Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee
Joined: 25 May 2003
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 Posted: Thu Jul 26, 2007 6:31 am Post subject: Lancet 2004 Debunked |
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http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2007/07/david_kane_on_lancet_confidenc.php
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| Roberts et al. (2004) claim that the risk of death increased by 2.5-fold (95% CI 1.6-4.2) in Iraq after the US-led invasion. I provide evidence that, given the other data presented in their paper, this confidence interval must be wrong. Comments and corrections are welcome |
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| His argument turns on the CI for the post-invasion mortality rate (including Falluja) of 1.4-23.2. I would suggest that he has proven that this CI is wrong (as it obviously is, since there is no way the mortality rate could be below 4) rather that risk ratio CI. |
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