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Sending savings home: does the exchange rate bite hard?
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fox1



Joined: 22 Feb 2005
Posts: 268

PostPosted: Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:27 am    Post subject: Sending savings home: does the exchange rate bite hard? Reply with quote

Hi. This is a variation on the sending money home theme.

I want to send much of my savings home.

Does the Post Office (or any other method) hurt with the exchange rate? Do you lose a lot in the sending, aside from the �2500?

What do folks write as the reason for the transfer, given it's more than a token amount?

Cheers
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Jon Taylor



Joined: 09 Mar 2005
Posts: 238
Location: Tokyo

PostPosted: Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It all depends where is home.

As a Brit, I will not be sending money home until the exchange rate is around the 200 mark.

Exchange rate history suggests it will go down again to the 200 mark against the pound though it may take a year or so.......

Regarding the reasons for sending large amounts.......savings will do.
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kdynamic



Joined: 05 Nov 2005
Posts: 562
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Mon Jul 31, 2006 12:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wow, you ask if "the exchange rate" will bite you without even saying what currency you are planning to exchange it into?? Uhhh... Well anyway, no matter which it is, it all depends on your timing. Exchange rates fluctuate.
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fox1



Joined: 22 Feb 2005
Posts: 268

PostPosted: Mon Jul 31, 2006 1:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

kdynamic wrote:
Wow, you ask if "the exchange rate" will bite you without even saying what currency you are planning to exchange it into?? Uhhh... Well anyway, no matter which it is, it all depends on your timing. Exchange rates fluctuate.


I mean in general.

And I mean their exchange rate (the Post Office's or Lloyds')
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Glenski



Joined: 15 Jan 2003
Posts: 12844
Location: Hokkaido, JAPAN

PostPosted: Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I mean in general.
You can't say that because every currency exchange rate is so different. Where do you plan to send money? Geez. Stop playing cat and mouse.
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kdynamic



Joined: 05 Nov 2005
Posts: 562
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 12:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I mean their exchange rate (the Post Office's or Lloyds')


You are not making any sense. The exchange rate is set by global market forces. The only thing the financial institution sets is their fee.
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Willy_In_Japan



Joined: 20 Jul 2004
Posts: 329

PostPosted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 7:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think what he means is, that aside from the money order fee, which gives a fairer rate of exchange, Lloyds or the Post office?

I havent tried Lloyds yet, but the Post office gives a very good rate of exchange. There is no gouging, except in the money order fee which recently went up 1500 yen.
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may be going



Joined: 18 May 2004
Posts: 129
Location: australia

PostPosted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 11:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
You are not making any sense. The exchange rate is set by global market forces. The only thing the financial institution sets is their fee.


i don't think so. go to any number of finacial institutions and check the rates they offer. they are seldom the same and often differ markedly. some places are notoriously bad with their rates while others have good reputations.

there is not one set rate used by everyone
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PUCK



Joined: 17 Jun 2006
Posts: 20
Location: Tokyo

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2006 6:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

In regards to exchange rates... I keep a close eye on the U.S. and Canadian rates as I have bank accounts in both countries. The past 18 months has been horrible for people working outside of those countries. I am sitting on a lot of $$ in Japan right now. If it's in my U.S. bank account I can get over 5% interest guaranteed. Close to the same in Canada. However, if I wait until the time that the exchange rate becomes more favorable, I could stand to gain huge dividends on the exchange alone. However, everyday that I wait, I lose on the 5%+ and get next to nothing in a bank in Japan. So, I lose if I wait and lose if I exchange! Any tips? At 5%, $200,000 US comes to $833.00 / month. That's enough to pay a nice chunk of one's rent or mortgage isn't it? Maybe I should send away???
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kdynamic



Joined: 05 Nov 2005
Posts: 562
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2006 2:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

You're sitting on $200,000 in japan earning no interest??? How did you ever get that much money in your clutches without knowing that YES you should invest it!!! You could also look into investing in Japan if you have that much capital.
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markle



Joined: 17 Jan 2003
Posts: 1316
Location: Out of Japan

PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

PUCK wrote:
In regards to exchange rates... I keep a close eye on the U.S. and Canadian rates as I have bank accounts in both countries. The past 18 months has been horrible for people working outside of those countries. I am sitting on a lot of $$ in Japan right now. If it's in my U.S. bank account I can get over 5% interest guaranteed. Close to the same in Canada. However, if I wait until the time that the exchange rate becomes more favorable, I could stand to gain huge dividends on the exchange alone. However, everyday that I wait, I lose on the 5%+ and get next to nothing in a bank in Japan. So, I lose if I wait and lose if I exchange! Any tips? At 5%, $200,000 US comes to $833.00 / month. That's enough to pay a nice chunk of one's rent or mortgage isn't it? Maybe I should send away???

Hmm Puck sounds to me that you're waiting for a favourable shift in the exchange rate of more than 5%. Stable currencies like the Yen and Dollar don't do that in a hurry meanwhile your opportunity costs (the amount of money you'd be making off interest back home) are soaring.
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PUCK



Joined: 17 Jun 2006
Posts: 20
Location: Tokyo

PostPosted: Fri Aug 04, 2006 9:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Posted: Thu Aug 03, 2006 2:28 pm Post subject:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Quote:
You're sitting on $200,000 in japan earning no interest??? How did you ever get that much money in your clutches without knowing that YES you should invest it!!! You could also look into investing in Japan if you have that much capital.


Actually, I'm not sitting on that $200,000 in Japan. Althogether I have more than that actually. Let's just say that I have a large sum in Japan and another large sum in the U.S. I also have a nice little chunk back home in Canada. About 4 months ago I locked up about $130,000 in a CD account for 9 months at over 5%. This gives me a little time to figure the course of investment I will take. As for the dough in Japan, I am still not convinced that I want to put it into U.S. or Canadian funds just yet. Where and when I re-locate is critical and that is still up-in-the-air at this point. I've looked into NZ or AUS banks for a higher rate of interest but the volatility of the currencies makes it a bit risky. However, if you're looking long-term, I would imagine it will eventually come around at some point. In the meantime, I could get a guaranteed 7%+ in one of those places!

Quote:
Hmm Puck sounds to me that you're waiting for a favourable shift in the exchange rate of more than 5%. Stable currencies like the Yen and Dollar don't do that in a hurry meanwhile your opportunity costs (the amount of money you'd be making off interest back home) are soaring.


You're right, indeed. On the other hand, only about 18-20 months ago you could buy $1US with 103 yen! That coupled with the fact that the U.S. is not my home country and / or where I might want to invest money long-term is the reason for the waiting game. However, I am starting to get fed up with waiting and I don't really have a lot of interest in investing in Japan either. So, perhaps I'll make a move soon.
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shuize



Joined: 04 Sep 2004
Posts: 1270

PostPosted: Fri Aug 04, 2006 10:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Off the top of my head, the only reason I can think of to hold that much cash in the pathetic interest rate environment here in Japan is if you're trying to save for a down payment on a very nice house or property.

As noted above, by waiting, you're losing a fair amount of guaranteed interest income every month. But if you're willing to take that risk to speculate on the exchange rate, more power to you. Personally, I'd go with the guaranteed 7+ percent return. Of course, that may be because I've got my eye on semi-retirement and $200,000 @ 7% works out to almost $1,200 per month.
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PUCK



Joined: 17 Jun 2006
Posts: 20
Location: Tokyo

PostPosted: Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Shuize, don't forget that if you go and pop your dough into the wrong oven, sometimes it will burn. You have to be really careful about currencies. Yes, I could probably open an NZ or AUS bank account and pop 150,000 in there ASAP. However, there are various things to consider. First, the currency I choose takes a dive, then I could end up losing thousands in the end. Also, in those countries, you have to pay a fairly high income tax on it. Therefore, the gains aren't as attractive as they appear.

At my US bank, the following are the current rates for CD accounts:

3 Month
(91 Day) $500.00
4.43%
4.50%
Maturity

6 Month
(182 Day) $500.00
4.94%
5.00%
Maturity

1 Year $500.00
5.00%
5.00%
Maturity

2 Year $500.00
5.00%
5.00%
Annually

3 Year $500.00
5.00%
5.00%
Annually

5 Year $500.00
5.00%
5.00%
Annually

11 Month Special Promotion $500.00
5.59%
5.60%
Maturity

18 Month Special Promotion $500.00
4.94%
5.00%
Semiannually

15 Month
Flexible CD*
(Not for IRA�s) $2500.00 ($5000.00 to open)
5.00%
5.00%
Annually

30 Month
Flexible CD**
(Not for IRAs) $2500.00 ($5000.00 to open)
4.94%
5.00%
Semiannually

If you have $100,000 or more, you can collect about 6% or almost that. This is US$ we're talking about. So not only is it a safe bet but it's also a profitable one. I'll probably grab an 11-month CD and pop another $100,000-$130,000 in it.
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shuize



Joined: 04 Sep 2004
Posts: 1270

PostPosted: Fri Aug 04, 2006 5:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

OK, then, (U.S.D.) $200,000 at 6% works out to $1,000 per month. But my overall view hasn't changed: if you're willing to take the risk, more power to you. Bigger risk means potentially bigger returns. However, I personally would not. In my case, an extra $1,000 per month could go a long way toward semi-retirement in Thailand or China.
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