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Tiger Beer · Joined: 07 Feb 2003

Florida's 4-way tie

McCain
Guiliani
Romney
Huckabee

Who's gonna get Florida?

Milwaukiedave · Joined: 02 Oct 2004 Location: Goseong

My crystal ball is broken, but my preference would be anyone but Guiliani to win. At this point, Guiliani has staked his entire presidential campaign on Florida and beyond. I'd like to see him fall on his face in Florida and Feb 5th and drop out.

ontheway · Posted: Tue Jan 22, 2008 11:24 am Post subject:

Fred Thompson has just dropped out of the race he never really ran in. His few actual supporters will probably go to McCain. McCain has upward momentum and is leading Giuliani in NY and CT, so I expect McCain to win in Florida.

McCain should take the nomination if he doesn't stumble again.

Giulinani's campaign is already broke. Look for him to drop out after he loses in Florida. He has finished 5th or 6th in 5 out of six states so far.

Huckabee is also out of funds and has stopped paying his workers.

The race will soon be down to three: McCain, Romney and Ron Paul.

Romney has also had trouble fundraising, but he'll be in for Feb 5, Super Tuesday. Huckabee will hang in for Super T as well, coasting on fumes. Giuliani will drop out before Feb 5 to avoid the embarrassment of losing badly in every state including NY.

Ya-ta Boy · Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994

I think ontheway's projection is accurate. I'm guessing the religious conservatives are having a crisis of conscience right now but will break for Romney over McCain, but with a lot of teeth-nashing and foot-dragging.

Czarjorge · Posted: Tue Jan 22, 2008 1:18 pm Post subject:

I'm hoping Giuliani pulls out a win. A four way race would keep things stirred up on the Republican side. My only fear is that come convention time they'll just go with whatever candidate is strongest against the Dem contender.

I'm not sure the polls are right in Florida, putting Huckabee at about 17 and showing more of a three way split in the low 20's for the other three. If Huckabee edges out Romney or Giuliani for third who knows what will happen on the fifth.

igotthisguitar · Posted: Tue Jan 22, 2008 6:03 pm Post subject:

Everyone BUT Ron Paul. Wink

Milwaukiedave · Joined: 02 Oct 2004 Location: Goseong

igotthisguitar · Posted: Tue Jan 22, 2008 7:46 pm Post subject:

Rteacher · Joined: 23 May 2005 Location: Western MA, USA

Romney should be able to raise sufficient funds just from Mormon sources - I think they still own 300,000 acres of land in Florida near Disney World ...

If Bloomberg runs a third party campaign, he's stated that he'd spend one billion dollars of his own money ...

fiveeagles · Joined: 19 May 2005 Location: Vancouver

Milwaukiedave · Joined: 02 Oct 2004 Location: Goseong

I think Huckabee has no chance at Florida. He's going to have to make a showing on Feb 5th or hope there is enough of a split slightly in his favor, to get back in the race. There are still enough candidates and the race is still fluid enough for the Republicans that anything could happen.

The other side is a different story, the Democrats could have their nominee pretty quickly. I wonder if after the D nominee is choosen, that will push Republicans to come together and pick someone quickly or not.

Edit:

According to the latest poll McCain and Romney are tied with around 26% and Guiliani has about 16%.

mithridates · Posted: Fri Jan 25, 2008 7:26 am Post subject:

Looks like Romney, he apparently did pretty well at the debates and was asked the most questions. He's also up 4% on McCain. Here's McCain's brilliant answer on the president's Working Group on Financial Markets:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rJ1OB2iLxcY

(basically he has no idea what it's about and just drops names for a minute or so to kill time)

caniff · Joined: 03 Feb 2004 Location: All over the map

http://www.aarp.org/issues/

SCE2AUX · Joined: 15 Dec 2007 Location: Daegu

Voted for Mitt on Wednesday.

Milwaukiedave · Joined: 02 Oct 2004 Location: Goseong

Oh God, I hope you are joking or it was some kind of strategic vote. Mormon Mitt is a flip flopper who pretends to be a social conservative when he really isn't. When I look at Mitt Romney, I see George W. Bush 7 years ago. At least with McCain I can say I respect the man (though I wouldn't vote for either of them).

I hate to say it, I'm rooting for McCain at this point to win the nomination especially if Nurse Ratched will be the eventual D nominee. Then wait until March when Bloomberg hops in the race. It could make things mildly interesting.