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Big_Bird

Joined: 31 Jan 2003 Location: Sometimes here sometimes there...
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Posted: Fri Jan 05, 2007 6:31 pm Post subject: Is the US getting value for money in Iraq? |
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Terry Jones (of Monty Python fame) asks: Is the US getting value for money in Iraq?
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Early this year the Bush administration is to ask Congress to approve an additional $100bn for the onerous task of making life intolerable for the Iraqis. This will bring the total spent on the White House's current obsession with war to almost $500bn - enough to have given every US citizen $1,600 each. I wonder which the voters would have gone for if given the choice: shall we (a) give every American $1,600 or (b) spend the money on bombing a country in the Middle East that doesn't use lavatory paper?
Of course, there's another thing that George Bush could have done with the money: he could have given every Iraqi $18,700. I imagine that would have reduced the threat of international terrorism somewhat. Call me old-fashioned, but I can't help thinking that giving someone $18,700 brings them round to your side more quickly than bombing the hell out of them. They could certainly buy a lot of lavatory paper with it.
In 2002 the house budget committee and the congressional budget office both guesstimated the cost of invading Iraq at approximately $50bn; $500bn seems a bit wide of the mark. What's more, with over half a million dead, it means that the world's greatest military superpower has spent a million dollars for every Iraqi killed. That can't be value for money!
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According to the website Halliburtonwatch, the Halliburton subsidiary KBR bills the US taxpayer for $50-$80 per day for labourers working for it in Iraq, but pays them only $5-$16 per day. |
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On January 26 2006 Halliburton announced that its 2005 profits were the "best in our 86-year history". |
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Vice-President Dick Cheney, formerly CEO of Halliburton, has not had a bad war either. His tax returns for 2005 show that he earned $194,862 from his Halliburton stock options alone. |
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Perhaps it's just as well that in 2003 the White House removed from the Iraq spending bill any provision to penalise war profiteers who defrauded US taxpayers. |
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Wangja

Joined: 17 May 2004 Location: Seoul, Yongsan
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Posted: Fri Jan 05, 2007 6:38 pm Post subject: |
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One of the post-invasion justifications I have read, even on this baord, is that the cost of pre-invasion "containment" was too high.
It must be based on logic similar to WMD. |
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ddeubel

Joined: 20 Jul 2005
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Posted: Tue Jan 09, 2007 4:19 am Post subject: |
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I would suggest that we should look at the "real" value of war. Meaning, let's follow the money and see where it leads.
It is disengenious to compare giving money to each Iraqi and what the U.S. spends on the war. They are two totally different animals. The U.S. expenditure on the war, does not go into Iraqi pockets (nor for that matter does it at the very least go towards keeping them safe, but that is another topic). The U.S. expenditure on this war, the money trail, leads everywhere else BUT Iraq.
This is another myth. That war is an investment in the country being liberated. NAY. Ever been to a military base, even Yongsan? The money turns in circles among the Americans and rolls back home. The effect on the local economy is very little and detrimental in the way it creates dependency. In the case of Iraq, it is almost completely true.
I suggest that it would be better for the U.S. to just give Iraqis money. But will never happen. War is an economic investment in SELF and not ultruistic. And there was never anything altruistic about this war. War is good for the economy, is an old truism. And when you have those with deep interests in corporations, running the state, you can be sure as hell there will be a war and not just any handing out of cheques to freedom loving Iraqis.
DD |
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thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
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Posted: Tue Jan 09, 2007 4:48 am Post subject: |
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War is good for the economy, is an old truism. |
Oh jesus, dd and his phony econ again.
http://www.econlib.org/library/Bastiat/basEss1.html
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Have you ever been witness to the fury of that solid citizen, James Goodfellow,*1 when his incorrigible son has happened to break a pane of glass? If you have been present at this spectacle, certainly you must also have observed that the onlookers, even if there are as many as thirty of them, seem with one accord to offer the unfortunate owner the selfsame consolation: "It's an ill wind that blows nobody some good. Such accidents keep industry going. Everybody has to make a living. What would become of the glaziers if no one ever broke a window?"
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Now, this formula of condolence contains a whole theory that it is a good idea for us to expose, flagrante delicto, in this very simple case, since it is exactly the same as that which, unfortunately, underlies most of our economic institutions.
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Suppose that it will cost six francs to repair the damage. If you mean that the accident gives six francs' worth of encouragement to the aforesaid industry, I agree. I do not contest it in any way; your reasoning is correct. The glazier will come, do his job, receive six francs, congratulate himself, and bless in his heart the careless child. That is what is seen.
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But if, by way of deduction, you conclude, as happens only too often, that it is good to break windows, that it helps to circulate money, that it results in encouraging industry in general, I am obliged to cry out: That will never do! Your theory stops at what is seen. It does not take account of what is not seen.
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It is not seen that, since our citizen has spent six francs for one thing, he will not be able to spend them for another. It is not seen that if he had not had a windowpane to replace, he would have replaced, for example, his worn-out shoes or added another book to his library. In brief, he would have put his six francs to some use or other for which he will not now have them. |
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ddeubel

Joined: 20 Jul 2005
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Posted: Tue Jan 09, 2007 3:44 pm Post subject: |
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http://www.econlib.org/library/Bastiat/basEss1.html
Thanks for posting that, makes complete sense.
We do have choices of where to spend our money, always choices, is the correct conclusion. Not a matter of X takes from Y.
Completely agrees with my thesis and I'll let you think about how.....
DD |
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thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
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Posted: Tue Jan 09, 2007 4:24 pm Post subject: |
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What is your thesis? That war is bad? Like, duh. |
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khyber
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Compunction Junction
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Posted: Tue Jan 09, 2007 5:02 pm Post subject: |
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It is not seen that, since our citizen has spent six francs for one thing, he will not be able to spend them for another. It is not seen that if he had not had a windowpane to replace, he would have replaced, for example, his worn-out shoes or added another book to his library. In brief, he would have put his six francs to some use or other for which he will not now have them. |
So, using this analogy you are saying that the government could not use this money for, say, education, or social security but it didn't because of the war.
Isn't that basically what this thread is about? |
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bucheon bum
Joined: 16 Jan 2003
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Posted: Tue Jan 09, 2007 5:05 pm Post subject: |
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the gov't has found halliburton has overcharged us 1.5 billion dollars. how much has it paid back? zero. What has been done about it? nothing.
100 dollars to do one laundry load.
63 of 67 water treatment facilities for US facilities in Iraq were faulty and proven to have contaiminated water.
That is just two things. |
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thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
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Posted: Tue Jan 09, 2007 5:11 pm Post subject: |
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DD said war is good for the economy. A foolish statement.
What I posted is a very famous take down on that idea. It is called the broken window fallacy.
If I break a window, and it requires 10$ to repair it, there is an increase in "investment" and employment as a result of my action. In the eyes of the silly, 10$ has been created, or added to GDP.
In reality, I've lost the value of the window. That is what is unseen. So, it is more than government not being able to supply "social programs" etc etc.
In war, the government taxes the people to build things that break stuff. Some say this is good for the economy. It isn't. You loose the value of the stuff that is broken (either here, or there) and the investment/spending that would have otherwise happened should the war have not take place.
War is bad for the economy. All war. T'was my only point. |
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ddeubel

Joined: 20 Jul 2005
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Posted: Tue Jan 09, 2007 6:50 pm Post subject: |
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In war, the government taxes the people to build things that break stuff. Some say this is good for the economy. It isn't. You loose the value of the stuff that is broken (either here, or there) and the investment/spending that would have otherwise happened should the war have not take place. |
Let me remind you (and again point you in the right direction) that the windows being broke are IN IRAQ. So there is very little "loss of value" on the American side. Sure, there is a little cost, funerals, health care, disability but very little overall. That is the difference..........
If you'd like, I can send you some primer material on the economics of military adventure and also how big the military lobby (thanks to the Pentagon, a built in lobbyist right inside the govt) is. There was a thread awhile back that I didn't participate in, about influence in Washington. Many things were discussed but everyone missed the pink elephant in the room...
DD |
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khyber
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Compunction Junction
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Posted: Tue Jan 09, 2007 7:11 pm Post subject: |
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In war, the government taxes the people to build things that break stuff. Some say this is good for the economy. It isn't. You loose the value of the stuff that is broken (either here, or there) and the investment/spending that would have otherwise happened should the war have not take place |
But that works on the assumption that it [the old thing] would have to have been fixed had the new thing not been broken, doesn't it?
If there was no intention of injecting 500B in social programs, how can it be said that the money was lost when the money wasn't there to begin with?
I hate to set myself up for ridicule but I'm being honest here, I am BARELY understanding that concept.... I could see that being true of a civil war but not for a war against another nation.
As I see it, tax dollars (well, by this point, loaned funds) that basically did not exist before hand (this isn't a reprioritizing is it? They're injecting new funds into the budjet right?) are being given to American companies. I don't see how it's more complex than that.
If I may say something (potentially very stupid here):
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In the eyes of the silly, 10$ has been created, or added to GDP. |
It seems that the value of the window is kind of inconcequential to the market; even though it may have a profound affect on the GDP (wholistic). The fact is that the money is being spent within the market sphere and is going to a competitor within the market. To argue that the breaking of hte window was of no benefit to the competitor (and by extension the market), seems erroneous to me regardless of its cost to the GDP.
YES it may have a detrimental affect on the GDP because something of value was lost, but it seems that that would be different from the affect on the MARKET (which is what we're talking about). |
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twg

Joined: 02 Nov 2006 Location: Getting some fresh air...
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Posted: Tue Jan 09, 2007 8:13 pm Post subject: |
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BJWD wrote: |
DD said war is good for the economy. A foolish statement. |
That's true.
But it's great for war profiteers. Maybe one day people will stop electing their representatives to the government. |
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mindmetoo
Joined: 02 Feb 2004
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Posted: Wed Jan 10, 2007 5:17 am Post subject: |
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A tank requires labor to make. When a tank is built, it sits in a field and does no work for the economy. A tractor requires labor to build. Unlike a tank, it can plow the field and keeps adding value to the economy. You over build tanks. You've got a lot of tanks sitting in the field. You over build tractors, that's bad, but now tractors are cheaper and a farmer can make a go of his business.
War is not as good for the economy as the free market building products people need to make their jobs more efficient. Worse, if the government is bidding up steel and copper to make aircraft carriers, it's not fully great for the economy for your tractor and commercial airline makers to have to now buy even more expensive steel and copper.
End of story.
Compare the 1991 recession to the 2001 recession. The 1991 recession resulted when the California defense industry collapsed. The government quit buying things to fight the USSR. The 2001 recession resulted when the dot.com boom went bust. The 2001 recession wasn't as painful because the 2001 recession suddenly left a lot of stuff that could be had cheaper and employed by other people. Yes, people over built office buildings. People over built fiber optic. People bought a lot of office furniture. These things all went on sale at fire sale prices. New start ups bought the furniture and moved into the offices which now had cheaper rent. In short business plans that were not financially feasible in 2000 suddenly became feasible. |
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ddeubel

Joined: 20 Jul 2005
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Posted: Wed Jan 10, 2007 5:04 pm Post subject: |
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I will concede that domestically, war is only good for the economy IF the military goods produced are used, sold, exported, create new demand, kill, maim, terrify, obliterate, blow up, roll along etc.........
What that takes is leadership that knows how to promote instability in the world, leadership that creates markets for these goods through a "war", a leadership that creates a climate whereby there is a demand. So far , so good with the present American leadership. A blessing for the military corporate elite, Lockheed, Boeing et al. Imagine how Phillip Morris would be cheering if the president were a chain smoker!
DD |
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Hollywoodaction
Joined: 02 Jul 2004
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Posted: Wed Jan 10, 2007 9:11 pm Post subject: |
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ddeubel wrote: |
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In war, the government taxes the people to build things that break stuff. Some say this is good for the economy. It isn't. You loose the value of the stuff that is broken (either here, or there) and the investment/spending that would have otherwise happened should the war have not take place. |
Let me remind you (and again point you in the right direction) that the windows being broke are IN IRAQ. So there is very little "loss of value" on the American side. Sure, there is a little cost, funerals, health care, disability but very little overall. That is the difference..........
If you'd like, I can send you some primer material on the economics of military adventure and also how big the military lobby (thanks to the Pentagon, a built in lobbyist right inside the govt) is. There was a thread awhile back that I didn't participate in, about influence in Washington. Many things were discussed but everyone missed the pink elephant in the room...
DD |
Imagine you get into a fight with the neighbors' kid, start throwing rocks at each other and break each a windows of his parents' home. Now, imagine you pay 100$ to fix the 10$ window you broke, but also 100$ for the window he broke. Now, what good did that fight do to you? Your parents are out 200$, you're grounded until you're 18, and he's got himself a new bike for his birthday. |
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