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1951: what if the Koreas had reunified?
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 9:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

contrarian wrote:
James:

It is time that China is confronted and perhaps cut down to size. Of this had bben done in 1951 it would not be nessary now. I reallu don't give a darn if east Asian is tranquil.


yes, you're all for gore and violence apparently. Hmm, what was that thing about mormons and violence? that it was a crock of *beep*? hmmm. Wink
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contrarian



Joined: 20 Jan 2007
Location: Nearly in NK

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 11:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

There are things that are more important than tranquility, such as individual rights and personal freedoms for everbody.
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 11:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

i think a few days in baghdad or mogadishu would alter your thinking a bit.

Secondly, a big chunk of east asia is tranquil AND has individual rights and personal freedoms.

And hey, if the chinese don't like their lack of rights, it is their responsability to fix it, not us.
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gang ah jee



Joined: 14 Jan 2003
Location: city of paper

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 4:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

contrarian wrote:
There are things that are more important than tranquility, such as individual rights and personal freedoms for everbody.

Damn, contrarian's posts make me all - it's like he's heard he's misheard Patrick Henry as saying 'give them liberty or give them death.'

He does raise another interesting question though - what if the US had stopped the Chinese 'volunteers' using tactical nuclear weapons? So hooray, Korea is secured, but the US has used nuclear weapons on Chinese soil! The Chinese now consider the US as a mortal enemy and vow revenge. China commits immediately to the development of strategic nuclear weapons, and the Soviet Union, which had carried out its first test two years earlier, gives much assistance. Cold War tensions escalate at an incredible pace. Cut a long story short, the world is destroyed by nuclear holocaust in the early 1960s. Fun!

Liberty or death, contrarian seems to think the US should have the right to make that choice for you.

Oh ,and James, I don't see anyone saying that anything is the US's 'fault'.
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contrarian



Joined: 20 Jan 2007
Location: Nearly in NK

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 4:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

From the 1950 and 60's; better dead than Red

I rather doubt if the Russians would have helped Mao get nukes. Even then the Russians were worried about Chinese claims in such places as Amur river, Mongolia and etc. Besides Chiang Kai Shek was still around with a big army in Taiwan. Properly pressured and done China could have wound up back in the war lord era.

Nukes on Japan just made them humble.

As MacArthur said there is no substitute for victory. Besides the Korean war had UN approval.
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gang ah jee



Joined: 14 Jan 2003
Location: city of paper

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 4:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

contrarian wrote:
I rather doubt if the Russians would have helped Mao get nukes.

You'd be dead wrong.

fas.org wrote:
In 1951 Peking signed a secret agreement with Moscow through which China provided uranium ores in exchange for Soviet assistance in the nuclear field.

http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/china/nuke/index.html
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contrarian



Joined: 20 Jan 2007
Location: Nearly in NK

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 5:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oooh! Golly gee! He believes FAS! Do you also believe in the tooth fairy and the great pumpkin?

Some interesting figures, if they are substantiated. Very good arguments for both the ABM initiative and for having taken the CHinese Reds out in the 1950's.

One US Boomer Nuclear sub has more capability than does the PRC. They get to park real close to China.

The USSR was the enemy now its Islam and the PRC.
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gang ah jee



Joined: 14 Jan 2003
Location: city of paper

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 7:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

contrarian wrote:
Oooh! Golly gee! He believes FAS! Do you also believe in the tooth fairy and the great pumpkin?

Yes, I know that they're anti-American leftists - the very definition of useful idiots, right? I mean, just look at their credentials:

fas.org wrote:
The Federation of American Scientists (FAS) was formed in 1945 by atomic scientists from the Manhattan Project who felt that scientists, engineers and other innovators had an ethical obligation to bring their knowledge and experience to bear on critical national decisions, especially pertaining to the technology they unleashed - the Atomic Bomb.

Endorsed by 67 Nobel Laureates in chemistry, economics, medicine and physics, FAS addresses a broad spectrum of issues in carrying out its mission to promote humanitarian uses of science and technology. FAS members build on an honorable history of insisting that rational, evidence-based arguments be heard.

So you're calling FAS liars about the Soviet Union assisting China in the development of nuclear weapons. Presumably you have some evidence to the contrary? Or are you just full of it?

Quote:
The USSR was the enemy now its Islam and the PRC.

This one's like a magic spell - keep repeating it long and loud enough and it may just come true.
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contrarian



Joined: 20 Jan 2007
Location: Nearly in NK

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 8:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Who the heck is FAS? Some non governmental study with an axe to grind. By its comments its obviously a left wing source and I generally believe nothing that such sources say.

The most hilarious part of the Fas comment was that the USSR need Uranium. Good heavens man the USSR probably has more than the rest of the world put together.

By the way the Israelis got thier from two sources. Some "borrowed" from the US and the rest from South Africa. South Africa had bombs where dis they go? One story was Israel.
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gang ah jee



Joined: 14 Jan 2003
Location: city of paper

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 8:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

contrarian wrote:
Who the heck is FAS? Some non governmental study with an axe to grind. By its comments its obviously a left wing source and I generally believe nothing that such sources say.

The most hilarious part of the Fas comment was that the USSR need Uranium. Good heavens man the USSR probably has more than the rest of the world put together.

Fine, stay ignorant then.

Quote:
By the way the Israelis got thier from two sources. Some "borrowed" from the US and the rest from South Africa. South Africa had bombs where dis they go? One story was Israel.

Uh, so what?
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 9:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

contrarian wrote:
Who the heck is FAS? Some non governmental study with an axe to grind. By its comments its obviously a left wing source and I generally believe nothing that such sources say.

The most hilarious part of the Fas comment was that the USSR need Uranium. Good heavens man the USSR probably has more than the rest of the world put together.

By the way the Israelis got thier from two sources. Some "borrowed" from the US and the rest from South Africa. South Africa had bombs where dis they go? One story was Israel.


you do realize you sound like the western version to an Islamic fundie right?
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thepeel



Joined: 08 Aug 2004

PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2007 10:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

contrarian wrote:


The USSR was the enemy now its Islam and the PRC.


Contrarian, I see no evidence that China is now, or will in the future be, an enemy of the West.

The post-Mao regime led by Deng Xiaoping has been pragmatic. The "Open Door" policy focused on building China's economic development by embracing the capitalist world economy. Today, China is almost completely embedded in the capitalist world economic order.

Communism is now a bankrupt ideology in China, and the Chinese government more resembles a right-wing military dictatorship similar to those that existed in Korea, Chile and elsewhere.

China is not challenging the world order as it stands, as did the Soviet Union. Indeed, with the leaders of the WHO, UN and IEA all from NE Asia it would seem that even individual Asians are accepting the existing institutions as they stand.

The key point is that they are prudent. In fact, many are now saying that the Chinese and Americans have come to a quiet agreement on the Taiwan issue. Stability and development must not be upset in China, and the Chinese will not risk everything they have accomplished to conquer Taiwan. See the current issue of Time for more on this (it is an excellent piece on China today).

There is very little evidence to support your idea that China is an enemy.

Islam, well, that is a whole other story. But I'll save it for my next 10-page thread on the subject.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 5:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

In response to the OP.

Throughout the 50s and 60s South Korea received 12 billion dollars in aid from the US gov't. The population was 20 million at the time, so thats 600 dollars for each man, woman, and child. I sincerely doubt a unified Communist Korea would have received this money.

This money then was funneled by Syngman Rhee and Park Chun Hee to the Cheobols. The Cheobols got exceedingly subsidized loans from the gov't based on performance. The better the performance, the better the growth, the lower the interest rate.

China did persue gaige kaifang under Deng Xiaoping, but that was late, in the 1980s. During the early 1970s, everyone forgets that South Korea was the more destitute of the two nations, despite the aid.

What aid would a unified Korea have gotten? Each Korea received a great amount of aid from their foreign backers. North Korea received a great deal of aid from the Soviets. Perhaps a unified Korea under the communists would have received more, but I doubt South Korea would have received as much. I particularly doubt Kennedy's economic advisors would have been pushing for South Korea to be a 2nd Japan; the light industry centre to match Japan's heavy industry. I sincerely doubt a communist Korea would have matched South Korea's command of semiconductor manufacture in the late 80s.

I have to surmise that a united Korea would have meant a less relevent Korea. And yes, my assumption is that Korea did so well because it had such big backing, North and South. As I said, when the Soviets were strong North Korea was much stronger than it was in the 90s, and far stronger than it is now.
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JeJuJitsu



Joined: 11 Sep 2005
Location: McDonald's

PostPosted: Wed Feb 14, 2007 5:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Without US aid post-war, a unified Communist Korea would have been economically about the same as Cambodia, as that's what they were equal to before the war. I doubt Communist leadership would have propelled them forward. Vietnam, don't forget, has been given vast amounts of money by China, as their example to the world of "miracle of Communism."

The US built every single road, sewer, and most buildings post-war. All Koreans had to ever pay for themselves since the 50's has been food.
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