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Breaking 100 - a grim celebration
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JimDunlop2



Joined: 31 Jan 2003
Posts: 2286
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Fri Nov 04, 2005 2:24 am    Post subject: Breaking 100 - a grim celebration Reply with quote

Well, it's been official now for a little while.... And in case you don't yet know it, the Canadian Dollar has officially broken the 100yen barrier.

From Lloyds (www.golloyds.com) today: Canadian Dollar (CAD) 100.91


Because there's absolutely SQUAT that I can do about it -- and returning to Canada is NOT an option (now or for a long time to come)..... This weekend I'm gonna have a Grim 100-Breaking Party. I'm going to celebrate all the GOOD things about the dollar reaching an all-time high with some of my Canadian ex-pat friends (and wannabe Canadians).....

Letsee how many good reasons to celebrate this event I can come up with:

1. I no longer have to do complicated math to convert prices. I just have to multiply or divide by 100. How much is that 600yen beer at the pub? No problem! $6.00 How about that 980yen hamurger? $9.80. Easy stuff!

2. My family no longer has an excuse not to visit me in Japan. In ain't gonna get much cheaper than it is now, folks. Come on over!

3. My debts in Canada are almost paid off. Maybe I won't have to send money home much longer...

4. I can still laugh at the Americans. Those poor suckers are at 118!!!

5. It could be worse. I could still be in the Czech Republic, earning Czech crowns! Try converting THAT!

6. Seriously. How much worse could the rate get?

7. No really. I mean, it's already gone from 79 to 100 in the 2 1/2 years that I've been here...

8. My yen still buys me all what I need - as long as I stay in Japan...

9. I could be living in Canada, earning a lot less money and paying G.S.T. and P.S.T. At least here it's built into the price by law!

10. I can't think of a 10th reason. I need a beer, eh!

Enjoy your weekend, kids! And don't let the dollar get ya down!

JD
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moot point



Joined: 22 Feb 2005
Posts: 441

PostPosted: Fri Nov 04, 2005 4:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

When I went home for a holiday about ten years ago the rate was 66yen to the Canadian dollar. Man, did I feel rich back then!
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Gordon



Joined: 28 Jan 2003
Posts: 5309
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Fri Nov 04, 2005 12:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

You're right, the rate is the absolute pits. You know I think it will only get worse, not better. I didn't think it would get any worse when it hit 95 either. I think Canada is doing better economically and Japan loves to have a low yen for exports, so I think one day we might be happy with it at 100. Still it hurts.
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moot point



Joined: 22 Feb 2005
Posts: 441

PostPosted: Fri Nov 04, 2005 2:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

May I recommend putting your yen into a Canadian $ time deposit then?

Personally, I don't think that is the best bet right now. I think the C$ is a bit strong right now and if I was a betting man, which I've known to be, I'd be transferring my yen to NZ$. Their interest rates are high and will continue to piggy-back with the strength of the OZ$. Take a look at Citibank Japan for more details.

That said, the yen is bound for a rebound shortly. This usually happens in the upcoming months and then once again around March. It has depreciated too much lately and with the Nikkei breaking some key resistances this week (i.e. 14000yen), I think you'll see a lot of foreign investment driving the yen in the near future.

So to make it short: hold onto your yen, put it in the Nikkei for now, move it to Canadian stocks when it gains in strength in six months time.
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Gordon



Joined: 28 Jan 2003
Posts: 5309
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2005 2:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I just saw that the dollar hit 102.17 today on Lloyds. How high will it go? Crying or Very sad
We may look back nostalgically and say "remember when it was only 100 to the dollar"?
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Bozo Yoroshiku



Joined: 22 Feb 2005
Posts: 139
Location: the Chocolate Side of the Force

PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2005 2:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I remember golfing and breaking 100 for the first itme... I tell you, breaking that many clubs is a might more expensive than this exchange rate thingy.


--boz
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Gordon



Joined: 28 Jan 2003
Posts: 5309
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2005 3:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bozo Yoroshiku wrote:
I remember golfing and breaking 100 for the first itme... I tell you, breaking that many clubs is a might more expensive than this exchange rate thingy.


--boz


Depends how much money you have stashed away I guess.
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Zzonkmiles



Joined: 05 Apr 2003
Posts: 309

PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2005 6:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm one of those poor Americans who has been watching the yen go from 105 to almost 120 in less than a year. It's very depressing. Fortunately my credit card bill is all paid off. But I still send home a modest amount of money each month for student loans and building a new nest egg. If things get too much worse, I may start looking for other ways to supplement my income, such as getting a second PT job. I'm still not too big on teaching privates though, so we'll see. But this is seriously making me and a few others question just how lucrative it is for us to be teaching here. I guess if you have no financial obligations to deal with back home, Japan's great. But with the weakened currency as of late, I'm sure some of us are second guessing everything...
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SEndrigo



Joined: 28 Apr 2004
Posts: 437

PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2005 7:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

What further compounds the problem is the fact that your money earns no interest here. At the very worst, you might be able to get a couple of percentage points back home.

With inflation, you are actually losing money here even if you don't spend it!

And who would want to invest in the Nikkei now?

Does anyone have any suggestions, other than buying property here?
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Gordon



Joined: 28 Jan 2003
Posts: 5309
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2005 7:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Zzonkmiles wrote:
I'm one of those poor Americans who has been watching the yen go from 105 to almost 120 in less than a year. It's very depressing. Fortunately my credit card bill is all paid off. But I still send home a modest amount of money each month for student loans and building a new nest egg. If things get too much worse, I may start looking for other ways to supplement my income, such as getting a second PT job. I'm still not too big on teaching privates though, so we'll see. But this is seriously making me and a few others question just how lucrative it is for us to be teaching here. I guess if you have no financial obligations to deal with back home, Japan's great. But with the weakened currency as of late, I'm sure some of us are second guessing everything...


You should also feel fortunate that you have only lost that much. Canadians, Brits, Kiwis and Aussies have lost so much more in their exchange rates against the yen. I figure my salary is over $10,000/yr less than when I started (in Cdn funds) 3.5 years ago.
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Temujin



Joined: 14 Sep 2005
Posts: 90
Location: Osaka

PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2005 11:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

If it's any consolation, the weak Yen is looking pretty good to those of us currently planning our moves to Japan Razz
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Gordon



Joined: 28 Jan 2003
Posts: 5309
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2005 11:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Temujin wrote:
If it's any consolation, the weak Yen is looking pretty good to those of us currently planning our moves to Japan Razz


Makes me feel much better now. As long as it makes you happy then it is all worth it.
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guest of Japan



Joined: 28 Feb 2003
Posts: 1601
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2005 12:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

When I came to Japan 5 years ago next week the exchange rate was about 97 yen to the US dollar. It was up to about 117 in three months. It peaked at about 134 two years ago. I'd say the average for that time has been about 115.

The current exchange is not ideal for me and it must be very frustrating for the non-USians out there, but frankly many of your currencies have been undervalued for years mostly due to booming Asian countries putting all their money into bouying the US dollar. With the US pushing a weak dollar and weakening my savings it is leveling the global playing field to what is more of a reality or real worth. Canada is a G-7 country, of course it's dollar is worth a hundred yen. Just be glad that a hundred yen in Canada buys more than it does in Japan.

I don't know about other markets, but the yen's peg against the dollar is expected to drop to about 113 in Feb. and rise a couple points again in March. I believe it is related to wintertime costs, as well as a booming Nikkei.

I'm out of here in March, but I'm shipping money on any day I see it go below 110.
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macondo



Joined: 12 Nov 2005
Posts: 40
Location: Gifu-ken

PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2005 5:30 pm    Post subject: Re: Breaking 100 - a grim celebration Reply with quote

JimDunlop2 wrote:

4. I can still laugh at the Americans. Those poor suckers are at 118!!!



JD


I like to think of it this way: assume you're spending the dollar, and be pleasantly surprised later on when you calculate how much you "saved"!

Oh, and laugh away, we deserve it for all the laughing we do at you guys. Laughing
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macondo



Joined: 12 Nov 2005
Posts: 40
Location: Gifu-ken

PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2005 7:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Of course, I just realized that if you're actually over there and earning yen, then the increased value of the Canadian/US dollar pretty much sucks. Sorry for my insensitivity.
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