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Bush: the Elephant in the Room

 
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EFLtrainer



Joined: 04 May 2005

PostPosted: Sat May 05, 2007 7:10 pm    Post subject: Bush: the Elephant in the Room Reply with quote

The Elephant in the Room

Quote:
George W. Bush has the lowest presidential approval rating in a generation, and the leading Dems beat every major �08 Republican. Coincidence?

...approval of Bush has sunk to 28 percent, an all-time low for this president in our poll...

...Perhaps that explains why Republican candidates, participating in their first major debate this week, mentioned Bush�s name only once, Laughing Laughing Laughing but Ronald Reagan�s 19 times. (The debate was held at Reagan�s presidential library.)...

...which president showed the greatest political courage�meaning being brave enough to make the right decisions for the country, even if it jeopardized his popularity �more respondents volunteered Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton (18 percent each) than any other president... Only four percent mentioned George W. Bush...

...A majority of Americans believe Bush is not politically courageous: 55 percent vs. 40 percent. And nearly two out of three Americans (62 percent) believe his recent actions in Iraq show he is �stubborn and unwilling to admit his mistakes,� compared to 30 percent who say Bush�s actions demonstrate that he is �willing to take political risks to do what�s right.�...


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cranura



Joined: 07 Mar 2006

PostPosted: Sun May 06, 2007 4:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ah, the magic of polls (kind of like using statistics any way one desires). For example, perhaps the first item that should be shown is the political affiliation of those 1001 people polled (question 26 of the poll):

"26. Do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent?
Registered Voters
Republican 24%
Democrat 36%
Independent 37%
No party/Not interested in politics 2%
Don't know 1%"

In other words, nearly 50% more Democrats were polled than Republicans even though Newsweek's NBC partners February poll showed that party affiliation had shifted from a difference of less than a percentage point to a gap of 3.9 points -- 34.3% Democrats to 30.4% Republicans, with 33.9% independents.

Sounds more like a Donkey in the Room!
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EFLtrainer



Joined: 04 May 2005

PostPosted: Sun May 06, 2007 4:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

cranura wrote:
Ah, the magic of polls (kind of like using statistics any way one desires). For example, perhaps the first item that should be shown is the political affiliation of those 1001 people polled (question 26 of the poll):

"26. Do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent?
Registered Voters
Republican 24%
Democrat 36%
Independent 37%
No party/Not interested in politics 2%
Don't know 1%"

In other words, nearly 50% more Democrats were polled than Republicans even though Newsweek's NBC partners February poll showed that party affiliation had shifted from a difference of less than a percentage point to a gap of 3.9 points -- 34.3% Democrats to 30.4% Republicans, with 33.9% independents.

Sounds more like a Donkey in the Room!


Your first point doesn't seem to be considered in your own comments. Rather than assuming they are cherry-picking their audience, perhaps you should consider that the demographics have changed that much. You see, the question was part of the poll, not pre-poll.

Despite their recent streak of wins, Republicans have always been a smaller group than Democrats - at least by registration. Given the grievous nature of the rule of the current administration, doesn't it seem likely the ranks of the Republican party would be thinning? Given the disillusionment in government that is palpable in the nation, doesn't it seem likely many of them would go independent? (The numbers for independents are enormous by historical comparison.) Is that not what is represented in the poll?
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