but by orders of magnitude compared to other nations' satellites
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W.T.Carl



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Sat Feb 24, 2007 4:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

MAD only works with sane people. Are muslims sane?
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Mon Feb 26, 2007 4:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I am for the US attaining nuclear supremacy. I would like the US to continue to be the only power to have ever used nuclear weapons. But it will not happen. Established government powers will always be able to get beyond the US' nuclear defenses, if only by using a great deal of MIRV ICBMs.

The purpose of the missile defenses are for emerging nuclear powers such as North Korea or Iran.
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stevemcgarrett



Joined: 24 Mar 2006

PostPosted: Mon Feb 26, 2007 6:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

What are you dolts yapping on about? The U.S. couldn't have nuclear supremacy anyhow. China, Pakistan, India, Israel, France, Britain, North Korea and Russia all have the bomb.

jinju:

You're smoking weed if you think an American invasion of Manchuria would not have met with massive resistance. While poorly equipped, the Red Army had tens of millions of recently deactivated soldiers to use as cannon fodder (those who went to the Yalu River were a drop in the bucket). The U.S. would have had to use nuclear weapons and I don't think that would have sat too well with the UN Security Council not to mention American public opinion.
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contrarian



Joined: 20 Jan 2007
Location: Nearly in NK

PostPosted: Mon Feb 26, 2007 7:05 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

adventurer:

What are you dolts yapping on about? The U.S. couldn't have nuclear supremacy anyhow. China, Pakistan, India, Israel, France, Britain, North Korea and Russia all have the bomb.


France would surrebder an collaborate just like WWII

China a larger player with older technology. One American Boomer has more capability then the entire Chinese arsenal. The NMD would work well against China. The Russians are more worried about the CHinese than the Americans.

Pakistan is a bit player and is Indian.

Israel has over 200 new sophistacted nukes and is a US ally. Britain is a US ally. North Korea jas had a very small fizzle.

Russia is a serious player and has a lot. We should give the Russisns whatever they want in their tiffs with the Muslim world (chehnya).
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