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Post-Nova Asia
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Seibu



Joined: 29 Nov 2006
Posts: 65

PostPosted: Mon Oct 29, 2007 6:05 pm    Post subject: Post-Nova Asia Reply with quote

How will the mass exodus of teachers leaving Nova and Japan effect the ESL industry in Asia....if at all?

I have this image of hundreds of ESL instructors arriving in places like Vietnam, Thailand and Korea looking for gigs.
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Rooster_2006



Joined: 24 Sep 2007
Posts: 984

PostPosted: Mon Oct 29, 2007 6:22 pm    Post subject: Re: Post-Nova Asia Reply with quote

Seibu wrote:
How will the mass exodus of teachers leaving Nova and Japan effect the ESL industry in Asia....if at all?

I have this image of hundreds of ESL instructors arriving in places like Vietnam, Thailand and Korea looking for gigs.
Man, I sure hope it doesn't have too much of an effect. While I'm working on my degree, the I-don't-have-a-degree market is already tough enough. Just a CELTA will only get you so far. While I tend towards pessimism, though, I doubt that it'll have a huge impact.

I'm guessing that about ~2,000 of them will find other jobs in Japan. I'm guessing that ~1,500 of them will fly home. I'm guessing that ~1,000 of them will swarm into Korea. ~500 of them will end up in other Asian countries.

When I finally get my degree and go to look for work in Japan, I'm sure the ex-NOVA employees will make it tougher by grabbing every single job off the market. However, at that point, I'll have a year and a half of experience in China, a degree, and I already have CELTA. So I will be able to beat fresh-out-of-college kids no problem.
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Seibu



Joined: 29 Nov 2006
Posts: 65

PostPosted: Mon Oct 29, 2007 8:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Something else to consider is that - if this closing holds true - how will this effect the dispersal of entry visas into Japan?

Nova used to be the easiest way of obtaining entry into Japan. I had at one time considered arriving sans visa, looking, landing a job, and then awaiting the 2 month approval process...but eventually decided against it.

Entering Japan may have just become more of a challenge.
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southofreality



Joined: 12 Feb 2007
Posts: 579
Location: Tokyo

PostPosted: Tue Oct 30, 2007 1:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Seibu wrote:
Something else to consider is that - if this closing holds true - how will this effect the dispersal of entry visas into Japan?

Nova used to be the easiest way of obtaining entry into Japan. I had at one time considered arriving sans visa, looking, landing a job, and then awaiting the 2 month approval process...but eventually decided against it.

Entering Japan may have just become more of a challenge.


Immigration isn't going to change its policies anytime soon, especially not just because the eikaiwa industry has been rocked. They might choose to step up efforts to enforce rules already in place. For example, people coming into Japan on a 'Specialist in Humanities' visa these days might be interviewed briefly while they are having their fingerprints taken.

They can refuse you entry if they believe you are attempting to enter the country under false pretenses so, if you tell them 'hey, I'm going to be with NOVA. They've got an apartment set up for me and I begin training next week,' they're likely to call BS on you and send you packing. They know the deal with NOVA already, so who knows what they'll do

It's possible that people who go through such an interview and admit that their visa sponsor is NOVA, might only be allowed entry under the 90-day visitor visa and then, in 30 days, if NOVA pulls through, have the one-year landing permission stamped into their passports.

Of course, I'm just speculating about what immigration might do, but what they can do will not change because of the NOVA crisis.
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GambateBingBangBOOM



Joined: 04 Nov 2003
Posts: 2021
Location: Japan

PostPosted: Tue Oct 30, 2007 3:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't think post-Nova will be all that much different from now. The other eikaiwa chans will definately be 1. making sure that their asses are covered, and 2. building up business as fast as they can- to snap up those former Nova students (too bad many of them no longer have any spare money for English lessons wince Nova took it all from them). There will probably be an immeditate dip in the amount that eikaiwa instructors are paid and of course with the market flooded it will be a first (blond hair blued eyed person) comes first situation amongst those with similar experience and educational background level.

I think many or most of the Nova teachers will end up leaving Japan because so many have no experience outside of Nova, Japanese language ability, contacts, or qualifications in teaching English.

Of course, this is assuming Nova doesn't start up again in a month let all the people who've already paid continue, rehire the majority of their staff and basically pretend that it never really happened.

I think just judging by this web site alone, Korea could give jobs to every English instructor who lost their job at Nova and still wants another one within a month or two.
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Patrique



Joined: 19 Sep 2007
Posts: 16
Location: Toronto, Canada

PostPosted: Tue Oct 30, 2007 9:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Is it possible that the Nova disaster will result in less applicants to the other big companies at their overseas recruiting centres? People, need I say, don't think rationally and might be scared off by this news. Like when there were a few cases of SARS here in Toronto in 2003, and our entire tourism industry collapsed despite there being no danger at all.

More likely I'm just full of it Very Happy
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gaijinalways



Joined: 29 Nov 2005
Posts: 2279

PostPosted: Wed Oct 31, 2007 1:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It will put off some people from coming to Japan, as being stranded in a foreign company by a badly managed company that gives no warning of heading to bankruptcy is no picnic. Others will try and screen who they will work for, but this is difficult sometimes, especially if you've never been to Japan and have not much knowledge of the language teaching industry here.
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AgentMulderUK



Joined: 22 Sep 2003
Posts: 360
Location: Concrete jungle (Tokyo)

PostPosted: Wed Oct 31, 2007 5:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I suspect it will almost no effect whatever. Just some short-term reshuffling of teachers and customers..ahem I mean students.

People come here as first timers with no idea which company is good/bad or even about the farcical language industry here. Also it is doubtful that anything at all of Nova's demise reached overseas newsrooms. It's irrelevant elsewhere.

Nova was but one of several large companies. It is of little consequence if just one company in a whole industry of large companies fails. Their passing will be missed by few and mourned by even less.
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gaijinalways



Joined: 29 Nov 2005
Posts: 2279

PostPosted: Wed Oct 31, 2007 11:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

But NOVA had 50% of the eikaiwa market. Not a small ripple in the market by any means. that and they were the largest employer of foreigners in Japan.
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southofreality



Joined: 12 Feb 2007
Posts: 579
Location: Tokyo

PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2007 1:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

AgentMulderUK wrote:
Also it is doubtful that anything at all of Nova's demise reached overseas newsrooms. It's irrelevant elsewhere.

Nova was but one of several large companies. It is of little consequence if just one company in a whole industry of large companies fails. Their passing will be missed by few and mourned by even less.


Is BBC a major overseas news source? They seem like they've got their stuff together.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7065232.stm

The Australian and British governments are assisting displaced NOVA teachers.


Yeah, you're right. No big deal. Rolling Eyes

Also, with Ms. Hawker's murder still fresh in some people's minds in the UK, there's a good chance this related news has made BBC's prime time news.
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Tiger Beer



Joined: 08 Feb 2003
Posts: 778
Location: Hong Kong

PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2007 3:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

gaijinalways wrote:
It will put off some people from coming to Japan

This is what I see as well. It'll be less easy to GET to Japan. So less people with bother.

The ones who lost their jobs, don't they own their visas anyways? So they can't get 'kicked out'. They'd just move down the street and start working down there instead. All those students still have a demand to study, so the demand for them still exists.
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Apsara



Joined: 20 Sep 2005
Posts: 2142
Location: Tokyo, Japan

PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2007 12:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Also it is doubtful that anything at all of Nova's demise reached overseas newsrooms. It's irrelevant elsewhere.


Not only the BBC, but a number of Australian and New Zealand newspapers, New Zealand TV news and radio, and the front page of Yahoo.com carried the story, more than once in some cases. It was also mentioned in the Australian Parliament by the Minister of Foreign Affairs at one point. It does rate in other countries when hundreds of their nationals are left stranded in a foreign country having been bilked out of income and evicted from their housing.

Definitely more than a ripple in the eikaiwa industry too.
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AgentMulderUK



Joined: 22 Sep 2003
Posts: 360
Location: Concrete jungle (Tokyo)

PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2007 2:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes but unfortunately the BBC new source quoted was the international news department, intended for use for nationals living abroad, or those with vested interesteds in that part of this world. It is NOT mainstream news.

I note with interest about Australia. I suppose as Australia is closer to Japan it would have more of an impact. But I would be surprised if you can tell me that the story lasted more than 1 day?

The business with embassies helping ex-workers is a local problem, and not international.

Phone home and ask you parents, you aunt, your old office mates. You think they ever head of Nova? Not.


As for Nova having 50% of the market, that is an utterly absurd figure. Even if such a figure was calculable, it's way off. Take a look at the values of ECC, GEOS, etc. Doesn' take an economist to figure out that Nova were a major player, but empasis on the word "a".

If ECC and Aeon,etc were so small how come they have offered to buy out Nova. Does that spell it out?

And also consider the eikawa market is only one part of the language teaching system in Japan as a whole. How about the none-eikawa businesses, school, various other pirivate institutions?

Amusingly, if Nova had 50% of the market with its "huge" army of 4000 teachers... that leaves the other 50% for other schools and presumably another 4000 teachers nationwide. I think you will find there is way way more than 4000 eikawa teachers here Wink

Seems like some people on this forum are thinking that the world is focused on where they are currently. Think again.

Even when it was all over forums for months what arses Nova are, and which way they are going, people still came. Even a cursory internet search would have warned them.
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southofreality



Joined: 12 Feb 2007
Posts: 579
Location: Tokyo

PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2007 4:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

AgentMulderUK wrote:

If ECC and Aeon,etc were so small how come they have offered to buy out Nova. Does that spell it out?


Did ECC offer to do so?

Aeon, the retail outfit was presented with an opportunity to help bail NOVA out, but refused. AEON, the eikaiwa company is not affiliated with Aeon, the retail corporation.
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gaijinalways



Joined: 29 Nov 2005
Posts: 2279

PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Yes but unfortunately the BBC new source quoted was the international news department, intended for use for nationals living abroad, or those with vested interesteds in that part of this world. It is NOT mainstream news.


I agree, just as events in Europe are sometimes not main news here either. But it did make the news worldwide. Does everyone pay attention to all the news? Nope, not even me.

Quote:
I note with interest about Australia. I suppose as Australia is closer to Japan it would have more of an impact. But I would be surprised if you can tell me that the story lasted more than 1 day?


Still in the news now there.

Quote:
The business with embassies helping ex-workers is a local problem, and not international.


But they are going from one country to another. We're looking at a local problem being exported to several English speaking countries, never mind a number of other language instructors as well who are suddenly out of work.

Quote:
Phone home and ask you parents, you aunt, your old office mates. You think they ever head of Nova? Not.


See above.

Quote:
As for Nova having 50% of the market, that is an utterly absurd figure. Even if such a figure was calculable, it's way off. Take a look at the values of ECC, GEOS, etc. Doesn' take an economist to figure out that Nova were a major player, but empasis on the word "a".

If ECC and Aeon,etc were so small how come they have offered to buy out Nova. Does that spell it out?


The 50% was quoted from a Japan Times article and a Daily Yomiuri article. It should be obvious no one is planning on buying NOVA, what is there to buy?

Quote:
And also consider the eikawa market is only one part of the language teaching system in Japan as a whole. How about the none-eikawa businesses, school, various other pirivate institutions?


Yes, what about them?

Quote:
Amusingly, if Nova had 50% of the market with its "huge" army of 4000 teachers... that leaves the other 50% for other schools and presumably another 4000 teachers nationwide. I think you will find there is way way more than 4000 eikawa teachers here


Difficult to say, as I meet a lot of teachers who do it part-time, as I do. Most of the NOVA people were full time.

Quote:
Seems like some people on this forum are thinking that the world is focused on where they are currently. Think again.


Maybe we'll let you think again.

Quote:
Even when it was all over forums for months what arses Nova are, and which way they are going, people still came. Even a cursory internet search would have warned them.


I have to admit, some people at the company seemed to be living a lie. But I suppose we all dream a little, yes? Cool
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