|
Korean Job Discussion Forums "The Internet's Meeting Place for ESL/EFL Teachers from Around the World!"
|
| View previous topic :: View next topic |
| Author |
Message |
EFLtrainer

Joined: 04 May 2005
|
Posted: Sat Mar 17, 2007 10:25 am Post subject: |
|
|
And, finally, you are wrong about whether we are having a discussion, or a debate.
| Quote: |
| Debate: a contention by words or arguments: as a : the formal discussion of a motion before a deliberative body according to the rules of parliamentary procedure |
Nope, not that one.
b : a regulated discussion of a proposition between two matched sides
And... nope, not that one.
Pull your head out. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
|
Posted: Sat Mar 17, 2007 12:23 pm Post subject: |
|
|
EFL, you come across as if you have fully completely dissociated yourself with humanity and live in an internet world of good/evil. I've never come across such a hostile person before.
You are only harming your cause. Calm down. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
mindmetoo
Joined: 02 Feb 2004
|
Posted: Sat Mar 17, 2007 4:10 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| BJWD wrote: |
EFL, you come across as if you have fully completely dissociated yourself with humanity and live in an internet world of good/evil. I've never come across such a hostile person before.
You are only harming your cause. Calm down. |
Indeed. He's been biatch slapped by Gopher once too often. Gopher thinks everyone is an EFL forum stalker. EFL thinks everyone who simply wants him to support his views as a Gopher-style pedant. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
EFLtrainer

Joined: 04 May 2005
|
Posted: Sat Mar 17, 2007 8:03 pm Post subject: |
|
|
1. At elast we agree about goopher. Bitchslapped? Goopher has never won an argument against me. He never will. He is far too immature in his understanding of the world around him. He is still in the stage of discovering ideas. He has not moved on to the level of applying logic and information in real time and in real life contexts. He's an ivory tower wannabe.
2. Maybe you should do some research into the nature of violence. The two of you regularly assault others on this board, and have on this thread. Hypocritical.
Notice I never mention the issue? Also notice your constant attempts to derail the discussion into one about my style/personality. Notice I never do that. It's a tactic reserved for people whose arguments cannot stand the test of analysis. Your argument stands or doesn't. It matters not whether I call you an idiot or you say I don't know how to debate. They both end up beign the same thing. Attempt to stand on your supposed higher ground. You have none. Your logic is flawed. Your analysis is flawed. Your understanding of the issues is flawed. You cannot say the same of my argument. The worst you can say is I called you an idiot. Well, only an idiot would think being uninformed on the issues is OK, but calling someone an idiot for not being informed on the issues is not.
Let us review:
A. You said PO and GW are not related. Wrong.
B. You kept stating PO is twenty years out. Wrong. (Running out of oil, for all intents and puproses, is about 50 years out. And those points are dependent upon whether we are truly in Peak Oil or not. However, those raising the alarm about it state it is either already in progress or soon will be.)
C. You said sea level rise is an issue in 100 years. Wrong. It is happning now and affecting lives now.
D. You then tried to say sea level rise would not impact major urban centers for 100 years. Wrong. The IPCC report does not state that. It states that by the end of the century sea level rise is expected to reach a certain level given a particular scenario. It did not, however, attach any probabilities to those estimates.
D1. First, the rise is a process, not a suddenly occurring event. Even with the modest predictions, the ten or so centimeters AVERAGE rise wll cause serious problems. You are NOT considering that sea level rise is not uniform. And ten centimeters is the AVERAGE. Now, take those ten centimeters over wide areas of ocean and pile them all up into tides, storm surges, etc. Get it? The CUMULATIVE effects are much, much greater than 10 centimeters in any given location at given times. Thus, major distrbances will be occurring well before the end of the century.
D2. You tried to say sea level rise would impact PO. Wrong. There won't be much direct affect from SLR -> PO, but there likely will be a direct effect of PO -> SLR (Again, if it is a real phenomenon. NOTE: you seem to be assuming I believe PO is a fact. I do not. My argument has been that YOUR logic on this issue was poorly constructed.) due to the increased burning of fossil fuels, particularly coal.
D3. You further stated that PO is not an issue because economics will drive the switch to fossil fuels. Perhaps. However, given the current geopolitical environment, where do you see the big push coming from? The Bush Cadre, which is now in Iraq to secure oil for the west? If the money spent on this war had been spent on alternative fuels, we'd be well on our way to getting off oil. But we aren't. Brazil is, yes. But are the US, India, China? No. Not even close.
D4. Your point above also rpeatedly discuses the development of resources. Tell me, who is going to buy them? When people are paying 400 month for their utilities, as I did in California because of Enron, or more, where does the money come from for the PEOPLE to make the switch?
Etc., etc.
Again, your arguments are simplistic and some are just plain wrong. You can say me calling you an idiot is important. It is not. You are spreading false/defective information. In this day and age, THAT is a moral wrong.
Get over yourselves. You are too immature and self-absorbed to see that being wrong and being unwilling to admit it is far more an issue than using a pejorative to make a point. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
EFLtrainer

Joined: 04 May 2005
|
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
mindmetoo
Joined: 02 Feb 2004
|
Posted: Sun Mar 18, 2007 2:51 am Post subject: |
|
|
| 3-1 says I've won this debate. You're beating a dead horse now. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
EFLtrainer

Joined: 04 May 2005
|
Posted: Sun Mar 18, 2007 3:09 am Post subject: |
|
|
You're a fool. A little more education for you.
| Quote: |
Oil companies running hard to stand still
theage.com.au
By Phil Hart
...Last Friday, the US Energy Information Administration released oil production data to the end of last year. Crude oil production was nearly 200,000 barrels a day lower than in 2005. Total liquid supply was flat. That's gripping news and should be enough to rattle any economist's confidence.
Despite a calm hurricane season, record prices and a forecast consensus from energy agencies that supply would continue to grow, oil production stalled last year. Were the oil companies not trying hard enough?
Chris Skrebowski, editor of the British oil industry journal Petroleum Review, would not agree... The numbers show the global oil industry implemented oilfield projects providing an extra 3.2 million barrels a day to the market last year.
This is a historically high level of activity. So why was production flat, and even falling in many countries? The answer begins with "d" and gets to the heart of the debate about when global oil production will finally peak and begin its terminal decline: depletion.
///
Many of the world's largest and oldest oilfields are succumbing to this fate; production is falling, sometimes rapidly. Two of the biggest fields, Cantarell in Mexico and Burgan in Kuwait, are confirmed in this category. Even the giant Ghawar field in Saudi Arabia, the largest discovered, may be showing the same symptoms of old age.
...
The oil industry is running hard but only just managing to stand still. The size of discoveries in the new frontiers is falling. Depletion, the rate production is declining in existing oil provinces, meanwhile, increases.
In just a few years, the scales that are now finely balanced between new production coming on stream and declines in mature regions may lean more heavily on the side of depletion. Peak oil would then be behind us and our economies will be forced to survive with less oil each year.
What then for oil prices? ...the fate of the world's largest economy may already be sealed.
Phil Hart is petroleum facilities engineer, Melbourne, for the Association for the Study of Peak Oil. |
|
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Nowhere Man

Joined: 08 Feb 2004
|
Posted: Sun Mar 18, 2007 3:22 am Post subject: ... |
|
|
Mindmetoo, 4-1.
Someone's being gopheric. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Kimchi Cowboy

Joined: 17 Sep 2006
|
Posted: Sun Mar 18, 2007 3:27 am Post subject: |
|
|
Well, that's just great. We all know that the oil is going to run out someday. It's undeniable. But instead of trying to wean ourselves off of it and putting our energies and monetary resources into finding alternatives, we're spending untold millions of dollars trying to squeeze out every last drop of a fuel, the uses of which have been shown to be largely responsible for the degradation of our planet's climate and environment.
It's truly a wonderful world... |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
TheUrbanMyth
Joined: 28 Jan 2003 Location: Retired
|
Posted: Sun Mar 18, 2007 3:36 am Post subject: |
|
|
| EFLtrainer wrote: |
1.
2Notice I never mention the issue? Also notice your constant attempts to derail the discussion into one about my style/personality. Notice I never do that... . You can say me calling you an idiot is important. It is not. You are spreading false/defective information. In this day and age, THAT is a moral wrong.
Get over yourselves. You are too immature and self-absorbed to see that being wrong and being unwilling to admit it is far more an issue than using a pejorative to make a point. |
You are making remarks about their personality here. And you have been calling them liars throughout this thread. That is ALL you do and have done in this thread. Every other post has a cheap shot directed at their style and personality despite your claims that "I never do that."
MMT---5-1 |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
|
Posted: Sun Mar 18, 2007 3:38 am Post subject: |
|
|
KC, it isn't like that.
As prices increase, the viability of oil as a source of energy for autos, for example, will decrease. The oil will never run out, because by the time it would have, we will have moved on to something else.
The Economist last week had a great Technology Quarterly. Give it a read. Lots of talk about new energy technologies, especially solar. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
EFLtrainer

Joined: 04 May 2005
|
Posted: Sun Mar 18, 2007 4:06 am Post subject: |
|
|
| TheUrbanMyth wrote: |
| You are making remarks about their personality here. And you have been calling them liars throughout this thread |
Urby, you're even more stupid than I realized:
Lying/being stupid = style.
Lying/being stupid = personality.
Par for the course: NOTHING on-topic. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
EFLtrainer

Joined: 04 May 2005
|
Posted: Sun Mar 18, 2007 4:13 am Post subject: |
|
|
Lying/being stupid = style.
From the same link as above: The Peak Oil Crisis: The Portland Report
Actual Portland report.
| Quote: |
By Tom Whipple
Last week Portland, Oregon became the first governmental body in the US to not only acknowledge that imminent peak oil is a reality, but also to publish a plan as to what the city should be doing to cope.
...Portland Peak Oil Task Force have produced a succinct, outstanding report that should be read by every local official everywhere.
...The report�s authors grasp the point that whether oil depletion impacts our civilization this year, in three years, ten years or 20 years makes little difference as the changes required will be so massive that we need to start working on the problem immediately. The authors give short shrift to those who claim we will be saved by alternatives and new technologies by making the point that there is nothing on the horizon that can cheaply, quickly and efficiently replace oil and natural gas. They warn against rapid drops in oil prices as we saw last year as nothing more than the volatility we can expect as we approach peak oil.
...Drawing on the historical experiences of the 1973 Arab oil embargo which cut world oil production by six or seven percent, the report notes the harm done to US economic growth, productivity and rate of inflation. This discussion leads into three possible scenarios for peak oil�s impact on the world.
In the best scenario, oil availability drains away slowly so that 20 years from the beginning of oil depletion, 50 percent of current consumption is still available. Under such a scenario prices would be volatile with demand dropping in response to spikes and increasing as prices recede.
A second scenario would be sudden disruptions in supplies which could last for months or years leaving the advanced economies in a state of emergency for long periods. Society could cope but with much more disruption.
The final scenario is social disintegration. The economic impact of peak oil simply becomes so great that multiple global systems, financial, currency or trade fail. Governments are forced to concentrate on basic human needs and are overwhelmed. The Portland study concentrates on the long-term transition scenario as a situation that if properly handled has the potential to deal with shocks and prevent social deterioration.
The specific impacts on various aspects of Portland�s economy and social fabric are too numerous to list much less discuss. The basic recommendation is nothing earthshaking� cut absolute use of oil and natural gas in half over the next 25 years. The faster this happens, the smaller Portland�s or anybody else�s vulnerability to shrinking supplies of oil and natural gas will be.
..The recommendations as to how to achieve such a reduction, even over two decades, are pretty straight forward: mass transit, better land use, walkable communities, far more efficient vehicles, freight moving from planes and trucks to rail and water, building standards improve, and above all, education. |
|
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
EFLtrainer

Joined: 04 May 2005
|
Posted: Sun Mar 18, 2007 6:49 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Global Oil Resources, Chairman of Exxon: 4 trillion barrels
Global oil use, U.S. Dept. of Energy: 82.48 million
Time to total depletion with no rise in demand: 132 years.
The above numbers assume ALL oil can be extracted. (It can't.)
Now, tell me we are not in a period of peak oil. Oil trades on futures. If these numbers are known, what prevents oil prices from going through the roof once current oil companies get control - and they will, or will die trying - of the alternative sources of oil?
Secondly, if we have badly affected the Earth's ecology burning up only 1 trillion barrels of oil so far (Exxon), what the hell will the effects of burning 3 trillion more be? |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
hiua25
Joined: 03 Feb 2006
|
Posted: Sun Mar 18, 2007 11:33 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| Quote: |
| What do you know about peak oil? 20 years? No! That's when it is expected, for all intents and purposes, to RUN OUT. The PEAK is the key. If it is happening, it is PEAKING... or already has. |
You said that oil will run out within about 20 years (to all intents and purposes) even a tcurrent levels of consumption. Now read the wikipedia article about peak oil which I think mindmetoo has provided a link for. It will take a lot longer for oil to run out than 20 years mate. You�re wrong about peak oil and you don�t know nearly as much as you think you do, please admit it.
Please also explain as best you can, to us all who don�t fully understand, the link between the concept of peak oil and global warming. Sure there is a link between oil and global warming I am prepared to fully agree with you on that point, and there is a link with the peak oil concept only insofar as the are both big problems for the future. But these links are very tenuous, just as there is a link between everything and everything else in the entire universe if you look for it. What about the specific concept of peak oil with relation to global warming, a proof that they are affecting each other somehow. How do the two affect each other? I don�t get it. If you can explain it to me I can accept that.
To sum up, explain how the concept of peak oil and global warming specifically affect one another. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
|
|
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum
|
|