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Mike L.
Joined: 28 Feb 2003 Posts: 519
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Posted: Mon Nov 22, 2004 1:43 am Post subject: |
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The pricing may not make sense, but Japan has gone from an economic catastrophe to the second largest power in the world in only a decade - a feat that economists still don't entirely grasp. |
Japan was almost number 1 before the bubble so things didn't change much. Anyways, we're not out of the woods yet! Entire industries are still moribund. If not for the voracious Chinese economy, the economy wouldn't be nearly as healthy.
The public debt contiues to grow at an increasing rate and strangely it doesn't even bear mention in the press. Japan is asleep at the wheel! Or better nobody seems to have the strength to take the wheel and do what needs to be done.
A poorly managed public sector has been and will continue to be Japan's biggest problem. |
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Nismo

Joined: 27 Jul 2004 Posts: 520
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Posted: Mon Nov 22, 2004 1:53 am Post subject: |
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The U.S. economy is the current strongest, Japan is currently 2nd in the world. China is on the rise - where it is going now is exactly where they thought Japan was headed back in the late 80's: #1. The raw material sales between Japan and China is certainly boosting Japan's economy as well. |
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PAULH
Joined: 28 Jan 2003 Posts: 4672 Location: Western Japan
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Posted: Mon Nov 22, 2004 5:02 am Post subject: |
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Nismo wrote: |
The U.S. economy is the current strongest, Japan is currently 2nd in the world. China is on the rise - where it is going now is exactly where they thought Japan was headed back in the late 80's: #1. The raw material sales between Japan and China is certainly boosting Japan's economy as well. |
US has the biggest economy in the world but not necessarily the strongest- the US government is the number 1 debtor nation, and its in hock to its eyeballs to other countries such as Japan and Saudi Arabia. Its foreign loans that keep the US economy humming like it is. Another 10 years and the US government will be teetering on bankruptcy. Just like Donald Trump, except much bigger, if you ask me. |
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Nismo

Joined: 27 Jul 2004 Posts: 520
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Posted: Mon Nov 22, 2004 5:28 am Post subject: |
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PAULH wrote: |
Nismo wrote: |
The U.S. economy is the current strongest, Japan is currently 2nd in the world. China is on the rise - where it is going now is exactly where they thought Japan was headed back in the late 80's: #1. The raw material sales between Japan and China is certainly boosting Japan's economy as well. |
US has the biggest economy in the world but not necessarily the strongest- the US government is the number 1 debtor nation, and its in hock to its eyeballs to other countries such as Japan and Saudi Arabia. Its foreign loans that keep the US economy humming like it is. Another 10 years and the US government will be teetering on bankruptcy. Just like Donald Trump, except much bigger, if you ask me. |
And I hope I'm not here when that time comes.  |
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Gordon

Joined: 28 Jan 2003 Posts: 5309 Location: Japan
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Posted: Mon Nov 22, 2004 5:35 am Post subject: |
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The reason you see the US dollar going down the tank right now is because the gov't is letting it. They're doing it because it will shrink their foreign debt. The US dollars the gov'ts owe won't be worth as much and countries let the US debt get bigger because if all the countries asked for their money back at once, the world's financial markets would collapse. |
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guest of Japan

Joined: 28 Feb 2003 Posts: 1601 Location: Japan
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Posted: Mon Nov 22, 2004 11:20 am Post subject: |
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There seems to be a little misunderstanding or maybe just not full comprehension of the US economy and the dollar.
Right now the dollar is being deflated in an effort to boost US exports and limit imports. China and Japan have both been buying huge amounts of US dollars in the last few years in order to unnaturally inflate it to keep their exports going in that direction. Under the Clinton administration and the first few years of the Bush administration this was acceptable because it was pumping the US economy with additional dollars which could be used for investment. This was a fine scenario as long as the trade balance was near equitable.
The US government tends to ignore money already tied up in dept and interest. Many economists feel that the huge debt of the US is actually important for a stable world economy and for political purposes as well. Unfortunately the US has found itself with a problem. It has begun to look like a bad investment since its economy is no longer growing at a speed outpacing its debt accumulation. The high unemployment and trade deficit mean that the US is looking to keep the revenue coming in. It is making an effort to stabalize itself in order to start a rapid growth again. Certainly the debt reduction Gordon mentioned will have the additional bonus of reducing interest payments (something the US always pays).
Even with it's seemingly staggering debt the actual debt is only about 10% or the GDP. Japan's is nearly 50%.
For those wondering of the comparison between the US, Japan and China, the US economy is 8 times the size of Japan's, and Japan's is 20 times the size of China's. At current growth rates it will take nearly 50 years for China to equal Japan. Both economies are heavily dependent on the US which consumes over 50 percent of the global trade market, which makes passing the US next to impossible without something absolutely catostrophic happening. |
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worldwidealive
Joined: 03 Mar 2004 Posts: 84
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Posted: Mon Nov 22, 2004 3:49 pm Post subject: |
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The pricing may not make sense, but Japan has gone from an economic catastrophe to the second largest power in the world in only a decade - a feat that economists still don't entirely grasp. |
The economy in Japan is still in shambles. Don't let the new coat of paint fool you.
WWA |
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Mike L.
Joined: 28 Feb 2003 Posts: 519
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Posted: Tue Nov 23, 2004 1:01 am Post subject: |
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read below
Last edited by Mike L. on Tue Nov 23, 2004 2:26 am; edited 1 time in total |
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Mike L.
Joined: 28 Feb 2003 Posts: 519
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Posted: Tue Nov 23, 2004 1:02 am Post subject: |
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read below
Last edited by Mike L. on Tue Nov 23, 2004 2:27 am; edited 1 time in total |
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Mike L.
Joined: 28 Feb 2003 Posts: 519
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Posted: Tue Nov 23, 2004 1:03 am Post subject: |
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Even with it's seemingly staggering debt the actual debt is only about 10% or the GDP. Japan's is nearly 50%. |
Actualy I think Japan surpased %130 a couple of years back. America has much more room to move. Right now the US goverment wants a weak dollar to trim the trade deficite by bolstering exports.
Snow, secretary for the Fed, said as much in an article I read on Yahoo. Japan and China are dead set aginst this and have threatened unilateral action, such as changing their yen for dollars to boos the dolllar.
Difficult to orient yourself in a wirld where the U.S dollar isn't king! |
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JimDunlop2

Joined: 31 Jan 2003 Posts: 2286 Location: Japan
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Posted: Tue Nov 23, 2004 7:57 am Post subject: |
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I suppose that depends on whether or not you believe G.W. Bush. In the newspaper today he was quoted as stating that he wanted a strong dollar, and that the current downward trend since the election was primarily due to his inability to balance a budget and the increased deficit since he became president. However, apparently he was supposed to be working on it to bring the dollar back up.
(Tuesday's Daily Yomiuri)
/sorry to contribute to the economics threadjacking. should be in a new thread.  |
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denise

Joined: 23 Apr 2003 Posts: 3419 Location: finally home-ish
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Posted: Tue Nov 23, 2004 9:18 am Post subject: |
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JimDunlop2 wrote: |
/sorry to contribute to the economics threadjacking. should be in a new thread.  |
Yeah, this thread was funny a while back...
d |
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Longing for Nippon
Joined: 14 Jun 2004 Posts: 49
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Posted: Tue Nov 23, 2004 10:06 am Post subject: |
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I read on the BBC that George W Bush has recently passed a bill where the USA can borrow a further 800 Billion/Trillion Dollars! Sorry cant remember which. It doesnt look like he is going to balance the books. With US industry closing and heading off to India/China and Bush's continued spending the US is heading for a crisis. Those crazy Republicans remind me of Turkeys voting for Christmas.
Does it not irritate the Americans having no independant Media? CNN, FOX etc have no perspective and fail in telling the truth. There is no hope for the "Land of the Free" when the media are allowed to broadcast pure propaganda. |
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guest of Japan

Joined: 28 Feb 2003 Posts: 1601 Location: Japan
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Posted: Tue Nov 23, 2004 1:53 pm Post subject: |
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Jimdunlop, either Bush lied or he is truly an idiot with economics. The US does not want a strong dollar right now. Bush may be influenced by the terms "weak" and "strong", but I'm sure that as soon as someone explains to him what the mean in regards to the dollar he will about face (if he didn't lie, which I think he did).
Denise, sorry. I'm not very funny.
Longing for Nippon, that would be 800 billion dollars at most. I haven't read the article, but 800 trillion is about the US GDP for 50 years. As far as independent media goes, I read the BBC for my daily News. If I need in depth US news coverage I'll go to CNN. MSNBC and especially Fox should be avoided like the plague. I read recently that the election fell equally proportional to those who watch fox news to those who would likely read the New York times (the place where I get my really in depth US news). |
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nawlinsgurl

Joined: 01 May 2004 Posts: 363 Location: Kanagawa and feeling Ok....
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Posted: Tue Nov 23, 2004 3:29 pm Post subject: |
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Boy am I glad to be out of the States and in Japan...but I do feel bad for all of my family and friends stuck over there.
Ok how about this one: I went to an ice cream shop and asked for the soft serve in a cup and no waffle cone. The girl at the register looked stunned and called a mangaer. They both proceeded to think about my request for about 10 mins. til I said "fine, I'll have the cone." To which I think relieved them very much. |
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